Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - May 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(1/4/7/2)-(6/1/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/2)-(6/1/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/2)-(6/1/2/7)-(1/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/7)-(1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/7)-(1/3/5)-(6/7/1/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(6/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(6/7/1/8)-(4/5/1/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/8)-(6/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/8)-(6/7/1/8)-(6/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/8)-(4/5/1/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/8)-(4/5/1/6/9)-(6/10/7/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/5/1/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/6/9)-(4/5/1/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/6/9)-(4/5/1/6/9)-(4/5/1/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/1/6/9)-(6/10/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/6/9)-(6/10/7/1)-(5/3/10/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/10/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/7/1)-(6/10/8/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/10/7/1)-(6/10/8/7/1)-(6/10/8/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/10/7/1)-(5/3/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/3/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/10/9)-(5/3/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/10/9)-(5/3/10/9)-(5/3/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/22/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IVYLEAGUEDROPOUT May09 Apr17 Feb21 Feb14 Jan31 (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 12.00    
JEANNETTE THE JET Apr24 Mar27 Feb26 Oct24 Oct04 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
BOSS LADY K P May10 Apr24 Nov02 Oct12 Sep20 (petty kr)DAVIS A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
POPPY MAC Apr24 Mar27 Feb26 Jan30 Jan17 (sigler ron)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
SUMMON THE GLAM May15 Apr24 Nov02 Oct12 Oct05 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 6.00    
ZIP START Nov02 Oct12 Sep12 Aug15   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.00 46% 1.20    
 
CT-2   05/22/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTES May09 Apr19 Mar20 Mar06 Jan30 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 1.60 34% 2.00    
SHES SO SPEIGHTSY May18 Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Feb14 (scott alfred)BATISTA A 122 12.00 7% 13.60    
DEL REY DOLLY May13 Apr02 Mar12 Feb11 Jan15 (jones michae)DIAZ JR 122 6.00    
CONTROLLED TEMPER Mar20 Feb28 Feb13 Jan23 Jan04 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
BRAVO ZULU Apr10 Mar28 Mar08 Feb13 Jan24 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 4.00    
RIVER REWARDS RVF May02 Apr05 Mar21 Mar06 Jan23 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
THUNDERTURTLE Apr10 Mar08 Jan03 Nov20 Oct25 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 11% 8.00    
 
CT-3   05/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKE THREE Apr24 Mar28 Feb27 Jan31 Jan10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
TOBI WAN KENOBI May08 Apr10 Feb19 Dec11 Dec05 (robbins c)BOCACHICA J 120 5.00 9% 10.50    
CASTLE OF CORK Apr24 Apr03 Mar14 Feb22 Jan31 (lucas anthon)DIAZ JR 122 4.50    
THE HOUND Apr23 Mar14 Feb28 Jan31 Jan10 (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 10.00    
SCR  RED HOT TODDY Dec07 Nov16 Jun28 Jun07 Mar23 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Apr23 Feb28 Jan23 Jan02 Dec13 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCARE DEM May16 Apr23 Mar15 Feb28 Feb15 (pyke joseph)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KARMA BUS May09 Apr23 Feb28 Feb01 Jan03 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
BIG BAD BRASS Apr24 Feb22 Feb13 Jan16 Nov16 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00    
 
CT-4   05/22/2025 2970ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Apr20 Mar28 Feb26 Nov02 Oct12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 31% 2.20    
ROCKET APPEAL May08 Apr19 Apr10 Mar14 Feb26 (spriggs to)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00    
THEWITCHISGONE Apr19 Mar28 Feb26 Feb08 Dec13 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  EL LUCERITO Apr19 Mar28 Feb05 Dec14 Nov29 (campbel)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00    
HOPPING HENRY Apr19 Mar28 Feb26 Feb05 Jan29 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 5.00 10% 9.10    
FIBER STRONG Apr19 Feb08 Dec14 Sep27 Sep13 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00    
 
