Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Sunday - May 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-1   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(2/5/6)-(5/3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(5/3/6)-(4/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-3   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(4/5/2)-(3/7/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-4   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(3/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(3/7/2)-(7/6/2/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-5   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(7/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(7/6/2/8)-(9/5/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-6   WIN (7/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/8)-(9/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-7   WIN (9/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/3/1)-(9/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/3/1)-(9/5/3/1)-(9/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-1   05/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY LOUIE Sep27 Sep16 Aug30 Aug11 Jul26 (johnston )TRIANA JR 118 8.00    
2  CASEYS MEMORY Mar05 Feb15 Jan29 Sep06 Aug16 (johnston d)BIRZER E 121 4.00 37% 1.70    
3  HOLIDAY FANTASY Apr25 Mar19 Mar09 Feb22 Feb01 (arnett g)BACON W 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  HAPPY STRIKE Apr13 Mar09 Feb17 Jan18 Dec20 (loy dewaine)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
5  LAST DIAMOND Apr24 Mar08 Feb17 Jul06 Jun09 (von kelly)CORBETT W 125 1.80    
SCR  BURNING LEAVES May09 Mar14 Jan23 Dec22 Sep26 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 121 10.00    
 
PRM-2   05/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPANISH KISS Apr20 Oct10 Sep21 Sep09 Aug23 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 3.00    
2  SENSICAL Apr28 Mar22 Feb12 Jan22 Jan09 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 119 2.00 54% 0.90    
3  KARAOKE Mar26 Jan30 Sep22 Jun30 May25 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 4.00    
4  HUSKER BUTCH May02 Apr18 Apr04 Feb28 Feb07 (donlin d)TOHILL S 119 3.50    
5  TEN DAYS LATER Apr27 Apr12 Sep28 Mar30 Feb25 (flores oscar)HUCKABY RONNIE 114 6.00 22% 3.50    
6  DINNER AT CRUMPIES Apr18 Mar30 Mar09 Feb07 Sep15 (hornsby tammy)BACON W 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-3   05/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COVERT QUALITY Apr13         (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 118 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SECRET SOMEONE by A.P. INDY)
2  MICKSWAGGER Mar27         (hone bart)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 3.50    
  (by VOLATILE out of MALIBU PRAYER by MALIBU MOON)
3  SUSHI MAN Apr19 Mar08 Sep21     (rosin w)BACON W 118 2.50 14% 6.00    
  (by ASTERN out of KITTY BOO by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
4  MAJOR MACK Apr27 Apr04 Mar16 Feb01 Dec21 (von kelly)CORBETT W 125 1.80    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of D'CATS MEOW by D'WILDCAT)
5  MR. BUTCH Apr27 Apr19 Mar29 Feb01 Jan04 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 125 4.00 37% 1.70    
  (by OUTWORK out of TAKE IT EASYPLEASE by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
6  WAGON POWER Sep08 Aug12       (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 115 12.00 6% 14.70    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of MY HEART'S LOVE by A.P. INDY)
 
PRM-4   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTYINTHESTREETS Apr24 Feb16 Feb01 Aug28 Jun19 (martin timot)HUCKABY RONNIE 116 4.00    
2  EYE OF THE PANTHOR Sep21 Sep07 Aug26 Aug09 Jul08 (pearson m)HISBY RONALD 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AUTO DIAL Apr14 Mar31 Mar06 Jul29 Apr13 (anderson mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 2.00    
4  BRINSON Apr28 Apr15 Mar24 Feb18 Jan23 (mcfarlane da)JORDAN R 124 3.50 34% 2.00    
5  STUNNING BRUNO Apr25 Mar15 Mar09 Dec19 Nov21 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  WRISTBAND Apr22 Apr08 Mar31 Dec07 Nov15 (corderman)TRIANA JR 121 8.00    
 
PRM-5   05/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCLE TATER Apr18 Mar29       (loy dewaine)ROMAN KEVIN 118 10.00    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of K J'S SWEETATER by PRIMARY SUSPECT)
2  HEY BUDDY         (von hemel)DE CRUZ 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of EXES N OHS by STREET SENSE)
3  HIGH PROBABILITY Apr20 Oct10       (clay pat)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of RUTH AND NEVA by CHEROKEE RUN)
4  TRAFALGAR'S HERO Apr12 Mar28       (arnett g)BACON W 118 3.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BRENNA'S SONG by CONCERTO)
5  JOEWILLY May01 Apr12 Mar15     (gleason tyrone)TOHILL S 118 4.50    
  (by FROSTED out of UNDERCOVER JUSTICE by LAWYER RON)
SCR  ESTEVE         (figueroa)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CONTROLLINGTHEGOLD by GOLDENCENTS)
7  GOLDEN GREEK Mar07 Feb16 Jan24 Dec03 Sep13 (hone bart)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MY BEST TEN by HARD SPUN)
 
PRM-6   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($47.83K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTA STREAK Sep27 Sep16 Aug24 Aug05 Jul14 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 121 10.00    
2  REDNECKERTHANYOU Sep16 Sep06 Aug24 Aug05 Jul14 (martinez )DE CRUZ 121 8.00 6% 15.50    
3  FREDDY J Jul20 Jun16 May18 Mar07 Feb12 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 121 5.00    
4  IOWA CLUB Sep23 Aug25 Aug12 Jul26 May25 (von kel)BACON W 121 4.00    
5  SINCERELY MINE Sep28 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jul03 (fett brandi)JORDAN R 121 4.50    
6  SPECIALSORTASTORM Apr27 Nov06 Oct26 Sep28 Aug24 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
7  RAZOR WIRE Sep13 Aug31 Jul29 Jul03 Jun15 (anderson l)CORBETT W 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
8  ROCKIN THE DAD BOD Dec11 Dec02 Sep28 Sep16 Aug23 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-7   05/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLT FORTY FIVE Apr19 Mar22 Aug02 Jun16 May25 (foley p)TOHILL S 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  CALL ME ICE MAN Apr25 Mar29 Mar19 Feb22 Jan22 (arnett g)BACON W 118 5.00    
3  ADIOS GARY Apr01 Mar19 Feb22 Dec28 Aug26 (martinez )TRIANA JR 118 10.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  LATE FOR LUNCH Sep15 Aug17 Jun09 Sep30 Sep18 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 115 10.00    
5  RIVZONAROLL Apr18 Apr06 Mar09 Feb22 Dec28 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 118 12.00 18% 4.70    
6  MACHO RONNIE Apr27 Mar30 Feb02 Jan17 Sep05 (hornsby tamm)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 3.50    
7  STEEL LINK Feb22 Dec11 Aug17 Jul03 Jun19 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 6.00    
8  FIRE BRYAN Apr26 Mar28 Feb24 Jan26 Jan03 (martin e)BIRZER E 118 8.00    
9  GO THE DISTANCE Apr06 Mar08 Jan18 Jan04 Dec07 (anderson )DE CRUZ 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.