Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - July 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(5/1)-(4/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-2   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(4/2/8/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(4/2/8/3)-(3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-3   WIN (4/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/3)-(4/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/3)-(4/2/8/3)-(4/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/8/3)-(3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/3)-(3/7/4)-(2/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-5   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(1/5)-(1/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/5)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LAD-7   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOOLGAROUX Jun28 May21 Apr25 Mar23 Mar07 (jeansonne justi)MCMAHON J 123 2.00 ★    
2  HE'S A FINE BABY May17 Jan19 Sep14 Jul22   (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 6.00    
3  BEACH BLANKET Jun16 May26 Apr05 Sep28 Aug24 (wong jonathan)PENA JONUELLE 118 3.00    
4  ISLAND CABANA Jun29 May25 May03 Apr04 Mar08 (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
5  CORPORAL PAUL Jun27 Jun07 Apr26 Apr05 Dec14 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 12.00 5% 18.90    
6  TENSAS CAMP ROAD Jun16 May25 Mar13 Feb14 Jan02 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
7  DUE WE DARE Jun17 May25 May05 Feb12 Jan18 (pedigo randy)BOREL H 123 15.00    
 
LAD-2   07/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIKONTHETRIGGER Jun22 Jun09 May31 May13 May03 (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  C F JIMMY RAY Jul04 Jun17 Jun02 May17 Apr17 (husak j)VARGAS P 119 1.50 ★    
3  LUCKY BOURBON Jun24 Jun14 May15 Apr10 Feb27 (zeno benjamin)MECHE COLE 114 10.00    
SCR  LT. TENT Jun24 May25 Nov27 Nov06 Feb22 (player fletc)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00    
5  CHIEF NOW NOW Jun17 May13       (fogarty desm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.50 34% 2.00    
6  I BET YOU WONT Jun22 Jun02 May25     (schmidt denis)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.00    
 
LAD-3   07/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASTE ONE Jun10 May25 May05 Mar13 Feb27 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 5.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of SHARP AND CRAFTY by CRAFTY FRIEND)
2  MUSICAL BAND May26 May13 Apr11     (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of LUZZIANN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
3  CAJUN MOVIESTAR Jun30 May25       (burkes bobb)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of RICH REZULTZ by HARBORAGE)
4  EMILY'S BOY Jul03 May21 Mar13 Feb14 Dec08 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 1.50 39% 1.50    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of EMILY JO by TIAGO)
5  MO CAN DO Jun29 Jun14 May15 Apr25 Dec08 (zenon shelton)MECHE COLE 119 30.00    
  (by MO TOM out of TRIPPI'S SAILOR by TRIPPI)
6  GLOBAL HONOR Jul03 May25       (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 4.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BEVERLY BELLE by FAR OUT WADLEIGH)
7  FRIENDLY HINT Jun17 May26 May05 Apr18 Feb08 (dunn henry)BATISTA X 118 6.00    
  (by IMPERIAL HINT out of JEUNE AMIE by CIRCULAR QUAY)
8  LITTLEBITOFAJIMMY         (antwine micha)PENA JONUELLE 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LITTLEBITOFADEVIL out of ALYSAY by TOP VENTURE)
 
LAD-4   07/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEE'S LEGS Jun29 Jun02 May20 May11 Apr23 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 15.00    
2  SERRANO'S WARRIOR Jun10 Jun02 May03 Oct12 Aug05 (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.00 ★    
3  HIT THE BULLSEYE Jun15 Jun02 May03 Jan25 Dec20 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  MISTER DENNIS Jun02 May03 Mar23 Mar09 Feb20 (lara jorge)PENA JONUELLE 117 8.00 14% 6.20    
5  A G'S GEM Jun02 May20 May03 Feb14 Jan31 (beavin judy)ROSIER R 122 6.00    
6  COLT'S BRIM Jun10 May03 Mar20 Feb21 Jan25 (hargrave k)GONZALEZ NICASIO 122 8.00    
7  BLONDATE Jun24 Jun02 May03 Mar19 Feb27 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
LAD-5   07/15/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DUDE DROP KID May20 Mar18 Feb16 Jan24 Dec15 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
2  BIG SCULLY Jun30 Jun07 Sep23 Aug21 Jul17 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
3  PEGASO (PER) Jul01 May19 Mar04 Feb12 Jan24 (turner patti)PENA JONUELLE 120 5.00    
4  PITCH AND RUN Jul01 Apr18 Feb14 Feb01 Jan15 (dunn henry)BATISTA X 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  TONTERIA Jul03 Jun07 May20 May12 May01 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 6.00 ★    
6  LITTLE WARRIOR Jun24 May25 Apr19 Mar04 Feb15 (gomez rafael )LOZADA CARLOS 123 30.00    
7  MONGOLIAN CHAMP Jul01 Jun03 May14 Mar02 Nov10 (wong jonathan)VARGAS P 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
8  AMERICAN DOLLARS Jun23 May17 Apr17 Mar21 Feb23 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 1.80    
 
LAD-6   07/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAWBERRY SUNDAE Jun17 May11 Mar20 Feb07 Jan16 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 123 1.40 43% 1.30    
2  ANITA'S VISION Jun01 Feb17 Jan11 Aug19 Feb29 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 127 2.50 ★    
3  UNIFIED LOVE Jun16 Mar09 Feb06 Jan17 Dec21 (broussard je)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50    
4  LIGHTENING MO Jul05 Jun01 Apr30 Mar12 Feb05 (nelson r)PENA JONUELLE 118 6.00    
5  STEAL ME OVER Jun17 May19 May05 Mar12 Jan27 (schmidt denis)LOZADA CARLOS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GYPSYROSELEE Jun24 May19 May11 Mar20 Feb27 (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 123 20.00    
SCR  AVERI EVER AFTER Jun17 Jun01 May11 Mar20 Feb27 (duke steven)VARGAS P 123 30.00    
 
LAD-7   07/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENTLE SOUL Jul01 Jun02 May17 Feb21 Jan30 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.40 51% 1.00    
2  COURAGEOUSLY Jun22 Jun03 May17 Apr06 Feb09 (fogarty )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Jun28 May17 Mar09 Aug17 Jul12 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  GO CATS Jun21 Jun01 May24 Apr18 Mar15 (diodoro robe)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50    
5  IBERIAN RUNNER Jul01 May30 Apr25 Mar22 Mar02 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 120 30.00    
6  PATH TO SUCCESS May25 May05 Mar13 Feb02 Jan10 (wong jonathan)PENA JONUELLE 115 6.00 ★    
7  HE GOTS TO GO Jun22 May12 Mar23 Mar06 Feb13 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
8  ROWDY JESS May20 Apr04 Mar14 Feb21 Jan15 (tillis jerr)SANTIAGO EDWARD 120 30.00    
SCR  FROST ALERT Jun16 Jun02 May20 May03 Apr24 (martin k)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.