Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - July 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(7/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(7/6/3/5)-(7/6/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/5/2)-(7/3/5/6/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/2)-(7/3/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/2)-(7/3/5/6/8)-(7/2/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/3/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/6/8)-(7/3/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/6/8)-(7/3/5/6/8)-(7/3/5/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/5/6/8)-(7/2/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/6/8)-(7/2/8)-(9/5/8/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/8)-(7/2/8)-(7/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/8)-(9/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8)-(9/5/8/3)-(8/3/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (9/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/8/3)-(9/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/8/3)-(9/5/8/3)-(9/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/8/3)-(8/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/5/8/3)-(8/3/5/7)-(10/2/9/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/5/7)-(10/2/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/2/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/9/5)-(10/2/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/9/5)-(10/2/9/5)-(10/2/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   07/05/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRON TAP May22 Apr23 Mar29 Feb26 Jan19 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 3.00 26% 2.80    
ORANGE JUICE Jun26 May29 Apr23 Mar20 Feb27 (viands stac)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
THEDINGOATEYOBABY Jun26 May29 May10 Apr28 Mar07 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
LET'S EAT Apr05 Mar20 Mar01 Feb06 Jan23 (gilles)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 30.00    
DARK LUTE Jun21 Jun01 May23 May09 Mar27 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 2.00    
RICK'SWARMHEART Jun26 May10 Apr13 Mar22 Feb14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.00 42% 1.40    
 
CT-2   07/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIE'S MUSIC Jun06 May09 Apr23 Mar14   (collins tim)BATISTA A 116 5.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of SHILOH ROAD by CONGRATS)
AQUA DUCHESS Jun21 May24       (lucas ant)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of CANAL SIX by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
KEEP SHINING ON US Jun06 May09 Apr23 Mar14 Feb14 (petty kristy)ACOSTA D 116 4.00 8% 11.80    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
HOLD DEM Jun12 Jun03 May18 Apr18 Mar07 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 119 50.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of GIMMEDAPURSE by MASS MEDIA)
HOUSE ALERT Jun27 May24 Mar21 Feb28 Feb13 (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of BANK TELLER by BANKER'S GOLD)
ITALIAN SONG Jun06 Apr26       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 2.00 21% 3.70    
  (by MITOLE out of SATURDAY NTHE PARK by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
PRESHOW HYPE Jun06 May09 Apr23 Mar14 Feb14 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 116 1.60 49% 1.10    
  (by BAYERN out of PRESHOW by BERTRANDO)
 
CT-3   07/05/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTLY SQUALL May23 May02 Apr10 Mar22 Nov13 (dollinger-s)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 20.00    
COAL COUNTRY Jun13 May30 May16 Apr28 Apr05 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
KLUVYAMEANANDNASTY Jun21 May08 Apr19 Mar22 Feb08 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 120 15.00    
IHEARTRAINACOMN Jun14 May30 May15 May05 Apr19 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 12.00    
O K SMARTY PANTS Jun21 Apr19 Mar22 Feb19 Jan10 (sterling mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
MOLLY FACTOR May01 Apr03 Feb26 Feb07 Jan15 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
OVERNIGHT POW WOW Nov01 Oct12 Sep20 Aug23 Jul27 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 0.20 56% 0.80    
 
CT-4   07/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOX FIFTY EIGHT Jun13 May23 May01     (payne g)LARROSA G 118 30.00    
  (by GUNNEVERA out of CAUSE FOR REPENT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SWEET MANHATTAN Jun13 Jan22       (gilles)RIOS-CONDE JR 118 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of THREE EMERALDS by THREE WONDERS)
LIPSTICK AND ROUGE         (caiazzo corby)ACOSTA D 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of LIPSTICK PULPIT by PULPIT)
CAN I GET AWITNESS Jun27 Jun07 May01 Mar20 Feb15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of RIZZOLI by VIOLENCE)
FAB GIRL Apr11 Mar09 Feb02     (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.50 14% 6.20    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIZZ FABULOUS by TIZ WONDERFUL)
HIS CHOICE Jun27 May22 May04 Apr24 Apr10 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DRESS FOR BALLET by DROSSELMEYER)
TALBOT HEIRLOOM Jun13 May01 Apr10 Dec14 Nov16 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ARABICA by WATER BANK)
SERENADE ME Jun13 May23 May01     (gilles)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of QUIET INFERNO by QUIET AMERICAN)
DICE ARM May24 May10 Apr24 Feb08 Dec14 (keller chris)DIAZ JR 124 12.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HIPPOCAMPUS by TAPIT)
 
