Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Thursday - July 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (9/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/2/4)-(9/6/10/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/2/4)-(9/6/10/2/4)-(9/6/10/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/6/2/4)-(3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/6/2/4)-(3/1)-(4/3/8/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
EVD-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(4/3/8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(4/3/8/1)-(9/5/1/12/11) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
EVD-3   WIN (4/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/1)-(4/3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/1)-(4/3/8/1)-(4/3/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/8/1)-(9/5/1/12/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8/1)-(9/5/1/12/11)-(9/1/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-4   WIN (9/5/1/12/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/1/12/11)-(9/5/1/12/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/1/12/11)-(9/5/1/12/11)-(9/5/1/12/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/1/12/11)-(9/1/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/5/1/12/11)-(9/1/6/4)-(3/10/12/4/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-5   WIN (9/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/4)-(9/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/4)-(9/1/6/4)-(9/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/6/4)-(3/10/12/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/6/4)-(3/10/12/4/9)-(8/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-6   WIN (3/10/12/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/12/4/9)-(3/10/12/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/12/4/9)-(3/10/12/4/9)-(3/10/12/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/12/4/9)-(8/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/10/12/4/9)-(8/2/3)-(5/6/3/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-7   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/2/3)-(8/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/3)-(5/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-8   WIN (5/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/8/2)-(5/6/3/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   07/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CACTUS CAT Jun13 May17       (west henry)FLORIAN JOSE 119 15.00    
LAST PENALTY Jun27 Jun13 May01 Feb15 Jan31 (govea cesa)RAMIREZ JR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
ISOBELA Jun28 Jun07 May25 Apr27 Apr06 (arey anthony)MCMAHON J 124 4.00    
EVE EVE May16 Apr17 Apr04 Mar13 Feb15 (bernard john)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPLOTCH Jun13 May29 May01 Apr09 Mar13 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 116 20.00    
PERFECT DEAL May16 Apr17 Apr04 Mar12 Feb23 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  HONEST DEAL Jun26 May29 May07 Apr16 Feb15 (west henry)ALBERT S 121 20.00    
TIZ A BREAKUP Jun13 Apr23 Apr04 Mar13 Feb22 (charles jonath)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 20.00    
BLUSHING KAM Jun13 May14 Apr17 Feb16 Jan24 (larrosa a)PEREZ CARLOS 116 2.00 37% 1.70    
10  ELWIN May17 Mar13 Feb27 Dec13 Nov15 (david b)BARRERA J 121 6.00    
 
EVD-2   07/10/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL MERO MERO Jun13 May25 Apr18 Feb23 Jan26 (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  MUD ON MY BOOTS Jun06 May23 May01 Apr16 Feb19 (mojica a)ARANA KELVIN 119 20.00    
FIRST CLASS HARLOW Nov05 Aug14 Jul12 May30 May11 (mojica edi)RAMIREZ JR 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  CONFUCIUS Jun20 May21 Apr30 Mar14 Feb22 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50    
TONI'S INFERNO Jun21 May31 Apr25 Mar13 Feb14 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
SCR  JACKSON D May17 Apr30 Mar03 Jan17 Dec14 (ducoing sturges )FUSILIER C 121 2.00    
SCR  CHIEF SLEW May23 Apr25 Feb19 Jan30 Jan17 (ramirez l)PEREZ CARLOS 113 15.00    
SUMMERTIME PEPPERS May30 May07 Apr18 Apr04 Mar04 (knudsen kent)THORNTON G 121 10.00    
SCR  COATTAILS Jun06 May17 Apr26 Feb01 Jan09 (duhon paul)MECHE COLE 113 12.00    
10  RAYDEN AND REMI Jun13 May24 May01 Apr12 Feb06 (gelner j)POMPELL L 118 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT AVENGER Jun26 May15 Feb28 Feb08 Jan25 (faul jason)THORNTON G 124 15.00    
SCR  RUN ON ACES Jun26 Jun13 May01 Apr09 Dec14 (zeno benjamin)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 30.00    
SCR  DEN'S GOOD GRACE Jun27 Jan31 Nov15 Oct29 Jul05 (delany sarah)PEREZ CARLOS 119 6.00    
SCR  YOU'RE ON MUTE Jun27 Jun10 May17 Apr16 Apr04 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 8.00    
 
EVD-3   07/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARPES HILL Jun13 May24 May09 Apr19 Mar21 (patt roland)MELANCON JANSEN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
JAMAICAN ME Jun01 May17 Apr19 Mar07 Feb07 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 15.00    
SOPHIE'S PAINTER Jun13 May22 Mar09 Feb21 Jan30 (larrosa a)POMPELL L 121 1.80 18% 4.40    
FREDDIE BY A NOSE Nov29 Jul04 Jun13 May22 May10 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
BABY'S LAST DANCE Jun28 Jun13 May23 May01 Apr11 (zeno benjamin)MECHE COLE 119 8.00    
SCR  I DON'T VENMO May01 Apr16 Nov29 Nov02 Aug09 (escobar aliso)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 30.00    
JOSEPH H Jun28 May31 May15 Apr24 Apr05 (dison phillip )PEREZ CARLOS 119 6.00    
APRIORITY AVENGER Jun13 Mar21 Mar07 Feb14 Jan17 (peterson j)ALBERT S 124 12.00 16% 5.10    
GORDITO HERMOSO Jun20 May23 Apr24 Mar19 Feb27 (schwandt emi)BARRERA J 124 4.50    
 
