Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fairmount Park
Saturday - July 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FP-1   WIN (6/9/7/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/7/8/10)-(6/9/7/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/7/8/10)-(6/9/7/8/10)-(6/9/7/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/7/8/10)-(7/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/9/7/8/10)-(7/6/2)-(2/4/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FP-2   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(2/4/3)-(7/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(7/3/1)-(7/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-4   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(7/1/2)-(7/4/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-5   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(7/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(7/4/3/5)-(4/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-6   WIN (7/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/5)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/5)-(4/3/6)-(10/4/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FP-7   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(10/4/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FP-8   WIN (10/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/9/3)-(10/4/9/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/4/9/3)-(10/4/9/5/3)-(10/4/9/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FP-1   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAYTON THE DAY Jul01 May20 Apr26 Oct26 Oct08 (plasters )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 12.00    
2  GRAPHENE CASSOCK Jul01 Jun07 May03 Dec28 Nov02 (watkins j)ULLOA JOAN 126 6.00    
3  MODAZZLE Jul05 Jun10 May20 May03 Oct17 (martinez-l)SIMPSON M 126 15.00    
4  RISKY BOY Jul01 May29 May15 Apr10 Mar27 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 126 20.00    
5  VALIANTLY DISCREET Jun24 Jun10 May25 Mar27 Dec19 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 10.00    
6  RACE DRIVER Jun24 May10 Apr26 Apr10 Dec18 (martinez ralp)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 2.50 31% 2.30    
7  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Jun10 May24 Apr26 Apr03 Oct19 (appleton josh)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 4.50 16% 5.20    
8  TAPIT SAM Jun24 Jun07 May17 Oct31 Oct17 (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 126 8.00 5% 17.90    
9  ONE WAY HOME Jul01 Jun17 May31 May20 Apr26 (martinez a)FELIX E 126 3.50 24% 3.10    
10  CHARLIE LIGHTNING Jun07 May17 Nov02 Oct17 Sep22 (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-2   07/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPANISH DOUBLOON Jun14 Oct17 Oct05 Aug31 Aug10 (martinez a)FELIX E 126 3.00    
2  I'M YOUR VALENTINE Jul01 May31 May17 Oct19 Oct01 (martinez-lina)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  KEEN RESPONSE Jun17 May31 May20 Nov02 Oct19 (mosier harold)LOPEZ A 126 12.00    
4  AFRICAN WARRIOR Jul05 Jun24 Jun07 May17 Oct31 (foxworth leo)GILES EMMANUEL 126 10.00    
5  TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS Jun17 May20 Apr26 Oct26 Sep21 (becker scott)WALES T 126 2.00    
6  BOURBON DELIGHT Jul01 Jun17 May31 May03 Dec03 (castro isi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 126 4.00 23% 3.40    
7  ARGYBARGY BUCK Jul01 May20 Nov02 Oct19 Sep14 (martinez-l)SIMPSON M 126 6.00 37% 1.70    
 
FP-3   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPAN Jul01 Jun21 May27 May13 Apr29 (blea t)ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 8.00    
2  MIDNITE ALEX Jul01 Jun10 May27 May13 Apr29 (burdess terry)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 1.80 41% 1.40    
3  PONTUS Jun28 Jun03 May17 Oct29 Oct15 (plasters lori)DIEGO JAVIER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  RAVIN'S RANSOM Jun26 May17 Apr29 Oct29 Jul14 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 1.20 32% 2.10    
5  GRAYHOP Jun28 May27 May13 Oct29 Oct15 (plasters lori)FELIX E 126 6.00    
6  AFTER MY BROTHER Jul01 May20 May10 Oct26 Oct01 (sandrowski ge)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00    
 
FP-4   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRANDDADDYLONGLEGS Jul01 May10 Sep21 Sep07 Aug17 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  DIAMONDONICE Jul01 Jun03 May06 Oct26 Oct01 (randazzo c)LOPEZ A 124 8.00    
3  RUN JALEN RUN Jun21 Apr08 Mar09 Feb23 Feb02 (manley steve)WALES T 126 2.00 20% 3.90    
4  DENNIS'S PRIDE Jun03 May13 Aug17 Jul20 Jul02 (watkins jam)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 6.00    
5  SWISS GUARD Jun28 May24 May10 Apr26 Oct31 (quinonez maximino)FELIX E 124 4.00 ★    
6  MYSTIC POWER Jul01 Jun10 May25 May13 Apr24 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 5.00    
7  RUNNING WATER May13 Oct17 Sep21 Aug27 Aug07 (mcewen j)DIEGO JAVIER 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
FP-5   07/19/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK SPRAT Jun24 Jun03 May06 Oct24 Oct12 (essenpreis edward)FELIX E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CREPE YARNS Jul01 Jun10 May13 Oct17 Sep28 (laux clay)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  REDFIELD Jun21 May25 Apr26 Mar15 Dec18 (watkins james )DIEGO JAVIER 126 3.00 ★    
4  WESLAN Jun24 Jun03 May17 Oct15 Aug31 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 126 4.00    
5  HIGHLY PERFECT Jul01 Jun24 Jun03 Apr02 Oct24 (martinez a)WALES T 124 10.00    
6  WICKED GUS Jul01 Jun10 May13 Nov02 Oct19 (straub mar)SIMPSON M 124 6.00    
7  SPECIAL DISPATCH Jun14 May18 Apr13 Feb12 Jan18 (amoss thomas )SANTOS ADEMAR 124 1.60 66% 0.50    
 
