Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Friday - July 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(6/1/2)-(2/1/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(2/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(2/1/7)-(2/8/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(2/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(2/8/5/7)-(2/5/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-4   WIN (2/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/7)-(2/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/7)-(2/8/5/7)-(2/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/5/7)-(2/5/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/7)-(2/5/8/3)-(8/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-5   WIN (2/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/3)-(2/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/3)-(2/5/8/3)-(2/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/8/3)-(8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/3)-(8/7/4)-(8/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-6   WIN (8/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/4)-(8/7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/7/4)-(8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/7/4)-(8/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EMD-7   WIN (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/5)-(8/1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/5)-(8/1/4/5)-(8/1/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   07/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON GLAZE Jul11 Jun13 Mar09 Feb14 Dec18 (trujillo vic)HALDAR J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
HAUGHTY KITTY Jul10 Jul04 Jun08 May25 May17 (perkinson cc)ALVARADO T 125 3.00 22% 3.60    
OH ANGEL Jul11 Jun01 May24 Apr29 Apr09 (tubbs scott)COUTON JULIEN 125 4.50    
DIAMOND DEE Jun29 Jun22 Jun08 May26 May17 (rosales jorg)OROZCO E 125 3.50 49% 1.00    
GOLD COAST GIRL Jul18 Jun21 Jun01 May18 May10 (bean rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 1.80    
CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE) Jul18 Jul03 Jun21 Feb19 Jan24 (perez hilar)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 12.00    
 
EMD-2   07/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M NOBLE Jul13 Jun20 Jun06 May18 Apr28 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
A SKIP IN THE PARK Jun28 Jun07 Sep15 Aug30 Aug17 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
ANITANEWMERCEDES Jun20 Jun06 Apr16 Feb20 Jan17 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 2.50    
SANGER Jun08 May25 May10 Apr16 Apr01 (peery debbie)ALVARADO T 125 3.00    
BEAU MISCHIEF Jul13 Jun20 Jun07 May25 May10 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 122 8.00    
BEDROCK (GB) Jun20 Jun08 May18 May10 Apr19 (christian billy)KRIGGER K 122 4.50 38% 1.60    
 
EMD-3   07/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUB MESQUITE Jul13 Jun20 Jun08 May25 May18 (gibson f)CRUZ M 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
ORTH Jul11 Jul03 Jun08 May10 Mar26 (silva-marti)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 4.00 37% 1.70    
QUALITY CAT Jul13 Jun15 May31 Feb22 Jan26 (gibson h)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 12.00    
SCR  SENOR DEL CAMPO Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 Jun06 Mar08 (puentes )AMADOR RUIZ 122 6.00    
MASHHAD FLATS Jul13 Jun08 May18 Sep29 Sep23 (crowe shel)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50    
STEPHEN JAMES Jul03 Jun07 May25 May10 Sep29 (pirone e)MONTALVO C 122 15.00    
LONG LANCE Jul03 Jun14 May11 Aug11 Jun30 (martinez david)ALVARADO T 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
BERT'S PROSPECT Jun08 May18 Apr08 Mar12 Feb11 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 125 10.00    
 
EMD-4   07/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-11:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEER BEGONE Jun27 Jun14 May31 May11 Apr16 (silva-marti)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 10.00    
BAD SNEAKERS Apr23 Mar13 Feb27 Dec16 Nov18 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.00 41% 1.40    
PICK A LANE FRANK Oct13 Sep22 Aug10 Aug03 Jul12 (christian bill)ENRIQUEZ D 122 20.00    
BERTACCHI Jul11 Jun15 May31 May17 Feb09 (trujillo vic)OROZCO E 122 2.50    
GYPSY GUN Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 Jun06 May17 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 3.50 7% 14.30    
TAINO HOUSE Jul11 Jun27 Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 (essex charles)KRIGGER K 122 6.00    
ANNA'S IRON MAN Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 May18 Oct06 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
KHAIKY'S COMMAND May31 Feb04 Dec26 Dec09 Aug17 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
EMD-5   07/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-11:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DENNARD Jul03 Jun13 May31 May10 Mar17 (baze rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
YES HE CAN Jun27 Sep14 Sep06 Aug25 Jul21 (puentes jos)TOMITA AKATSUKI 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
MR. FIREBALL Jun27 Jun13 Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 (simkins rosie)ALVARADO T 122 8.00 6% 15.60    
SHAUN'S JAZZ Jul13 Jun28 Jun13 Jun06 May18 (perez sergio )COUTON JULIEN 125 5.00    
TOWN PERFORMER Jul12 Jun27 Jun07 May17 Oct11 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
HANDR'SDREAM Jun27 Jun14 May25 May10 Sep13 (birdwell ten)OROZCO E 125 10.00    
AIN'T NO SISSY Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 Sep13 Sep06 (essex charles)KRIGGER K 122 15.00    
UNCLE LEON Jun27 May25 May03 Sep13 Aug24 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 8.00 8% 12.10    
 
EMD-6   07/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKY CODE Jun13 Apr01 Mar05 Feb12 Jan07 (freeman sc)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 12.00    
FREE AGAIN Jan17 Jan04 Nov04 Aug31 Jul21 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 8.00    
CONRAD MEADOWS Jul11 Jun21 May26 May18 Sep06 (navarro )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 10.00    
DYNAMIC SECRET Jun28 May26 May11 Aug11 Jul28 (mcphee doug)KRIGGER K 125 8.00 11% 7.70    
ELDER MACK Jun28 Jun01 May11 Sep07 Aug11 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00    
LOUIE THE FIRST May18 Sep06 Aug17 Jun29 Sep03 (wright blaine)DURAN F 125 15.00    
BLUEGRASS GO GO Jul12 Jun13 May26 Dec31 Dec10 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 1.80 14% 6.00    
WHISKEYJACK Jul12 Jun08 May17 Oct06 Sep22 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
EMD-7   07/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATWOULDBEWRONG Jun22 Jun06 May18 Apr09   (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 1.80 17% 5.00    
JAZZY BULL HORN Jul11 Jun15 Sep29 Jul21 Jun23 (perez sergio )COUTON JULIEN 121 20.00    
COLONEL HORTON Jun01         (koch a)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 15.00    
WHISKEYONTHEROCKS Jul11 Jun20 Jun06 May25 Aug24 (simkins )AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.50    
TRIUMPH ROAD Jul03 Jun08 Oct06     (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BEAR ENCOUNTER Nov30 Nov16 Oct19 Aug16 Jul26 (villamar cande)MORENO JAIRO 120 6.00    
SCR  SMILE DONT WINK Jul11 May03 Mar31 Mar10   (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 10.00    
TIZ GRAZEN Jul11 Aug25 Aug11 Jul13   (wright blain)OROZCO E 121 2.50 59% 0.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.