Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(1/3)-(4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/3/2)-(3/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-3   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(3/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(3/6/7)-(2/4/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/5/7)-(3/6/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(2/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(2/4/5/1)-(5/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (2/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/1)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/1)-(5/1/4)-(1/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-6   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(1/3/6)-(2/7/9/4/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-7   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(2/7/9/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
EMD-8   WIN (2/7/9/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/4/6)-(2/7/9/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/4/6)-(2/7/9/4/6)-(2/7/9/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAZZY LOVE Jun29 Jun21 Jun08 May25 May03 (bullene michael)CRUZ M 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
2  HEAT SEEKING LETA Jun29 Jun21 Jun07 Sep15 Sep01 (dronen sam)MONTALVO C 125 10.00 14% 6.40    
3  SQUARE FOOTAGE Jun29 Jun07 May25 Sep01 Aug02 (navarro jose)BAILEY CHEL-C 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SONOMA DREAMING Jun29 May31 Aug09 Jun14 Mar16 (tamayo isidr)OROZCO E 125 5.00    
5  HEY BARMAID Jun29 Jun07 May25 Apr29 Apr16 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.00    
6  PRINCESS PAYTON Jun28 Jun06 May25 Sep08 Sep01 (wenzel tom)COUTON JULIEN 125 1.40    
 
EMD-2   07/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTERNET BIDDER Jul12 Jun22 Oct09 Sep24   (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL 113 3.00 34% 1.90    
2  DYNAMIC PLAN         (gibson vinc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 8.00    
3  ELUSIVITY         (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 4.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  COUGAR JEWEL         (birdwell ten)OROZCO E 121 6.00    
SCR  DONT CROSS THE KID         (thomas ruby)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 4.00    
SCR  ORTING MIST May24 Apr27       (markle dan)KRIGGER K 121 2.50    
SCR  SAPPHIRE LADY Jun22 May24 May03     (peery debbie)COUTON JULIEN 125 15.00    
 
EMD-3   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL DIVA May25 May11 Sep01 Aug11 Jun15 (gibson vince)KRIGGER K 125 4.00    
2  CLASSIC AMERICAN Jul03 Jun07 May11 Sep01 Aug04 (martinez david)ALVARADO T 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  COASTAL GIRL Jun15 May26 Apr02 Feb27 Jan30 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  MY QUIET PLACE Jun15 Jun30 May31 Mar25 Mar13 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 1.80 34% 1.90    
5  TOPPER'S CHIEFTESS Jun15 Jun01 Jan20 Nov23 Oct27 (puentes )AMADOR RUIZ 125 15.00    
6  PRANCING MATILDA Jul13 Jun21 Jun13 May26 Apr17 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 10.00    
 
EMD-4   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M A DUDE TO Jun29 Nov04 Sep28     (gibson vince)KRIGGER K 121 5.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of GADGET QUEEN by FLYING WITH EAGLES)
2  STAR TRAVEL Jun08 May18       (gibson vinc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 20.00    
  (by CONVEYANCE out of AMONG THE STARS by AFLEETKNOWSASECRET)
3  IMPASSABLE (IRE) Jun22 Aug25 Aug04 Jul07   (belvoir howard)ALVARADO T 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by BARKLEY out of STAR PROTOCOL by HE'S TOPS)
4  ANGIER Jul20 May05       (evans justin)BAILEY CHEL-C 125 1.80    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of AND AWAY WE GO by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  SIR ARGENTO Jun29 Jun08 Aug11 Jul06 Jun15 (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.00 ★    
  (by RACE DAY out of PACKED POWDER by THE WHITE FOX)
6  HELA FOREVER Jun29 Jun08       (wenzel tom)COUTON JULIEN 121 6.00 17% 5.00    
  (by G. G. RYDER out of CELL LINE FOREVER by GLOBALIZE)
7  REACH HIGHER Jun22         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 12.00 8% 10.80    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of KISS MINE by MINESHAFT)
 
