Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

North Dakota Horse Park
Sunday - July 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FAR-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/5/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FAR-4   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FAR-5   WIN (1/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/4/7)-(1/5/3/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FAR-7   WIN (1/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/5)-(4/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FAR-8   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FAR-1   07/13/2025 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT WILL TELL         (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIXIE BANNER out of CAT WON'T TELL by BANANAS)
BEAUTIFUL LAUREN Jun06 May10 May02 Apr06 Mar23 (ness john)WOOD DAKOTA 124 1.40    
  (by COURT VISION out of BEAUTIFUL BIRD by OLD FASHIONED)
FOUR ABOVE Jun28 Jun14 Jun25 Jun11   (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 126 8.00 65% 0.50    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of SANTA FE SUE by PIONEERING)
HAZARDTOYOURHEALTH Jun15 Jun07 Apr25 Apr18 Apr13 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 126 1.80    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BETTY BRITE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
LEIGHTON'S STAR Jun29 May11 Aug04 Jul13   (haar robert )BETHKE A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of NIX TWILITE STAR by NICK)
FLAT OUT RHONDA Jun15 Apr18 Apr04 Mar16 Nov14 (haar j)LUARK T 124 4.50    
  (by FLAT OUT out of RUTHLESS RHONDA by MUNNINGS)
 
FAR-3   07/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONEL KLINK Jun30 Jun09 May25 Jan15 Dec18 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 128 3.00    
SCR  GOLD CRUSHER May31 May18 May02 Apr25 Mar29 (cross kent )MCKENZIE CONNIE 121 10.00    
DARNQUICK Jun21 Jun07 May18 May04 Apr19 (cavanaugh perry)WOOD DAKOTA 129 2.50 23% 3.40    
BRAHMS IS WHO Jun29 Jun21 Jun15 Sep14 Sep05 (suter c)LUARK T 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BIG CREEK Jun14 May24 May16 Aug03 Jun08 (moody skip)BEETEM BRIAN 124 12.00    
DAAHERS BULLY Jun22 Jun08 May17 May04 Sep18 (cavanaugh perr)MCNEIL BRYAN 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
WILLIE CAT Jun27 Jun15 Jun07 May18 May03 (haar j)DELORME L 125 4.00    
AMERICAN SMOOTH May04 Apr05 Mar28 Mar01 Feb05 (wilson robert)MARTINEZ R 122 8.00    
 
FAR-4   07/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPPYS CLASSIC Jun28 Jun15 Jun08 May16 Aug04 (horst scot)DELORME L 126 2.50 59% 0.70    
RIGHT TONE May03 Jan24 Dec22 Dec06 Oct13 (schindler lo)BETHKE A 126 3.00 13% 6.40    
DISCREET INVASION Jul03 May25 Nov27 Oct12 Sep23 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 126 4.00    
SHAKINTHEMONARCHY Jun22 Jun14 Jun07 May30 Apr18 (dolphus jun)MCKENZIE CONNIE 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
FRISCO Jun22 Jun08 Jun01 Jun14   (moody skip)WOOD DAKOTA 124 3.50    
MALADJUSTED MISFIT Jun27 Jun07 Jun01 May25 May09 (cross p)LUARK T 126 10.00    
STREET BEHAVIOR May30 Apr22 Mar20 Feb19 Jan30 (moody skip)BEETEM BRIAN 126 8.00    
 
FAR-5   07/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTARIAN Jun27 Jun13 Jun01 May23 Apr26 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 126 4.00 42% 1.40    
STARS ALIGNED Jun22 Aug04 Jul28 Jul13 Jul30 (martin dean)DESJARLAIS CODY 126 10.00    
ROCHESTER'S FINEST Jun29 Jun22 Jun14 May17 May04 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 6.00 12% 7.50    
ZULTAN Jun29 Jun14 May31 May11 Apr26 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 126 3.50    
CUPID'S WAR Jun22 Jun14 May27 Apr24 Apr03 (cavanaugh perry)WOOD DAKOTA 126 2.50 25% 3.00    
RIVERSPORT Jun29 Jun22 Jun21 Jun14 May18 (ibanez albe)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 20.00    
J'S LITTLE MAN Jun29 Jun22 Jun14 May30 May11 (dolphus jun)MCKENZIE CONNIE 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
PASSING TIME Jun21 May25 May08 Sep25 Sep09 (hurley tristin)BEETEM BRIAN 126 8.00    
JUST ASK JOEL Jun29 Jun22 Jun14 Jun07 Sep25 (suter c)MARTINEZ R 126 15.00    
 
FAR-7   07/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST ND Bred Maiden Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIAM'S CHALLENGE Jun28 Jun07 May16 Aug03 Jul20 (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 1.80 44% 1.30    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
KID HERCULES Jun29 Jun07 Aug04 Jul27 Jul13 (martin dean)DESJARLAIS CODY 122 3.50 12% 7.00    
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of BEARS GRACE by PHILANTHROPIST)
KAYLA'S MOON Jun29 Jun21 Jun14 Aug04   (delorme mar)MCKENZIE CONNIE 119 10.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of SAMANTHA by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
LAST STAR Jun29 Jun14 Aug04 Jul13   (hurley tristin)BEETEM BRIAN 122 6.00    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
MR MOONSHINE MAN         (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of IN HEAVEN by CRAFTY FRIEND)
JEZAMAE KIDD Jun28 Jun14 Jun07 Jun16 Jun04 (longie jr)MARTINEZ R 121 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of LEECHA MAE by SPEED CALLING)
PHENOMENAL ROMEO Jun29 Jun14 Aug04 Jul27 Jul13 (herman jamie)BETHKE A 122 15.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of FLYING FEDORA by LYRE)
D'S PHENOMENAL BOY Jun28 Jun14 Aug04 Jul27 Jul13 (herman jamie)LUARK T 122 20.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of D AND D'S REMEDY by LUSH)
 
FAR-8   07/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERLEIGH'S QUEEN Jun21 May26 Mar02 Feb07 Jun22 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 123 4.50    
THINKN BOUT DRINKN Jul08 Jun21 Jun14 May16 May11 (champagne cora)LUARK T 126 10.00    
SCARLET MOON Jun14 Jun08 Aug03 Jul28 Jul20 (martin dean)DESJARLAIS CODY 123 8.00 13% 6.90    
FINBARFUREY Jun21 Jun14 Jun07 May17 May11 (hurley tristin)BEETEM BRIAN 126 2.50 56% 0.80    
CHERBOURG May26 May17 Mar12 Feb19 Jan26 (allery mark)DELORME L 123 2.00    
WILD STRETCH Jun28 Jun21 Jun15 Jun08 Jul14 (botosh rodger)HAAR NATHAN 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
NOBLE CONNECTION Jun20 Jun08 May23 May02 Apr06 (olson kenneth)WOOD DAKOTA 126 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.