EVD-4   07/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTRY DEALS Jun06 May14 Apr18     (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
ONE GRAND SLAM Jun28         (shamsie randy)ARANA KELVIN 116 15.00    
Z STAR Jun05 Mar19       (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 121 12.00    
CADILLAC BO Jun13 May09 Jun28 May29 May15 (eschete n)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00    
MIDNIGHT STREAK Jun28         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 121 5.00 18% 4.60    
CLASSICAL KNIGHT Jun20         (peterson je)MELANCON JANSEN 121 20.00    
R T'S CAJUN Aug24 Aug10       (fuselier j)ALBERT S 124 20.00    
STEVE'S TROUBLE Jun20 May21 Apr11 Feb06 Jan16 (ward ronni)RAMIREZ JR 121 12.00    
LIKE CLOCKWORK Jun20 May21       (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
10  OUR SHINING STAR Jun05 May09       (breaux samuel)PEREZ CARLOS 116 20.00    
11  TENACIOUS SPIRIT Jun21         (thomas lee)POMPELL L 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  ANALITICO Jun26 Jun12 May17 May08 Apr24 (dison ma)FUSILIER C 124 3.50 11% 7.90    
SCR  RIGHTHOOFLEFTRIGHT         (averett ronnie)ROSIER R 121 15.00    
 
EVD-5   07/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN KNOW HOW Jun20 May24 May02 Feb28 Dec13 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
J L PAC MAN Jun12 May15 Oct30 Oct16 Jun27 (alberto ant)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00    
MATZOH BALL Jun12 May24 May07 Apr11 Feb07 (mouton chadwic)PEREZ CARLOS 114 10.00    
BLACK SWORD Jun07 May10 Apr12 Mar23 Feb17 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SASSI D Apr18 Mar14 Feb27 Feb19 Dec28 (thomas le)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
BIG CHOPPER Jun07 May26 Mar22 Feb27 Feb17 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 119 2.50 10% 8.70    
ATRAS Jun15 May27 May09 Apr01 Mar09 (hewitt michae)VARGAS P 122 20.00    
PERRY COUNTY Jun20 May24 Apr17 Mar15 Feb17 (litfin veronica)MCMAHON J 119 4.50    
HE'S JUST LUCKY Jun07 May03 Apr10 Mar22 Feb27 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
EVD-6   07/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIGAR VAN Apr18 Feb23 Dec22 Nov30 Oct23 (pitzer d)POMPELL L 117 15.00    
HALF AGAIN May24 Apr12 Feb16 Jan18 Dec15 (duhon paul)BARRERA J 119 10.00    
BARON OF THE NILE Jun06 Apr11 Mar06 Feb12 Jan17 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
HANDSOME HAROLD Jun12 May30 May02 Mar04 Feb23 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00 12% 7.00    
FLASHY LOVER Jun06 May21 May02 Feb07 Jan25 (dison phillip )MUNOZ SERGIO 122 15.00    
EMPIRE KID May31 May08 Feb21 Jan30 Dec11 (alberto an)RAMIREZ JR 119 15.00    
SCR  DIXIE STREET May09 Mar20 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 (ducoing s)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50    
SHUT UP MAN Apr04 Mar09 Feb14 Jan19 Jan03 (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 122 20.00    
HOLY BAYOU May21 Feb14 Dec13 Nov07 Oct12 (woodley j)FUSILIER C 117 12.00 12% 7.30    
10  BIND FAITH Jun20 Jun06 May24 May01 Apr11 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
11  WILLIAM GUSTAVO Jun13 May23 May01 Apr11 Feb15 (zeno benjamin)ARANA KELVIN 115 20.00    
12  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Jun06 May21 Mar20 Feb23 Feb12 (terre david)THORNTON G 119 8.00 13% 6.50    
 
EVD-7   07/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEARLY CREEPS Jun22 Jun10 May19 Mar30 Mar02 (wilson melto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
FOR HARPER Jun07 May15 Aug31 Aug10 Jul06 (ducoing s)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 28% 2.50    
WONDERRAND Jun07 May15 Apr11 Mar23 Feb20 (chatters be)MELANCON JANSEN 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  SWAMP QUEEN Jun13 May24 Mar20 Feb15 Jan18 (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 117 15.00    
BE A BANDIT Jun12 May22 May01 Apr18 Feb13 (zenon )RUIZ GARCIA 120 20.00    
RUSTY'S SUNRISE Jun07 May01 Apr05 Mar20 Mar03 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
SCR  TOMMIE G Jul05 Jun07 May15 Apr11 Mar23 (west patricia )THORNTON G 120 1.40    
NODAH Jun07 May02 Apr11 Feb20 Jan17 (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  SWEET DARLIN Jun07 May02 Mar23 Feb23 Jan30 (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 120 6.00    
 
EVD-8   07/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAT THE DOUBLE Jun14 May21 Apr23 Mar16 Feb21 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 116 20.00    
MALLORY'S OCEAN Jun19 May29 May16 May01 Feb06 (faul jason)MELANCON JANSEN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
PRETTYWELL STACKED Jun14 May21 May07 Apr16 Feb21 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
SPECIAL FEATURE Jun14 May16 May01 Apr09 Jan31 (latour nichola)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 15.00    
CASHMERE BABY Jun30 Jun07 May01 Apr24 Mar15 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 1.80 33% 2.10    
BEAUTIFUL JANET Jun19 May24 May09 Apr19 Apr05 (knudsen kent)THORNTON G 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
SIR SAWYER Jun22 Jun03 May12 Apr19 Mar14 (arey anthony)MCMAHON J 118 15.00    
GIGI'S LUV Jun14 May07 Feb06 Jan10 Dec20 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 4.00    
HIGH DONNA May09 Apr19 Feb22 Jan31 Dec19 (mojica edi)RAMIREZ JR 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.