CT-5   05/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL BIG BOSS Apr18 Mar20 Feb27     (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
EL GUNNER May15 Apr05 Feb26 Jan18 Dec21 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
SCR  BEE A SKY BEAM Apr19 Mar29 Mar08 Feb16 Jan31 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA J 120 15.00    
IRON TAP Apr23 Mar29 Feb26 Jan19 Jan08 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.00    
HEAD LAD Apr19 Mar28 Feb22 Jan10 Nov23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50    
TOUR GUIDE Apr10 Mar13 Feb27 Feb04 Nov24 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40 66% 0.50    
RUNNINGTHENUMBERS May16 Apr24 Apr05 Mar15 Feb27 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BOSSME May10 Apr18 Mar28 Mar14 Feb05 (perez er)DAVIS A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   05/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUNDFORABRUISIN May02 Mar22 Mar13     (craig armont)DIAZ JR 118 3.00 5% 18.80    
JUBA MARCHES ON Apr24 Mar21 Mar14 Feb28 Feb01 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 5.00    
GOING TO OMBRA May02 Apr11 Mar21 Feb27 Feb06 (jones e)ACOSTA D 118 6.00    
JUBA'S HEART May01 Apr18 Mar21 Oct12 Sep21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 61% 0.60    
ABOLITIONIST Apr24 Mar08 Feb22 Feb06   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 4.50 6% 16.70    
CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Apr24 Apr04 Mar28 Feb22 Feb06 (comi w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
TOWN HOT Apr24 Jan25 Dec12 Nov21 Oct24 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 30.00    
RUDD'S ROCKET May09 Apr19 Mar21 Dec11 Nov16 (gillespi)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
SHOW TIME ALLEN May10 May02 Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 (harrison )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   05/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIRECT THE SHOW May01 Apr10 Mar22 Feb19 Jan23 (shanle)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
STORMIN ROCKET May01 Feb07 Jan15 Aug11 Jul09 (craig lewis )DIAZ JR 120 10.00    
LIEUTENANT BROWN Apr18 Mar07 Feb07 Jan17 Dec21 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
JUBA BOUND May01 Apr12 Mar22 Feb19 Feb05 (knudsen )DAVIS A 120 12.00    
SUMMONING DENIS May02 Mar15 Feb28 Feb01 Jan15 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 8.00    
PENGUIN PARADE Apr25 Mar14 Feb28 Jan25 Jan03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
HURRICANE ALERT May01 Apr10 Mar15 Feb28 Jan25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
NOID May08 Nov30 Oct25 Oct09 Sep27 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 4.50    
BUDDY BUDDY May08 Mar13 Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
10  PERSONABLE May02 Mar14 Jan03 Nov20 Sep13 (calhoun amanda)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  MISSIONARY May08 Apr10 Mar29 Mar07 Feb19 (knoblauch)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 15.00    
SCR  CHARITABLE WINDSOR May10 Apr25 Apr10 Feb28 Jan25 (sanderson)BOCACHICA J 122 5.00    
SCR  NO LOVE FOR JUBA May01 Apr11 Apr04 Mar13 Feb15 (spriggs to)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
 
CT-8   05/22/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICETECA May02 Apr05 Mar01 Nov26 Nov13 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 124 6.00    
SCR  OVER AND THUNDER Apr10 Mar21 Feb28 Feb06 Jan02 (cockburn sam)BATISTA A 122 8.00    
STRIVE FOR STRIDE May02 Apr10 Mar13 Feb19 Feb07 (shanle)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 10.00 25% 2.90    
BAHAMA CHANNEL May06 Apr25 Apr11 Nov25 Oct31 (comi w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
ORDER OFTHE KETTLE May16 Apr24 Apr05 Mar13 Feb22 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 28% 2.60    
KIT KAT KIDD May09 Apr10 Mar20 Feb27 Jan31 (knudsen)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
TOP OF THE MINT Apr18 Mar27 Feb06 Jan17 Dec12 (jones mi)DAVIS A 120 5.00    
SCR  HORNBEAM Mar30 Feb22 Jan26 Dec08 Nov17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40    
SUBJECT TO CHANGE May08 Apr23 Apr11 Mar21 Mar01 (spriggs to)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  TWIXTER Apr25 Mar28 Feb28 Jan02 Dec06 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.