Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - May 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(7/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(7/1/5/2)-(8/4/5/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/2)-(8/4/5/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/2)-(8/4/5/6/7)-(7/4/6/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/4/5/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/6/7)-(8/4/5/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/6/7)-(8/4/5/6/7)-(8/4/5/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/5/6/7)-(7/4/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/6/7)-(7/4/6/5)-(3/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/5)-(7/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/5)-(7/4/6/5)-(7/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/5)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/5)-(3/5/2)-(2/3/7/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(2/3/7/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(2/3/7/1/6)-(3/2/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/3/7/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/1/6)-(2/3/7/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/1/6)-(2/3/7/1/6)-(2/3/7/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/7/1/6)-(3/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/1/6)-(3/2/4/5)-(10/4/5/9/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (3/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/5)-(10/4/5/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/4/5/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/5/9/8)-(10/4/5/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/5/9/8)-(10/4/5/9/8)-(10/4/5/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/23/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSIONSNINETYNINE May01 Apr23 Mar20 Feb22 Feb06 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.40 28% 2.50    
BREAK THE CHAINS May08 Apr06 Mar20 Feb15 Jan16 (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
AUBURN MILL May08 Apr10 Mar22 Feb22 Feb06 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 27% 2.80    
EVANESCO May01 Apr17 Mar22 Feb15 Dec11 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00    
ESTRELLA FUGAZ May01 Apr17 Mar13 Mar07 Jan25 (peltroche v)PELTROCHE ELIAS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
TAKE YOUR TIME May01 Apr17 Mar22 Feb19 Jan23 (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 122 5.00    
 
CT-2   05/23/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMY'S TOP GUN         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of REMY DOODLES by GRAND SLAM)
CLASSY BAY         (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 13% 6.80    
  (by BULLSBAY out of CLASSICA by PURE PRIZE)
OUR MEMORIES         (grams c)CRUZ KELVIN 122 6.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of SWEETEST MEMORY by OUTFLANKER)
LOVELY ODDS Mar06 Feb27       (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
  (by DESPITE THE ODDS out of NOT EVEN FOR LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
MARILYN MOONROE Oct24 Sep20       (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
  (by ALDRIN out of STONE COLD FLIRT by YES IT'S TRUE)
PEACH PARFAIT May09 Apr23 Mar22 Feb27   (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of BRASS MAGNOLIA by GREAT NOTION)
I'M A COOL QUEEN Apr26 Jan30 Jan10 Dec06 Nov06 (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 122 1.80 22% 3.60    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LUYU by INDIAN CHARLIE)
GINGER TWIST Nov06 Sep13       (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SKETCH BOOK by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
CT-3   05/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM STREET ROSE Dec07 Nov20 Oct24 Oct04 Sep01 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 3.50    
LOOK AHEAD May10 Apr26 Apr18 Mar27 Mar01 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 4.50    
SISTER WINNIE May02 Mar27 Feb28 Feb19 Jan29 (tobin ed)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
CITY OF ARCHES Apr19 Mar29 Feb07 Dec12 Nov20 (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
LIL MISS HONKYTONK May10 Apr17 Mar15 Feb07 Jan11 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
CREED CALLING Apr17 Mar28 Feb27 Jan31   (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 12.00 10% 9.40    
GHOST OF ALCINA Apr24 Apr05 Jul26 Jul13 Jun20 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SEVEN NATTY PATTY Apr24 Mar27 Feb28 Feb06 Dec07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
SLEWING May10 Apr17 Apr03 Dec06 Nov23 (groves janice)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   05/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER KENDALL May10 Apr26 Mar29 Mar22   (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BEGINNER'S LUCK by AWESOME AGAIN)
DANCING DAKOTAH Mar27 Feb22 Dec13 Nov24 Nov03 (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 4.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of KODIAK KATIE by KODIAK KOWBOY)
FOX FIFTY EIGHT May01         (harrison n)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
  (by GUNNEVERA out of CAUSE FOR REPENT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
MAMAWASAGOGOGIRL May01 Sep14       (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00 16% 5.10    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of GO GO DANA by MALIBU MOON)
IRISH DELIGHT May01 Mar22       (davis e)ACOSTA D 122 12.00 8% 11.40    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of DELIGHTFULLSTORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
GOLD DART Apr10 Mar15 Feb22 Dec14 Nov16 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.50 14% 6.30    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DARTING by DURING)
SERENADE ME May01         (gillespi)DAVIS A 122 5.00 34% 2.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of QUIET INFERNO by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  TALBOT HEIRLOOM May01 Apr10 Dec14 Nov16 Oct26 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.20    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ARABICA by WATER BANK)
 
