Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - August 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SWF-5   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SWF-6   WIN (5/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-7   WIN (5/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/8)-(5/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/8)-(5/2/7/8)-(5/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-8   WIN (9/1/5/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/5/10/8)-(9/1/5/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/5/10/8)-(9/1/5/10/8)-(9/1/5/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/5/10/8)-(4/8/3/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
SWF-9   WIN (4/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/2)-(4/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/2)-(4/8/3/2)-(4/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SWF-5   08/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENCH'S CONQUEST Jul20 Jun28 Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 (hadley jordan)LARSEN S 126 8.00    
WARSHARK Jul26 Jul05 Sep01 Aug11 Sep10 (scudder jr)LUSK TYSON 126 1.80 27% 2.70    
DIABLOS MOON Aug03 Jul12 Jun13 Sep22 Aug30 (hadley tori)CARILLO DANIEL 126 6.00    
CHILLING VIPER Jul19 Jul12 Jun06 Aug25 Aug11 (hadley garrett)RAMEY CASH 124 10.00 21% 3.80    
TRAILERS BULL PEN Aug10 Jul13 Sep29 Sep21 Jul27 (hadley tori)TEETER NAKIA 126 3.50    
SUN PHOENIX Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 Sep01 Aug24 (gibbs tyler)CARDOSO DAVID 126 2.00 30% 2.40    
 
SWF-6   08/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAYING LASSIE Aug09 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 Jun28 (quezada zachary)LARSEN S 126 8.00    
PLUM CREEK Aug02 Jul19 Jul12 Apr28 Mar24 (tsosie terrill)VIRGEN JESUS 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
ILA VEIW TOO Aug03 May31 May17 Apr28 Apr17 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 126 4.50    
ZACANGO PRIDE Aug02 Jul19 Nov17 Oct25 Oct13 (guadarrama om)ZAVALA JULIAN 126 6.00    
SHE'S SO TRUE Jul26 Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 May31 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
TIZ A SNEAKY LINK Jul20         (gibbs tyler)CARILLO DANIEL 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
LOOKOUT PASS Jul26 Jul19 May18 Mar05 Feb05 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 126 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
SWF-7   08/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIVE KID Jul27         (green d)VIRGEN JESUS 126 10.00    
MORE THAN INDY Jun23         (hadley tori)TEETER NAKIA 121 4.50 8% 10.90    
SCR  LIAR'S DESIRE Jul27 Jul05       (johnson bruce)RAMEY CASH 119 1.60    
MA KONA KII Jul19 Jun08 May26     (crump )ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 124 6.00    
TERRY'S SERVICE Aug02 Jul19 May30 Apr25 Apr19 (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
EASYSTAR Aug02 Jul06       (eaton terri)REYES CRISTIAN 124 15.00    
BROKE THE CODE Jul27 Jun14 Jun06 Apr19 Mar09 (greene pa)RIVAS CARLOS 121 12.00 6% 14.50    
NOBLE LAKER Jul19 Jul06 Jun29 Jun15 Jun08 (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SWF-8   08/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Horse Palace Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICKTRIP VAN Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 Jun13 Oct27 (vicchrilli r)VALENZUELA R 126 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by ZIP QUIK out of BLISSFUL TRIP by TRIPPI)
REDISUR Aug03 Jul26 Jul13 Jul05 May24 (ibanez alber)CARILLO DANIEL 126 12.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of CALL THE KITTY by LANGFUHR)
SCR  PRIZELESS Jul20 Jun29 Jun20 May17 May11 (hibdon mark )BETHKE A 126 8.00    
  (by LANGFUHR out of JUST CALL ME JANET by PURE PRIZE)
FURLONGIN FOR LUV Jul13 Jun20 May31 Nov15 Oct18 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 15.00    
  (by DON'TSELLMESHORT out of EXCESSIVE CINDI by IN EXCESS (IRE))
TENNESSEE MOON Jul26 Jun15 May31 May25 May03 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 121 6.00 21% 3.70    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
LOVELY LOLA Aug10 Jul26 Jun15 May31 Apr30 (ortega joe)LARSEN S 121 12.00    
  (by FLATTER out of ROYALTY by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  SCRATCHY APACHE Aug10 Aug02 Jul12 Jun20 Jun13 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 126 5.00    
  (by JERANIMO out of BARROOM TO BEDROOM by QUASIMODO)
GROOVY HUEY Aug02 Jul12 Jun08 May31 Apr19 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of FLOATTHRUTHEAIR by ORIENTATE (GB))
SUNRISE MISCHIEF Aug03 Jul20 Jun28 Jun21 Jun01 (story shaun)TEETER NAKIA 126 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of PLEASING SUNRISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  COWBOY CLIFF Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 Sep21 Sep01 (green d)VIRGEN JESUS 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE UNION out of COWGIRL JULIE by SALEEK)
 
SWF-9   08/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEARNEY Jul20 Mar30 Mar23 Mar09 Sep15 (klatt mel)RIVAS CARLOS 126 12.00    
MONTANA Jul13 Jun29 Jun13 May16 Apr09 (greene paul)TEETER NAKIA 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
WAYLAY Aug02 Jul12 Jun29 Sep22 Aug25 (teeter clay)REYES CRISTIAN 126 12.00 10% 9.10    
PEDRO PEREZ Aug02 Jul13 Jun29 Jun13 May30 (barrio sergio)CARDOSO DAVID 126 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  STAR OF STARS Aug10 Jul27 Jul19 Jul12 Jun15 (gibbs tyler)CARILLO DANIEL 126 5.00    
BRON AND THE BROW Jul26 Jul12 Jul06 Jun29 Jun13 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 126 2.00    
SCR  FAST SOPHIA Aug10 Jul27 Jun28 Jun20 Jun08 (buenrostro i)BETHKE A 121 20.00    
EPIC DRAMA Jul19 Jul13 May18 May04 Apr06 (warren kayla)RAMEY CASH 126 3.00 29% 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.