CT-5   07/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASE ACE Jun12 May29 May15 Apr18 Mar14 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 4.00    
PARADE OF FEARS Jun12 May24 Apr23 Apr13   (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 4.50 17% 4.80    
MO JOKE Jun01 May11 Apr26 Mar28 Feb13 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 10.00    
SCR  TETCHED Jun27 Jun08 May11 Apr13 Mar21 (farrior anth)DIAZ JR 118 12.00    
BETTA GO GO GO May31 May11 Apr13 Mar28 Mar07 (gonzale)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50    
SCR  EL GUNNER Jun12 May22 May15 Apr05 Feb26 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
LAWYER UP RILEY May15 Apr10 Mar20 Feb21 Jan23 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
MAXIMUS SPEED Jun20 May28 May04 Mar28 Mar07 (mancilla carlo)HIRALDO JOHN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   07/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MILITARY GRADE Sep29         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 5.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of BIG MOMMA by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
TEX Mar30 Jan26       (viands st)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of TANZERIN by QUINZIEME MONARQUE)
PRALINE CAN DO IT         (stites fli)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ECLIPTICALSPRALINE out of FASTERTHANFAST by BRETHREN)
ONE TRUE DUDE Jun13 May11 Apr26     (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 12.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of LAST MINUTE LUCY by GIANT GIZMO)
MITBY Jun26 Nov20 Aug30 Aug04   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 34% 2.00    
  (by MITOLE out of FORMBY by SCAT DADDY)
BREEZING UP Jun07 May16 May04 Apr11   (barr h)ACOSTA D 118 15.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of NON NEGOTIABLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
CHASING THE LADIES         (smith fra)BOCACHICA J 118 15.00    
  (by SWEETONTHELADIES out of DUDE'S SECRET by FIRST DUDE)
ZAPTASTIC Jun13 May24 May09 Apr23 Mar28 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 4.00 6% 14.80    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHEERY OATS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
BERNIE THE STAR Jun13 May09 Apr25 Apr11 Mar09 (singh somra)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of MY STAR POTENTIAL by TRITAP)
 
CT-7   07/05/2025 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEFFERSON NATIVE Jun20 Apr19 Feb07 Jan29 Nov29 (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
LITTLE ROO ROO Jun20 May01 Mar29 Feb26 Feb07 (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Jun20 May22 Apr20 Mar28 Feb26 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 30% 2.40    
HOPPING HENRY Jun21 May22 Apr19 Mar28 Feb26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
UNISON Oct12 Aug17 Jul04 May18 Apr27 (curtis)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 5.00 10% 8.70    
EL LUCERITO Jun19 Apr19 Mar28 Feb05 Dec14 (campbell marshal)MAWING A 120 20.00    
FURREAL Nov27 Oct30 Oct10 Sep13 Aug15 (curtis lar)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
HONEYQUIST Jun20 May17 Feb26 Jan29 Nov07 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
CT-8   07/05/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMMY THE KID May15 Apr23 Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 (martin augu)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 20.00    
MISSIONSNINETYNINE Jun12 May23 May01 Apr23 Mar20 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
SUMMERSTATEOFMIND Apr29 Apr04 Mar07 Feb23 Feb09 (knoblauch)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 12.00    
GOLD FIBER Jun12 May29 Mar29 Mar13 Feb14 (joy kev)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.00    
FLY FLY AWAY Jun12 May29 May15 Apr03 Feb08 (garber owen)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LARZ Jun13 May29 Dec19 Sep16 Aug27 (o'callaha)BOCACHICA J 122 15.00    
SCR  SPEAKERIT Jun15 May15 Apr26 Mar22 Nov10 (kee j)ADAMS L 122 30.00    
THANK YA PETE Jun20 May23 May15 Apr25 Apr03 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 6.00    
ZIO LORENZO May17 Apr25 Apr03 Jan16 Dec05 (peltroche v)PELTROCHE ELIAS 124 6.00 9% 9.70    
10  RESTLESS Jun20 May24 Apr24 Apr06 Mar06 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.