EMD-5   07/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCY L Jun29 May25 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 122 8.00 5% 18.00    
2  AFTER MY OWN HEART Jul11 Jun22 Jun06 May11 Feb09 (villamar c)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
3  KITTEN'S KID Jul03 Jun15 May26 May10 Dec18 (trujillo marc)COUTON JULIEN 122 6.00    
SCR  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Jul03 Jun15 May31 Apr29 Apr09 (hernande)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 5.00 10% 8.80    
5  ENGLISH DANGER Jul11 Jun07 May24 May03 Apr09 (rosales jorg)OROZCO E 125 10.00 10% 9.10    
6  TURIAF Jul03 Jun21 Jun14 Aug03 Jun22 (tamayo i)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.00    
7  BOLD DAUGHTER May31 May18 May10 Mar09 Feb23 (cryderman candice)KRIGGER K 122 4.50    
8  LUVAHAPPYENDING Jun15 May31 May18 Apr16 Mar06 (perez hilario)MONTALVO C 125 20.00    
 
EMD-6   07/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPTING PROSPECT Jun20 May24 Apr15 Mar27 Feb25 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 125 8.00 20% 3.90    
2  RAIL TOWN Jul12 Jun27 Jun07 May17 Apr19 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 2.50    
3  ACERO Jun15 May09 Apr25 Mar30 Aug03 (hobson simon)COUTON JULIEN 123 4.50 ★    
4  EL DIAMANTE NEGRO Jun29 Jun07 May17 Mar17 Feb15 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  RIDE FOR GOLD Jun20 May31       (peery debbie)ALVARADO T 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  RED MEMORYS Jun29 Jun20 Jun06 Sep08 Aug31 (velasquez )CASTILLO E 118 15.00    
7  SIR LUCAS Jun27 Jun01 May17 Apr25 Mar15 (koch a)BAILEY CHEL-C 123 4.00    
 
EMD-7   07/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OM FIRE Jun14 May31 Apr16 Mar25 Feb26 (kowalski liz)ALVARADO T 122 3.00 39% 1.50    
2  GUNNIN FOR GOLD Jun15 May26 May11 Sep01 Aug17 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 122 4.00    
3  SIR GREYSON Jul12 Jun20 Nov30 Nov02 Oct20 (guillen )AMADOR RUIZ 122 10.00 18% 4.40    
4  ROY HOBBS Jun01 May11 Mar15 Aug05 Jun18 (maravilla jorge)KRIGGER K 125 4.50    
SCR  ROLLIN DICE Jun28 Jun07 May11 Nov24 Nov10 (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 2.00    
6  FORT NECESSITY May10 Apr29 Mar20 Jan28 Jan13 (rosales jorge)DURAN F 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  HORSE DOCTOR Jun20 May25 May10 Apr17 Mar31 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 5.00 ★    
 
EMD-8   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T DOUBT DECLAN Mar19 Mar04 Feb03 Jan01 Dec10 (cryderman c)TOMITA AKATSUKI 118 20.00    
2  TOUGH AS AN OX         (wright bla)MONROY FRANCISCO 121 6.00 40% 1.50    
3  DATT MAN Jul03 Jun22 May18     (thomas jamey)KRIGGER K 125 15.00    
4  DOMINATE Jun28 Jun14 May31 May18 Apr27 (bullene michael)CRUZ M 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ZEN ZONE Dec08 Oct06       (peery debbie)COUTON JULIEN 125 2.50    
6  EMPIRE WARRIOR Jul03 Jun06 May18 Apr09 Mar31 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LUCKY'S LOADED Jul03 Jun14       (tamayo isidr)HALDAR J 125 12.00 25% 3.10    
8  TOWHEE Oct06 Jan13       (navarre jacqui)ALVARADO T 125 20.00    
9  IMPROBABLE BET         (ledford meliss)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00 6% 16.80    
10  TIZ DYNAMIC Jun22         (mcphee d)AMADOR RUIZ 121 10.00    
SCR  THATWOULDBEWRONG Jun22 Jun06 May18 Apr09   (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 15.00    
12  QUICK QUESTION Jun13         (mccanna tim)DURAN F 121 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.