Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - July 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(1/3/4)-(8/5/9/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(8/5/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(8/5/9/2)-(5/1/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/5/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/9/2)-(8/5/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/9/2)-(8/5/9/2)-(8/5/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/9/2)-(5/1/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/9/2)-(5/1/2/7)-(4/6/5/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/7)-(4/6/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/7)-(4/6/5/8)-(1/7/8/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/8)-(4/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/8)-(4/6/5/8)-(4/6/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/8)-(1/7/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/8)-(1/7/8/6)-(7/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/8/6)-(7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/6)-(7/1/3)-(5/7/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(5/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6/4)-(5/7/1/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Jun13 Jun06 May16 Apr04 Mar08 (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 3.00    
2  VIGILANTE Jun06 May16 Apr18 Mar21 Feb27 (shanley timothy)CRUZ ANGEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ADDY MAE Jul04 Jun13 Jun06 May16 Apr19 (conn p)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 16% 5.30    
4  COLLECTING ANGELS Jun28 Jun12 May24 Apr26 Apr19 (brown w)HIRALDO JOHN 118 0.60 56% 0.80    
5  FLAMME FATALE Jun06 Apr26 Mar01 Jan29 Nov17 (couchenour lee)REYNOLDS C 122 10.00    
6  DIRECT CAUSE Jun28 Jun13 Apr26 Apr17 Apr05 (obed-l)RIOS-CONDE JR 118 20.00    
 
CT-2   07/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAZMAN CAN Jun12 May24 May08 Apr26 Apr04 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
2  BIG JOE B Jun12 May15 Apr19 Mar20 Mar01 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 3.50    
3  POWERED BY LOVE Jun12 May15 Apr23 Apr03 Mar15 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
4  NOCASHREFUNDS Jun12 May23 Apr25 Mar20 Feb15 (boggs joann)PELTROCHE ELIAS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DEFIANT GIANT Jun12 May15 May02 Apr24 Apr03 (brown w)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.00    
6  BAD LINEAGE Jun12 May15 Dec04 Nov22 Nov09 (perry l)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
 
CT-3   07/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIKEAGENTLEMAN Jun20 May30 May09 Apr19 Mar27 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 20.00    
2  FEARNOUGHT Jun26 Jun05 May23 May09 Apr18 (clatterbu)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  WELL SPOTTED Jun26 Apr18 Mar20 Mar07 Feb05 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 122 20.00    
4  TETCHED Jun27 Jun08 May11 Apr13 Mar21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50    
5  C R'S MANDATE Jun21 May24 Apr25 Jan31 Dec13 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 4.00 19% 4.10    
6  RAISE A RUCKUS Jun19 Jun06 May09 Apr10 Mar13 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 6.00    
7  TIMMY May09 Mar29 Jan03 Nov29 Nov08 (cornwell james )JORGE JULIO 124 10.00    
8  NAY'S ONLY ONE Jun06 May09 Apr23 Feb28 Feb01 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
9  SHOOT THE BREEZE Jun06 May18 Apr28 Apr03 Mar13 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
 
CT-4   07/11/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMORIAN Apr18 Mar11 Nov29 Sep27 May25 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 6.00 27% 2.60    
2  PEGGY'S WAY Jun21 Mar29 Mar07 Feb08 Jan11 (brown w)HIRALDO JOHN 124 3.50 13% 6.40    
3  BALI HAI Jun21 May30 May17 Apr10 Mar15 (scott h)RIOS-CONDE A 124 20.00    
4  SPECIAL NOTE May31 May09 Apr19 Mar29 Mar20 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 8.00    
5  COWGIRL ATTITUDE Jun26 Apr25 Mar14 Jan31 Jan16 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.00 34% 1.90    
6  SULTRY SALLY H Jun25 May30 May23 Jan31 Dec13 (vick timo)BOCACHICA J 122 20.00    
7  GREEN GABLES Jun06 Apr21 Jan30 Jan04 Nov30 (obed-letts ketu)CRUZ KELVIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  TIZ THE REASON Jun21 May23 May02 Apr18 Mar06 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00    
 