FP-6   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY AND BOLD Jun18 May24 Apr22 Mar15 Feb23 (knippenber)VILLARREAL OSCAR 121 10.00    
2  LILY'S WOOFY May24 Apr22 Aug25 Jul28 Jun30 (randazzo ted)FELIX E 124 20.00    
3  SAMARITA May29 Apr24 Jan02 Oct09 Sep22 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 126 12.00 17% 5.00    
4  RACETOTHEFINISH Jun28 May31 May10 Apr22 Oct29 (becker sco)SIMPSON M 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
5  GHAALEB'S HONOR Jun28 May31 May17 Oct29 Oct01 (becker scott)WALES T 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RACEDAY ATTIRE Jul03 Apr24 Apr03 Dec08 Nov05 (dizeo din)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 15.00    
7  MAZOKU May22 Feb23 Feb03 Nov16 Oct09 (butcher james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  BLAME TERI May31 May10 Aug24 Aug06 Jul16 (durham mik)GALLARDO EDUARDO 126 12.00    
SCR  LIL BIT TIPSEY Jun28 May24 Oct01 Sep07 Aug20 (mcewen billy )SANTOS ADEMAR 126 3.50    
SCR  ARDIS May31 May10 Apr20 Dec04 Nov11 (manley steve)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 6.00    
 
FP-7   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PHILIPSBURG (IRE) Jun29 May22 May04 Apr24 Oct19 (hernandez arma)DIEGO JAVIER 126 10.00    
2  PLUNDER Jul08 Jun19 Jun05 May22 May04 (quinonez maximi)REYES FRANK 126 20.00    
3  MEGAN'S HONOR Jun05 May17 Apr26 Aug08 Jul07 (becker sco)SIMPSON M 126 4.50 23% 3.40    
4  SPYCRAFT Jul01 Jun05 May17 Apr24 Dec27 (manley steve)WALES T 126 6.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  RUSSIAN TO WIN Jun29 May17 Apr06 Mar08 Jan19 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00    
6  AMERICAN WARRIOR Jul03 May31 May13 Mar23 Mar08 (watkins m)FELIX E 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  WE MISS ARLINGTON Jun29 Jun01 May11 Apr27 Apr20 (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 3.50 ★    
8  FEVER NATION May31 May17 Apr26 Jan03 Oct29 (manley steve)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 12.00    
9  BUSK Jun18 May25 May05 Apr11 Mar21 (chavez manue)BARBOSA CARLOS 126 2.50    
SCR  FLIPPING FISH Jun30 Jun15 May16 Mar15 Feb23 (tracy tanner)HERNANDEZ K 126 8.00    
 
FP-8   07/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRONGER TOGETHER Jul05 Jun19 Jun08 Apr20 Apr06 (hernandez arm)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 6.00    
2  LUCKY BOSS Jun07 May03 Apr11 Mar28 Feb28 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 20.00    
3  BROWN RESERVE Jun24 Jun10 May24 May13 Apr21 (durham mike)FELIX E 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  RUNWITHHEART Jun25 May11 Apr08 Aug25 Jul21 (holsapple )GALLARDO EDUARDO 126 3.50 25% 3.10    
5  DICK BEST Jul03 Jun19 Jun08 May22 May03 (simonovich d)CENTENO ALEXIS 126 4.50 ★    
6  BEEALEA Jun14 Mar13 Feb08 Jan23 Dec13 (retana gab)SIMPSON M 124 20.00    
7  BOOGIE BODE Jun21 May29 May03 Apr11 Mar08 (watkins m)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 8.00    
8  LEMON DROP SHOT Jul01 May29 Mar15 Feb16 Jan26 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 126 15.00    
9  COALMINER'S KITTEN Jun19 Jun01 May22 Apr24 Apr03 (quinonez maxi)HERNANDEZ K 124 10.00 9% 9.90    
10  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL May25 May01 Apr13 Mar08 Feb01 (becker scott)WALES T 126 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.