Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - August 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(4/5/6)-(5/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-2   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(5/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(5/3/2/4)-(1/5/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-3   WIN (5/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/4)-(1/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/4)-(1/5/3/7)-(8/1/7/5/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-4   WIN (1/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/3/7)-(8/1/7/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/7)-(8/1/7/5/2)-(10/9/11/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-5   WIN (8/1/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/5/2)-(8/1/7/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/5/2)-(8/1/7/5/2)-(8/1/7/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/7/5/2)-(10/9/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/5/2)-(10/9/11/8)-(6/5/10/2/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-6   WIN (10/9/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/11/8)-(10/9/11/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/11/8)-(10/9/11/8)-(10/9/11/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/9/11/8)-(6/5/10/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LAD-7   WIN (6/5/10/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/10/2/4)-(6/5/10/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/10/2/4)-(6/5/10/2/4)-(6/5/10/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   08/11/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEE'S WICKED ONE Jul17 Jun12       (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 1.20    
SCR  WICKED TIMES         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50    
CUSTOM SPARK Jul16 Jun22       (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
AWESOME WILLIAM Jul28 Jul04 Jun22 Jun07 May19 (nelson eri)GONZALEZ NICASIO 120 8.00    
SCR  QUIKONTHETRIGGER Jul28 Jul15 Jun22 Jun09 May31 (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 30.00    
HERECOMESCROCKETT Jul28 Jun22       (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIGH ADVENTURE Jul16 Jun10 May29 May13 Mar04 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 1.40    
 
LAD-2   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMEO DANCER Jun23 Jun01 Jun05 May04 Mar09 (gomez davi)BATISTA X 125 3.50    
G'S STORM Jul14 Feb15 Jan17 Nov13 Oct18 (dixon tim)SANTIAGO EDWARD 127 5.00    
SHADY GRADY Jul16 Jun15 Sep18 Sep03 Aug06 (romero dal)BOREL H 123 30.00    
CALIBRACHOA KID Jul05 Jun01 Mar20 Aug27 Aug13 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 1.00 55% 0.80    
NATIVE STAR Jul31 Jun21 Mar18 Feb20 Jan25 (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 2.50 18% 4.50    
JOHNNYSJOURNEY Dec04 Nov20 Nov02 Sep11 Aug20 (nelson eri)GONZALEZ NICASIO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-3   08/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURN ON THE BLING Jul16 Jun24 Jun06 Apr17 Apr06 (jacks e)VARGAS P 125 3.50    
BLUEBERRY EYES Jul22 Jul03 May31 Apr07 Mar19 (broussard jervon)BOREL H 121 8.00 14% 6.40    
BOLD EXAGGERATION Jul14 Jun16 Jun07 Feb21 Feb06 (wong jonath)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 4.50 24% 3.10    
MAGIC GLASS Jul22 Jun07 Apr26 Mar01 Feb05 (morris row)GONZALEZ NICASIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
MISS HARMONIC Jul22 Jun16 May26 Apr19 Mar19 (wong jonatha)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 125 1.20 32% 2.20    
FREEZER BURN Jul23 Jun23 Jun01 Dec02 Oct20 (gomez c)PENA JONUELLE 116 30.00    
KENYA STRIKE Jul01 Sep24 Aug12 Jul16 Jun18 (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 5.00    
 
