Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Monday - July 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-5   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(5/1/2)-(4/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-6   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(4/1/6)-(4/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(4/3/2)-(4/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-8   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(4/7/1)-(8/3/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-9   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/5/7/1)-(4/5/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(8/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(8/3/4/5)-(3/10/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-10   WIN (8/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/5)-(8/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/5)-(8/3/4/5)-(8/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/5)-(3/10/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-11   WIN (3/10/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/5/2)-(3/10/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/10/5/2)-(3/10/5/2)-(3/10/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-5   07/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIP THE LINE Jun20 May24 Apr04 Mar16 Feb17 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 2.00 28% 2.60    
MANNY'S KAT Apr21 Apr07 Mar20 Feb13 Jan16 (anderson w)TOHILL S 123 6.00    
GOING IN STYLE Jun30 Jun09 May16 Apr19 Apr01 (arnett g)BACON W 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
KAELY'S BROTHER Jun13 Jun01 May18 Apr26 Mar22 (schindle)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 15% 5.50    
A JUST CAUSE Jul03 Jun13 Aug26 Aug09 Jul19 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 118 4.00    
HEY NOW Apr17 Mar12 Sep05 Aug03 Jul11 (kenney ry)TRIANA JR 121 3.00    
 
PRM-6   07/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESTEVE         (figueroa)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 15% 5.70    
H. J.'S BOY         (condon schuy)JORDAN R 118 8.00 15% 5.70    
LORD HENNESSY Apr27 Apr18 Mar23     (gleason tyrone)TOHILL S 118 1.80    
AVERYZ DAY Oct13 Sep21       (ibarra jo)DE CRUZ 124 3.50    
HARPER'S AFLEET         (schutz pam)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 2.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  BATTLE PASS POSSE Nov01         (swan patrick)HUCKABY RONNIE 113 5.00    
 
PRM-7   07/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REINA DEL SUR Jun13 Apr25 Mar29 Mar15 Jan18 (donlin larry)HUCKABY RONNIE 114 12.00 28% 2.60    
SLICK CITY GIRL Jun28 Jun13 Jun01 May05 Apr09 (corderman scott)TOHILL S 121 6.00    
WAR MUSIC Jun29 Jun01 Apr14 Mar26 Mar11 (flores oscar)BACON W 124 2.50    
SHABAM Jun28 Jun13 May24 Apr27 Apr11 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.00 29% 2.40    
XCARET Jun29 Jun13 May30 Apr18 Feb20 (guillory )DE CRUZ 124 1.60    
COMFORTS JAZEL Jun28 Jun13 Apr20 Apr03 Mar14 (gonzalez jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-8   07/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($26.47K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILY WADE Jun30 Jun09 Sep27 Sep20 Aug17 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 124 3.50    
INTO THE DEEP Jun22         (chleborad)TRIANA JR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
BRASA Jun15 Sep23 Sep02 Aug12   (chleborad lyn)BACON W 118 3.00 21% 3.70    
BURN INDY BURN Jun22 Jun01 May10     (wellington t)JORDAN R 118 2.50 56% 0.80    
DUSAN Jun28 Jun09 May10     (schleis casey)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 10.00    
I LIKE IT BLACK Jun15         (wellingt)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
BIG FURN Jun30         (martin timot)HUCKABY RONNIE 113 8.00    
 
PRM-9   07/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEEL SPUN Jun30 May09 Apr26 Apr11   (gleason tyrone)TOHILL S 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  U BETTER B THE WON Jun06 Apr19       (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 6.00    
SOPHIE'S GIRL Jun22 Jun02 Apr21 Apr07 Mar24 (corderma)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
TOP REVIEW Jun09 Mar12 Feb03 Jan15 May02 (kenney ryan)JORDAN R 124 2.50 70% 0.40    
LOTTERY TICKET Jul12 Jun09 May31 Apr27 Mar16 (flores oscar)BACON W 118 3.00    
ESCAPE MAP Jun30 Jun02 May09 Apr18 Apr04 (martinez )TRIANA JR 124 3.50    
ALL LEGS Jun30 May23 May03 Apr11 Feb23 (donlin larry)HUCKABY RONNIE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-10   07/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45.209K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE ROCK Jun28 Jun09 May25 Apr21 Mar31 (chleborad lyn)BACON W 124 5.00    
  (by PALACE out of BAUDETTE by ROCKY BAR)
EDGY LOVER Jun28 Jun01 Sep27 Sep20 Sep08 (murphy tr)DE CRUZ 124 3.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of A. J.'S LOVE by LION HEART)
MEEKER Jun15 Jun01 Jul19 Jun29   (mcshane d)CORBETT W 118 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of REDGRASS CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
GREASEPAINTGROUCHO         (hardy ro)ROMAN KEVIN 118 8.00 5% 18.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MODEL BY ARTIE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
NO FREE KISSES         (mcshane d)TRIANA JR 118 15.00 5% 18.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of MISSMEKISSME by SIR CAT)
SCR  CARBON FOURTEEN         (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 15.00    
  (by TIMELINE out of RAINBOW ROAD by TAKE ME OUT (IRE))
RED KINGDOM Jul11 Jun09 Jun01 May10   (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 6.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ETHEREAL MISS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
DONTDRINKANDDRIVE Jun28 May17 Sep23 Aug26 Aug09 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 118 4.50 31% 2.20    
  (by OXBOW out of LARKING by GREEN FOREST)
MYJERSEYSAYSGOOD         (birzer bonni)JORDAN R 118 10.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of JERSEY TANGO by JERSEY TOWN)
 
PRM-11   07/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLO ENRY May26 May17 Apr26 Mar30 Mar01 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 121 4.00    
JAHEZ Jun20 May26 Apr18 Mar19 Feb22 (arceo sa)HERNANDEZ J 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
KNIGHT COMMANDER Jun30 May25 May09 Sep26 Aug30 (birzer bonni)JORDAN R 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
LEADING THE CAUSE Apr14 Mar18 Mar03 Dec14 Oct29 (birzer bonnie)BARNES JOSE 118 20.00    
MACHO RONNIE May31 May18 Apr27 Mar30 Feb02 (hornsby tamm)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIRE BRYAN Jun28 Jun06 May18 Apr26 Mar28 (martin timoth)BACON W 124 8.00    
SCR  RIVZONAROLL Jul18 Jul05 Jun29 Jun06 May18 (martinez kel)HUCKABY RONNIE 116 15.00    
CONCEPT Jul11 Jun16 May25 May10 Apr19 (jacquot g)TRIANA JR 118 6.00    
ROCK CITY ROCKET Jul11 Jun09 May25 May09 Mar28 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 5.00    
10  IOWA HAWKEYE Mar14 Feb28 Feb20 Jan30 Dec04 (gonzalez r)ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.50 32% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.