Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(1/3/6)-(2/5/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(2/5/7/3)-(3/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/3)-(3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/3)-(3/1/5)-(2/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(2/4/3)-(2/5/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(2/5/4/7)-(5/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/7)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/7)-(5/2/3)-(3/2/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(3/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUZIA Apr10 Mar15 Feb26 Jan29 Jan03 (cornwel)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 4.00    
2  LEMONSONDESURPRISE Apr10 Mar15 Feb19 Feb05 Jan10 (davis billy)BATISTA A 124 1.20    
SCR  GHOST OF ALCINA Apr24 Apr05 Jul26 Jul13 Jun20 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50    
4  PRINCESS MARGARET May02 Apr10 Mar08 Feb22 Jan31 (sandoval mic)DIAZ JR 124 4.50 28% 2.50    
5  MISS ARGENTINA May02 Apr10 Mar15 Feb28 Feb19 (gomez ana)BOCACHICA J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  LET'S DO THIS Apr10 Mar15 Feb05 Jan29 Dec13 (aylor nat)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
CT-2   05/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE INDY Apr05 Feb22 Feb07 Jan23 Jan02 (sanderson wade)CHILO MAXIMO 124 1.40 35% 1.90    
2  TAKE WINGS May01 Apr10 Mar27 Mar06 Feb14 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 3.50    
3  LUCKY BOP Apr05 Mar20 Feb22 Jan23 Jan02 (craig lewis )DIAZ JR 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
4  DEE DEE SIX Apr25 Mar29 Feb28 Feb08 Jan18 (cipriano ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
5  JUST HAVE FAITH May01 Apr24 Mar27 Feb28 Feb06 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
6  AIM'S JUBILEE Apr25 Mar20 Feb28 Feb19 Jan30 (reggett)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 6.00 9% 10.60    
 
CT-3   05/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY MAN MARTIN Feb22 Jan24 Jan04 Dec05 Oct26 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 118 8.00    
2  FAVORITE ROAD May03 Apr23 Feb15 Feb01 Jan11 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 4.00 53% 0.90    
3  LAST OF BAD BOYS Aug16 Jul19 Jun28 Nov19 Oct27 (hamlin ka)BOCACHICA J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  GRANDPA JOE Apr19 Mar21 Feb27 Jan17 Dec11 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.40    
5  FELICIAS CINCO May09 Apr11 Mar22 Jan31 Jan11 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 5.00 13% 6.90    
6  NO CONVERSATION Apr17 Mar27 Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 (jackson ang)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 12.00    
7  HEART OF GOLD Apr11 Mar15 Jan11     (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 118 4.50 10% 9.00    
 
CT-4   05/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKEYE TAKEOVER May06 Apr04 Mar13 Jan24   (farrior anth)DIAZ JR 120 4.50 15% 5.60    
2  BRD COMPUTING Apr04 Mar14 Feb19 Jan10 Nov30 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.00    
3  BAYTOWN BOO BOO Apr17 Mar22 Feb05 Aug15 May09 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 0.60 47% 1.10    
4  MINELLA May09 Apr17 Mar29 Mar07 Feb13 (rangel ri)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 20.00    
5  SUPER BOURBON Apr25 Apr04 Mar22 Feb19 Jan24 (shanley tim)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 10.00 12% 7.30    
6  HELL'S KITTEN Apr25 Apr17 Apr03 Mar14 Feb14 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 122 12.00    
 
CT-5   05/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLEETNESS Apr26 Apr05 Mar29 Feb14 Sep26 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of YSABELL T. by GATORS N BEARS)
2  BUCKSKIN SUZIE Feb07 Jan02 Dec12     (comi w)HO WESLEY 118 1.40 32% 2.10    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of BUCKSKIN DOLL by DIXIE UNION)
3  SABURO'S VOW Apr26 Apr05 Mar13 Dec27 Dec14 (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SABURO out of SPECIFIC PROMISE by SQUARE EDDIE)
4  QUIET LUXURY         (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 4.50 30% 2.30    
  (by REDESDALE out of GOLD LOVE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  SWAN Apr26 Apr05 Mar27 Mar13 Feb07 (gillespi)DAVIS A 124 1.60    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of VENOM GIRL by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
6  BEACH BLONDE Apr26         (o'neill m)JORGE JULIO 124 5.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of CHRISTIANSTED by ARTIE SCHILLER)
 
CT-6   05/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALI HAI Apr10 Mar15 Feb08 Feb01 Jan11 (scott al)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
2  DREAMY SONDE Feb19 Nov13 Oct12 Sep26 Aug23 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.00 57% 0.70    
SCR  PEGGY'S WAY Mar29 Mar07 Feb08 Jan11 Dec04 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
4  LADY SERENITY Apr10 Mar07 Jan31 Dec20 Nov15 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  RAN OUT OF TRAINER Apr20 Apr03 Mar15 Feb01 Oct24 (farrior anth)DIAZ JR 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
6  SPEEDY BUBBLES Apr10 Mar14 Feb19 Jan30 Jan10 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50    
7  BASHFUL DAISY Apr26 Apr10 Feb21     (farrior anthony)HO WESLEY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  DOLCE VELOCE Apr18 Mar15 Feb19 Feb06 Jan02 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
 
CT-7   05/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($30.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY May01 Apr05 Mar15 Nov15 Oct09 (mckee cynthi)DIAZ JR 120 20.00    
2  MUAD'DIB Apr19 Mar06 Dec13 Nov16 Oct12 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
3  BUCKIN' DREAMER Apr24 Apr04 Mar13 Feb23 Jan15 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  JUNGLE BEAST Apr19 Mar06 Feb15 Jan17 Dec13 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50    
5  JUBAWITHATWIST Apr18 Oct12 Aug23 Jul20 Jun27 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
6  ZIO LORENZO Apr25 Apr03 Jan16 Dec05 Nov10 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 30.00    
7  PLAY IT LOUD May01 Mar06 Feb15 Jan18 Nov01 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00    
SCR  MOTIVATING May01 Mar01 Jan18 Nov06 Oct17 (farrio)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 12.00    
SCR  FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Apr25 Apr05 Mar15 Feb28 Jan16 (geralis j)HO WESLEY 120 12.00    
 
CT-8   05/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONKEY WRENCH Apr26 Apr03 Mar14 Feb06 Jan11 (barahona)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
2  WISHFUL THOUGHTS May01 Apr04 Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
3  IRISH WIZARD May01 Mar21 Jun21 May31 May10 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
4  HOLY MOAT Apr17 Jan29 Jan03 Nov29 Nov20 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
SCR  DIRECT CAUSE Apr26 Apr17 Apr05 Mar21 Feb19 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 113 15.00    
6  MALEKES MAGIC Apr26 Mar14 Feb15 Jan25 Dec12 (aylor nat)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
7  RIDE THE BRAND Apr03 Mar22 Mar14 Feb21 Sep13 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 4.50 13% 6.60    
8  TUP'S TO TAKE Apr26 Apr03 Mar22 Feb21 Jan30 (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  SHINEY GHOST Apr26 Mar22 Feb21 Jan30 Jan11 (aylor willia)DIAZ JR 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.