Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - July 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(6/7/5)-(6/7/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(6/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5)-(6/7/4)-(3/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(3/4/6)-(4/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(4/5/1)-(7/8/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/3/1)-(4/5/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(7/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(7/8/2/1)-(1/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/1)-(7/8/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/1)-(7/8/2/1/4)-(7/8/2/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/2/1)-(1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/1)-(1/4/7)-(9/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(9/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/10)-(9/10/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/10)-(9/10/8/2)-(9/10/8/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/19/2025 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALKIN PHAROAH Jun19 Jun05 May08 Apr23 Aug21 (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 1.40 61% 0.60    
2  BURTON WAY Jun19 May29 Apr25 Apr04 Nov14 (jackson ang)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 20.00    
3  HEY BOOTS Jun19 Mar06 Jan30 Jan11 Dec05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 16% 5.10    
4  SMOOTH RICO Jul04 Jun14 May24 Apr25 Mar15 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
5  CAJUN JOE Jun27 May01 Mar22 Feb27 Jan30 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 120 12.00    
6  MR. MOX Jun27 Apr23 Mar20 Jan30 Dec11 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAXIMILLIONS DREAM May30 May08 Apr18 Mar13 Jan29 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 4.50 ★    
 
CT-2   07/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Jul09 Jun13 May03 Nov06 Oct18 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
2  RHUMJAR Jul04 Jun13 Mar30 Mar01 Feb08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50    
3  SUMMONING DENIS Jun26 Jun13 Jun06 May22 May02 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
4  YO VINNIE Jun13 May02 Apr10 Feb01 Jan15 (runco c)CULLUM W 120 6.00 ★    
5  I AM THAT I AM May08 Apr06 Mar21 Mar13 Feb01 (jones michae)DIAZ JR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  OZONE Jul03 May01 Apr04 Feb21 Dec07 (butts m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 1.20 62% 0.60    
7  MORNING THOUGHTS Jul03 Jun06 May10 May04 Apr05 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 12% 7.00    
 
CT-3   07/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($32.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YANKEE DOODLE KID Jul03 May29 Apr18 Mar07 Feb08 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00    
SCR  PLEASENTHANKU Apr18 Mar15       (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 120 2.50    
3  BAIL IS DENIED Jul03 Jun21 May24 May08 Apr26 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 116 4.50    
4  JOHN'S NOTION May24 May08 Apr26 Apr03 Mar08 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MIDNIGHT MESA Jul03 Jun14 May10 Feb01   (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00    
6  ANNAPOLIS ROAD Jun21 May24 Oct12 Sep21 Sep13 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.00 46% 1.20    
7  CAFFEINENNICOTINE Jun21 May24 Apr26 Apr03 Mar01 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
 
CT-4   07/19/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Jul04 Jun14 May22 Apr24 Apr04 (comi w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
2  EASY PASS Jun14 May31 May10 Apr23 Jan03 (groves janice)LARROSA G 122 6.00    
3  K. BEE Jun21         (bourne lori )DIAZ JR 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
4  MAGICAL SURPRISE Jun05 Jul20 Jun20 Apr19 Mar07 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 31% 2.30    
5  ESTRELLA FUGAZ Jul03 Jun20 May23 May01 Apr17 (peltroche v)PELTROCHE ELIAS 120 2.50 ★    
6  SEA OF TRANQUILITY Jul03 Jun26 Jun05 May15 Apr03 (jones michael )HIRALDO JOHN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ALDARIGHTTRICKS Jul04 Jun05 Jul13 Jun22 May18 (lewis r)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
SCR  MOR D'ORO Jun14 May23 May10 Apr25   (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 118 5.00    
 