CT-5   07/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAC IS FAST Jun07 Apr05 Nov13 Nov01 Oct03 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
2  SUPER SPIRIT Jun20 May30 May10 Apr19 Mar21 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 15.00    
SCR  TALAVERA Jun27 May30 May15 Apr24 Apr05 (viands st)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
4  INSTITUTION Jun21 Jan26 Dec02 Nov10 Oct25 (russell b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 55% 0.80    
5  DEE DEE SIX Jun20 May30 May17 Apr25 Mar29 (cipriano ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SAFFRON Jun20 May10 Mar29 Mar08 Feb15 (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
7  TIDBIT Jun21 May30 May15 Mar08 Feb19 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
8  SATURN'S GHOST Jun21 May29 May08 Apr23 Mar29 (shanley mark)HIRALDO JOHN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  WIN FOR LAILA May04 Mar22 Mar13 Feb22 Dec28 (kolibos ioann)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
10  CITY TAAH Jun21 May30 May10 Apr23 Mar21 (runco c)CULLUM W 118 5.00    
 
CT-6   07/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY CONCHO Jun20 May23 Apr10 Mar14 Feb26 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
2  JUBA BOUND Jun20 Jun13 May22 May01 Apr12 (knudsen ken)RAMGEET R 122 12.00    
3  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Jun13 May27 Apr10 Mar15 Feb07 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
SCR  PARK AVE PRINCE May08 Apr10 Mar13 Feb01 Jan02 (jones michael )HIRALDO JOHN 120 15.00    
5  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Jun06 May08 Apr10 Mar13 Feb14 (atkins )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
6  CAYENNE CREEK Jun26 May08 Apr18 Mar27 Feb22 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 120 12.00 7% 13.50    
7  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Jun19 May22 Apr23 Feb28 Jan23 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 14% 5.90    
8  BREAK THE CHAINS Jun20 May23 May08 Apr06 Mar20 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 4.00 7% 12.80    
9  RACING HOT LINE Jun06 May08 Apr10 Feb28 Feb01 (barber l)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00    
 
CT-7   07/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA MELA May31 Apr19 Mar22 Jan18 Dec14 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
2  NOTIPTONI Jun27 Jun14 May25 May02 Mar27 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 116 12.00    
3  CORRI FELICE Jun21 May08 Apr03 Mar01 Feb07 (gazzier kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  IHEARTRAINACOMN Jul05 Jun14 May30 May15 May05 (dollinger-)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 20.00    
5  SHERUNSTHISTOWN Jun21 May24 May01 Apr03 Feb07 (sterling michael )LARROSA G 118 4.50 ★    
6  QUEEN JELLY BEAN Oct31 Sep29 Sep04 Aug01 Jul11 (reynolds )BOCACHICA J 120 6.00    
7  PETTY PERFECT Jun21 May08 Apr17 Dec12 Nov20 (petty kristy)ACOSTA D 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
CT-8   07/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONDS REVENGE Jun28 Jun21 Apr25 Feb21 Feb01 (rofe jean)BOCACHICA J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  A REASON TO PARTY Jun27 Jun06 May23 Apr25 Mar28 (grigsb)RIOS-CONDE JR 118 6.00    
3  INTENTION TO ZIP Jun27 Jun06 May09 Apr19 Mar28 (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 118 20.00    
4  DONTCROSSTHELINE Jun28 Jun06 May23 May10 Apr23 (atkins )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 118 5.00 ★    
5  SHARPASADIAMOND Jun21 Jun06       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.80 66% 0.50    
6  MIST OVER CORK Jun12 May29 May15 Apr17 Mar27 (boggs joann)PELTROCHE ELIAS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  FELICIAS CINCO Jun21 May17 May09 Apr11 Mar22 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 3.00 7% 13.10    
8  ED'S PROPHECY Apr17 Feb28 Feb13 Jan24 Jan04 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 15.00    
9  MAJESTIC SUNDAY Aug15         (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
10  CRUSH 'N RUN Jun27 Jun21 May29 Apr13 Apr05 (lewis r)MAWING A 124 30.00    
SCR  GOGOGETEM Jun06 May10 Apr25     (craig e)JORGE JULIO 118 20.00    
SCR  BLAMEITONMYROOTS         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.