Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - July 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(6/3/4)-(6/7/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(6/7/3)-(5/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(5/7/6)-(6/8/4/7/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(6/8/4/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(6/8/4/7/2)-(3/5/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/8/4/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/7/2)-(6/8/4/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/7/2)-(6/8/4/7/2)-(6/8/4/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/4/7/2)-(3/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/7/2)-(3/5/6)-(2/4/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(2/4/1)-(9/6/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(9/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/2/5)-(9/6/2/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/2/5)-(9/6/2/7/5)-(9/6/2/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   07/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCAPTURED RUBY Feb28 Jan23 Sep28 Aug22 Jun06 (malgarini mawin)RODRIGUEZ V 120 50.00    
TEMPLEMENT Jun27 May31 Mar01 Feb14 Dec08 (venham )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
FAINOR'S FILETS Jun22 Jun07 Apr11 Apr04 Mar22 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
MOR MOR MOR Jun28 May10 Mar23 Feb21 Jan31 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00    
LADY SERENITY Jun27 Jun07 May17 Apr10 Mar07 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 4.50    
CHARGE NURSE Jun20 May31 May09 Mar29 Mar04 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 1.40    
 
CT-2   07/12/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BITCOIN BABY Jun13 May24 May07 Mar18 Mar03 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 118 10.00    
HANNAHS RED RUBY Apr11 Mar02 Jan11 Nov15 Oct28 (sewell)RIOS-CONDE JR 122 20.00    
LOVE THE SAUCE Mar19 Feb22 Jan07 Dec13 Nov16 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 31% 2.30    
SKY BUY Jun12 May16 May02 Apr24 Mar29 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
PLAYING FOR TWO May13 Apr10 Mar06 Jan30 Jan04 (shanley tim)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 5.00    
SHE SPEAKS Jun12 May02 Apr19 Mar14 Jan10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 36% 1.80    
PRINCESS MARGARET Jun28 Jun07 May23 May17 May02 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00    
 
CT-3   07/12/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUP'S TO TAKE Jun14 May17 Apr26 Apr03 Mar22 (jones michael )HIRALDO JOHN 122 20.00    
WISHFUL THOUGHTS Jul04 Jun14 May31 May17 May01 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.80    
BEST HOP IS A DROP Jun14 May29 May03 Mar15 Feb13 (atkins )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHIPPEWA BAY Jun27 May29 Mar28 Mar15 Feb21 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 110 3.50    
MONKEY WRENCH Jun14 May31 May17 Apr26 Apr03 (barahona isa)BATISTA A 122 5.00    
SHUFFLE Jun05 May29 May01 Apr04 Mar21 (rofe j)RIOS-CONDE JR 122 2.00 59% 0.70    
SAPPHIRUS Jul04 Jun05 May29 May01 Apr04 (rofe jean)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 15.00 8% 11.20    
 
CT-4   07/12/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOAST TO COAST Jun15 May26 May09 Apr19 Mar30 (murdock)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
MIDNIGHT RENEGADE Jun22 Jun15 May09 Mar29 Mar08 (mohan r)CRUZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
DON TEQUILAS Jun26 Feb12 Jan13 Dec02 Feb06 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
MOTSKARI Jun13 Jun01 May10 Apr25 Mar08 (brown w)HIRALDO JOHN 120 3.50    
NEVERPOPTHECORK Apr24 Apr04 Mar13 Jan25 Nov09 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 1.80 63% 0.60    
BLAMEITONTHEFUN Jun13 Apr27 Apr11 Mar21 Mar01 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
KEY STAT Jun27 Jun08 Apr06 Mar07 Feb28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 12% 7.50    
 
CT-5   07/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOTH SAILOR Jun06         (viands)ARAUJO VICENTE 116 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of HEAVENLY LUCKY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
BUZZ BUNNY Jun21 May24 Apr19 Mar22   (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of SISTER AIM by BROTHER DEREK)
SUPER MOUNTAINEERS Jun21 May31       (caison l)LARROSA G 116 20.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of IT'SMYINTENSION by AMERICAIN)
RENEGADE RABBIT Jun21 Jun06 May23 Apr11 Mar14 (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 116 4.50 8% 11.80    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of SISTER AIM by BROTHER DEREK)
SHOOK ME ALL NIGHT Mar22 Feb22 Feb06 Jan17 Dec11 (perry l)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
  (by JUBA out of SUZY MOONLIGHT by BLAME)
MEXICALI MIKE Jun21 Jun06 May09 Apr11 Feb21 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 45% 1.20    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HANDS UP by DISTORTED HUMOR)
ENTICE ME Jun06 May09 Apr11     (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 116 5.00 7% 13.00    
  (by ENTICED out of TRACINGS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
JUNGLE BOOGIE         (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 116 6.00 19% 4.30    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of JUNGLE DIAMOND by JUMP START)
SWIFT WATERS Jun06 May09 Apr11 Mar14 Feb22 (kirlew le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 6.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
10  JONAS HILL ROAD Apr05 Mar15 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of EVERYWHERUWANTTOBE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
CT-6   07/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPRESSIONISM Nov21 Sep28 Aug20 Aug02 Jul05 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50    
JUBASLILBALLERINA Jun20 May08 Apr18 Oct12 Aug23 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 120 10.00    
LONA LEE Jun20 May29 May16 Nov01 Oct24 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
SOMESUGARNSPICE Jun21 May08 Apr18 Nov09 Oct10 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 1.40    
JUBA'S PARADE Jun20 Apr18 Nov09 Oct12 Aug23 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 12.00 21% 3.90    
STILL GRUMPY Jun20 May16 Apr18 Mar27 Mar14 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
NO DENYING DENIS Jun20 May29 May16 Apr17 Oct12 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   07/12/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLINGER Jun15 May26 May09 Apr18 Sep14 (frock charl)BURNHAM MATILDA 109 10.00 5% 19.00    
FEELING MACHO Jun13         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Jun27 May30 Apr18 Feb27 Feb08 (straugh)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50    
NOTHING BUT HEIR Jun26 May09 Apr23 Feb01 Dec29 (runco c)CULLUM W 116 4.00 17% 5.00    
NO TIME TO BOOGIE Jun12 May30 May15 Apr10 Mar20 (atkins )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 3.50    
SCR  BOSSME Jun26 May22 May10 Apr18 Mar28 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
CORRELATION May30 Apr23 Feb27 Oct05 Sep15 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 120 6.00    
LIL BIG BOSS Jun26 May22 Apr18 Mar20 Feb27 (hanagan lel)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 15.00    
 
CT-8   07/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARTHA'S HEART Jun21 May30 Mar29 Feb22 Feb08 (sandoval micha)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
CHIQUITA MOSCA Jun20 May09 Jan15 Nov27 Nov02 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50 7% 13.40    
MAJESTY'S FREEDOM Jun20 May17 Apr12 Apr04 Feb19 (leaf robe)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 119 10.00    
MUSIC LASS Jun21 May09 Apr25 Mar08 Feb21 (tuomisto cli)DIAZ JR 124 20.00    
DEL REY DOLLY Jun20 May22 May13 Apr02 Mar12 (jones michael )HIRALDO JOHN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
YOU CAN'T WIN Jun12 May04 Mar11 Jan18 Dec23 (knudsen ken)RAMGEET R 122 6.00 32% 2.20    
AT FIRST SIGHT Jun20 May23 May02 Apr12 Mar22 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00    
SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Jul03 May23 May02 Apr10 Feb21 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 6.00    
RARE RUBY Jun06 May30 May16 Apr11 Mar03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.