CT-5   07/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($32.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC JOKE Jun27 Jun15 May16 Apr27 Mar29 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CASE ACE Jul05 Jun12 May29 May15 Apr18 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 20.00    
3  IN THE CHASE Jun07 Apr13 Mar20 Feb21 Jan12 (jones e)ACOSTA D 116 6.00 ★    
4  FASTER GATOR Jun30 May17 Apr19 Mar07 Jun23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 0.80 45% 1.20    
5  PROSPECTIVE LOVE Jun07 May10 Apr18 Mar15 Feb13 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
6  BLANCHES MULE Jun12 May30 May02 Mar20 Mar07 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 118 15.00    
SCR  ROCKET SCIENCE Jul03 May29 May15 Mar20 Mar13 (gilles)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 30.00    
8  RADAR ALERT Feb21 Jan25 Dec07 Nov23 Sep11 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
9  WHITE SERIES Jul04 May29 Apr06 Feb13 Jan03 (maldonado j)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   07/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYMENGOLD Jun21 May24 Apr25 Apr19 Nov16 (johnson dewayne )CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  NO CHANGE Jun21 May24 Apr19 Nov16 Oct12 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.00 9% 9.60    
3  LOVE IS WICKED Jul03 Jun06 May10 Apr24 Apr04 (johnson dewa)DIAZ JR 124 15.00    
4  LATE IN THE GAME Jun07 May24 May10 Apr18 Oct12 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 12.00 ★    
5  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Jun13 May10 Mar09 Jan25 Nov18 (runco jeff )CESPEDES JHORMA 113 15.00    
6  ROYAL PAIN Mar13 Feb01 Jan15 Dec04 Nov16 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
7  TEACHINTHERELEASE Nov16 Nov06 Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 (murdock)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 120 1.20 37% 1.70    
8  MUAD'DIB Jun21 Jun07 May17 Apr19 Mar06 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
9  JUBA'S NOTION Jun21 Jun05 May24 May10 Apr25 (jones michael )HIRALDO JOHN 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   07/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Robert Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASCALINE Jun14 May10 Apr19 Sep28 Aug24 (delacour arnaud)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.00 47% 1.10    
  (by UPSTART out of TRES CHIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  MANNY TOO Jun21 May30 May08 Apr18 Nov07 (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ATHENA MOON by MALIBU MOON)
3  IM THE DIRECTOR Jul03 Jun12 May10 Apr18 Mar15 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 ★    
  (by REDIRECT out of CAT THATS GREY by FIBER SONDE)
4  SPOTAFREEONE Jul03 May30 Dec06 Nov15   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of HARBIN ICE by FIRST DUDE)
5  FIBER PROOF Jun21 May31 May10     (viands st)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of TWO HUNDRED PROOF by MALIBU MOON)
6  DIRECT APPEAL Jun27 Jun21 May24 May02 Apr04 (clatter)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of BROOKE'S APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  RAY OF SUNSHINE Jun27 May30 May10 Apr18 Feb22 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of BURREN TRAIL by SHAMARDAL)
 
CT-8   07/19/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOWN TOPIC         (bass curt)BOCACHICA J 124 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of DARKE ICE by FANTASTICAT)
2  LIL KNOCKOUT Jun21 May24 Jan05 Dec27 Dec07 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 5.00 ★    
  (by LEOFRIC out of MISS TURTLEDOVE by HARLINGTON)
3  STELLA'S CANDY         (espinosa victor)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of HOW IS MY GIRL by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SCR  APPLETINI MISS         (gazzier kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of APPLE VALLEY MISS by POINT GIVEN)
5  ONE YEAR MORE         (gazzier kristy)JORGE JULIO 124 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of ONE DAY MORE by LUFTIKUS)
SCR  AIM'S REDIRECT Sep14 Aug23 Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 (reggett)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of EVEN AIM by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
7  MAMASLITTLEMONSTER         (straughn wi)CESPEDES JHORMA 109 15.00    
  (by MONSTER MASH out of MAMASLITTLESECRET by PROSPECTOR STREET)
8  SONDE TAILS Jun21 May24 Apr26     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 ★    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of CAT O' NINE TAILS by PRIZED)
9  CRY TOUGH Jul10 May24 Aug01     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by OUTWORK out of FADE TO BLACK by LASTING APPROVAL)
10  OUR MEMORIES Jul10 Jun20 May23     (grams c)CRUZ KELVIN 116 6.00 27% 2.70    
  (by BLOFELD out of SWEETEST MEMORY by OUTFLANKER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.