LAD-4   08/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREEKSIDE Jun07 Dec19 Nov15 Oct19 Aug16 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
ROCKALL Jul04 Jun02 May05 Jan17 Jan02 (lara jorge)PENA JONUELLE 118 15.00    
SMOOTHDINI Jul12 Apr16 Mar13 Feb13 Jan24 (wong jonath)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 125 3.00 18% 4.50    
IMA BIG BOPPER Jul21 Jul03 Jun07 Mar07 Feb21 (payne w)LOZADA CARLOS 123 12.00    
ZONG TOUGH Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 May25 Jan30 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
OVERANALYTICAL Jul04 Jun16 May05 Mar13 Feb06 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 1.80    
ROCK ON COWBOY Jul28 Jun30 Jun09 May11 Feb19 (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-5   08/11/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREAK OUT SISTER Jul22 Jul04 Jun23 Jun10 May26 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 125 2.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  NEVER WALK ALONE Jul30 Jul18 Jun10 May25 Apr26 (tillis jerry)EDISON JOCELYN 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
MAKING MISCHIEF Jun19 Jun07 Apr29 Mar29 Mar21 (morris rowdy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
CHELL JAE Jun23 May30 May02 Mar29 Feb08 (schmidt denis)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00    
PAPIRINGA Jul22 Aug14 Jul07     (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHARMING LEAH Jul30 Jul04 Jun10 May25 Apr06 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 8.00    
NIP IT IN THE BUD Apr26 Apr11 Mar14     (johnson he)BATISTA X 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
ADIOS DUTCHIE         (ziadie kirk)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 3.00 40% 1.50    
SHELLEY'S ROSE Jul09 Jun18 May14 Apr08 Apr01 (dixon tim)SANTIAGO EDWARD 125 30.00    
10  BALITRIX Jul17 Jun24 May26 Nov22 Oct17 (vincent jar)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 125 10.00    
SCR  CAT ATE THE CANARY Jul30 Jul22 May25 Feb22 Feb08 (jacks e)BOREL H 125 15.00    
 
LAD-6   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VIOLENT RIVER Jul29 Jun24 Jun01 May12 Apr11 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
ALGEBRA Jul13 Jun20 Jun08 May24 May11 (diodoro )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
SCR  WILLIAM GUSTAVO Jul10 Jun13 May23 May01 Apr11 (zeno benjamin)RENGIFO JOHAN 122 30.00    
CHUPAPI MUNYAYO Jul03 Jun17 Jun01 Apr26 Apr06 (wilson melto)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00    
SHANKINSTINE Jul23 Jul05 Jun23 Jun15 May05 (beavin judy)PENA JONUELLE 117 30.00    
COLONEL BARTON Jul21 Jun24 Jun15 Jun06 May05 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00    
SCR  MILITARY BEARING Aug01 Jun24 May23 May07 Apr25 (rivera nes)RAMIREZ JR 122 30.00    
BANDERA BLING Jun24 Jun08 Jun01 Apr25 Apr06 (jacks e)VARGAS P 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
TIMEHASCOME Jul18 Jul12 Jul05 Jun14 May31 (ramaekers )BATISTA X 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
10  PREMIUM Jul21 Jun17 Jun02 May17 Mar09 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
11  CHEZ WHIZ Jul16 Jun12 May14 May03 Apr13 (hewitt michael)BOREL H 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-7   08/11/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUST FUND BABY Jul23 Jul05 Jun16 Jun03 May11 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 12.00    
OUR LAST HALF Jul30 Jul16 Jun29 Dec22 Nov18 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00 8% 10.80    
REAL MISCHIEVOUS Jul30 Jun22 Jun07 May20 May11 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 118 4.50    
QUEEN BERKELEY Jul30 Jun22 Jun03 May17 May03 (ramirez ro)GONZALEZ NICASIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
IZE A BLAST Jul22 Jun27 Apr05 Feb23 Jan25 (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
UTSIRA Jul22 Jun16 Jun03 May26 May04 (cravens ro)BATISTA X 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
IMMA GOING TO WIN Jul22 Jul04 Jun17 Jun01 May11 (rangel raul)PENA JONUELLE 117 20.00    
SUPER STORMY Jul05 Jun15 Jun03 May20 May11 (schmidt denis)VARGAS P 122 15.00    
SCR  SEARCH Jul22 Nov01 Aug23 Jul24 Jul05 (broussard jerv)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 10.00    
10  CASHMERE BABY Jul10 Jun30 Jun07 May01 Apr24 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  NICE MOVE Jul04 Jun17 Jun03 May20 Apr24 (witt ii)LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.