CT-5   05/23/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHER FINE JUBA May02 Mar15 Feb19 Jan29 Jan04 (sanderson)BOCACHICA J 122 6.00    
GHOSTLY SQUALL May02 Apr10 Mar22 Nov13 Oct19 (dollinge)DAVIS A 122 10.00 11% 7.90    
CHEROKEE CASTLE Apr25 Apr18 Mar29 Feb08 Jan02 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
PRINCESS MARGARET May17 May02 Apr10 Mar08 Feb22 (sandova)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
TALENT EXPECTED Sep16 Aug26 Jun18 May26 May05 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
TIZ THE REASON May02 Apr18 Mar06 Jan29 Dec03 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 3.50    
SHEWEARSSTILETTOS May02 Apr10 Feb21 Feb05 Jan15 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
SCR  IN TO THE NIGHT Apr20 Mar21 Jan13 Dec01 Oct30 (blankenship)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
 
CT-6   05/23/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY'S MAJESTY         (martinez jos)WHITACRE GRANT 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of CANDYFORACAUSE by CHARITABLE MAN)
CHARLIENITE Apr25 Mar28 Mar14 Feb22 Feb01 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 57% 0.70    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CORAIL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
AYE DIRECT Apr25         (viands )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 12% 7.60    
  (by REDIRECT out of AYE A CAT by FIBER SONDE)
DONTCROSSTHELINE May10 Apr23 Mar28 Mar14   (atkins m)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of DUPPY CONQUEROR by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
A REASON TO PARTY Apr25 Mar28 Mar14 Feb22 Feb01 (grigsb)RIOS-CONDE JR 122 20.00    
  (by ALLIANCE out of PARTY N THE PALACE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
BIRCH BAY         (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SWING AND MISS out of LEMON TEA CAKE by SKYWALKER)
MOR D'ORO May10 Apr25       (brown keith )DIAZ JR 122 4.50 5% 18.30    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BARONESS JULIETTE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
RENEGADE RABBIT Apr11 Mar14 Feb28 Feb15 Jan31 (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of SISTER AIM by BROTHER DEREK)
JUBA'SDIAMOND May10 Apr25 Mar28     (rangel ricardo)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00    
  (by JUBA out of HASTYPUDDINDIAMOND by CITISLIPPER)
SCR  GOGOGETEM May10 Apr25       (craig lewis )BATISTA A 122 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of LITTLEMISSGOGO by WAR FRONT)
11  TWISTER CITY May10         (wilhelm tabitha)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
  (by SMARTEN out of PAYING DIVIDENS by STORMY'S MAJESTY)
SCR  SUPER MOUNTAINEERS         (caison l)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of IT'SMYINTENSION by AMERICAIN)
 
CT-7   05/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE May16 Apr25 Apr05 Mar13 Feb15 (clatter)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 124 30.00    
CATCH THE HUMOR May02 Apr18 Nov07 Oct12 Sep26 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 17% 4.90    
RUNALDO Apr25 Nov16 Oct12 Aug17 Jul19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.60 56% 0.80    
ESPRESSO May02 Oct12 Jul19 Apr20 Mar23 (brown a)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.50 6% 15.10    
LORD OF CORK May02 Apr19 Oct12 Aug23 Aug10 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
COURT TUDOR Apr24 Mar07 Feb06 Jan25 Dec12 (kirlew lenwor)RIVERA JAVIER 120 50.00    
NOCASHREFUNDS Apr25 Mar20 Feb15 Jan31 Jan16 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
 
CT-8   05/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THANK YA PETE May15 Apr25 Apr03 Mar13 Feb26 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 5.00    
BONNIE BILL May09 Apr18 Mar22 Feb27 Feb06 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 122 8.00    
FEARNOUGHT May09 Apr18 Mar27 Mar13 Feb14 (clatter)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
FANCY CONCHO Apr10 Mar14 Feb26 Jan17 Jan03 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
BOURBON AND ICE May09 Apr18 Mar17 Feb27 Jan28 (farrior anth)DIAZ JR 124 10.00 15% 5.80    
WATASHA May09 Apr10 Mar13 Feb21 Jan03 (knudse)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 15.00    
RAGTIME RICHES Feb06 Jan18 Dec13 Nov14 Nov01 (gillespi)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
TAPIO (IRE) May09 Apr11 Feb27 Jan17 Dec13 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SKI COUNTRY May09 Apr11 Mar21 Feb27 Dec14 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
10  CROWN THAT SAINT May02 Apr10 Mar13 Feb26 Jan24 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  ROL AGAIN DANCER Apr24 Apr03 Feb21 Jan10 Jul08 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 6.00    
SCR  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Apr25 Apr05 Mar13 Feb22 Feb14 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50    
SCR  BESOTTED Mar15 Feb21 Jan24 Jan03 Dec06 (atkins m)DAVIS A 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.