Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - May 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(6/7/5)-(2/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-2   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/1/7/5)-(6/1/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5)-(2/3/1)-(8/2/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(8/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(8/2/7)-(4/2/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-4   WIN (8/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/7)-(8/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/7)-(8/2/7)-(8/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/7)-(4/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7)-(4/2/7/6)-(3/6/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-5   WIN (4/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/6)-(3/6/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/6)-(3/6/7/1)-(6/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-6   WIN (3/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/1)-(3/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/1)-(3/6/7/1)-(3/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/1)-(6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/1)-(6/5/4)-(3/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-7   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(3/6/5)-(1/3/9/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(1/3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SA-9   WIN (1/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/5)-(1/3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/5)-(1/3/9/5)-(1/3/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   05/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE SHILLELAGH Apr04 Feb17 Nov09 Oct25 Sep07 (hanson ryan)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 2.50 17% 4.80    
THIRSTY VISION Apr29 Apr17 Mar25 Feb19 Jan20 (ramos jesus)FREY KYLE 122 50.00 5% 19.00    
NO POKING AROUND Apr04 Feb28 Jan19 Nov29 Oct25 (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 4.00    
IT'S A FACTOR Apr26 Apr04 Mar07 Feb15 Jan20 (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 10.00    
THREE GEORGES Apr04 Feb17 Jan18 Nov29 Oct25 (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 122 4.50    
BRO BRO Apr05 Mar21 Feb15     (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 1.40 52% 0.90    
SCR  TYPHOON TOMMY Feb28 Jan20 Nov15 Oct20 Sep29 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-2   05/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 35 M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CO HEART Apr04 Mar14 Jan23 Nov16 Oct31 (capestro s)FREY KYLE 118 4.50    
MRAZEK'S OLD DREAM Apr26 Mar30 Feb22 Jan23 Nov16 (garcia antoni)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 3.50    
GO CAMI OH Apr05 Feb23 Jan23 Jan04 Nov22 (lopez george )PEREIRA TIAGO 118 3.00    
ENJOY Apr25 Apr05       (dealba ces)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 6.00    
MADE TO MOVE Mar16 Oct12 Jul26 Apr19   (headley kar)CARMONA SERAFIN 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKEM HOT GIRL Mar28         (bond)ANTONGEORGI JR 118 2.00 73% 0.40    
MAGA KAI Mar30 Feb22 Jan23 Dec29 Nov22 (garcia anto)HERRERA A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-3   05/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARWAR (FR) Mar22 Feb02 Jan04 Nov17 Oct19 (powell leon)HERRERA A 126 6.00 7% 14.00    
EYE ON RY Apr05 Mar02 Jan04 Oct12 Sep07 (ellis ronal)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 2.50 34% 1.90    
LAMMAS (GB) Apr05 Feb01 Dec26 Nov16 Oct13 (badilla manuel)FREY KYLE 126 2.00 32% 2.10    
GENIUS JIMMY Apr05 Mar02 Apr04 Mar03 Mar04 (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 5.00    
GOLD FOOT Sep01 Jul21 Jun16 May26 Apr27 (mccarthy sean)FRESU ANTONIO 124 10.00    
CATHAL (IRE) Apr05 Mar02 Feb02 Dec26 Nov30 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
 
SA-4   05/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 35 M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAMARANDO Mar28 Mar14 Dec13 Nov15 Nov01 (preci)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 30.00    
CHEERING FOR LAYLA Apr19 Mar14 Jan31 Jan01 Dec14 (hobson simo)HERRERA A 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
COUNTESS VRONSKY Apr19         (bautista jo)CARMONA SERAFIN 121 20.00    
SCR  BEVERLY T Mar28 Feb08 Dec07 Nov23 Aug18 (haley glo)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 15.00    
SCR  PRIME NUMBER         (sherman steve )LEZCANO ABEL 118 6.00    
ONWARD AND UPWARD Apr20 Feb28       (bell r)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
MISS MICHE LADA Apr20 Apr04 Mar07 Jan18 Dec14 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 126 1.00 75% 0.30    
SCR  DIXIE BLAZE Apr22 Sep29 Sep14 Aug02 Jul07 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-5   05/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET SEAMUS GO Apr18 Mar16 Feb23 Mar16 Feb18 (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 126 8.00    
MR. LEASURE Apr27 Mar22 Jan20 Apr26 Nov25 (yakteen tim)FRESU ANTONIO 126 4.00 26% 2.80    
TARIFF Feb17 Dec28 Oct31 Aug29 Jul28 (eurton peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 30.00    
ANNAN Apr27 Mar29 Feb22 Feb09 Jan20 (barba )BERRIOS ISAAC 126 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  SMART CODE Sep07 Jul27 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 1.40    
MALIBU ROCKS Apr27 Apr06 Mar22 Feb21 Jan23 (deleon rafael)MALDONADO E 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
LOUIS THE CHAMP Apr06 Jul06 Jun14 May10 Feb25 (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 5.00 8% 10.80    
SPEARFISH Mar01 Feb01 Dec28 Nov23 Oct26 (hess b)BAZE C 126 30.00    
 
SA-6   05/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT HAND RYDER Mar29 Mar02 Jan25 Dec15 Dec01 (calvario samu)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
LAST CALL LONDON Apr04 Jan20 Jan04 Nov24 Oct13 (dollase craig)MALDONADO E 124 20.00    
ATOMIC DROP Apr06 Mar09 Feb22 Jan24 Dec18 (mullins jef)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
NAUVOO Apr18 Mar23 Mar16 Feb14 Jan16 (azcarate dan)BAZE C 124 4.50    
READY TO POUNCE Apr27 Mar30 Jan20 Oct26 Sep28 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 4.00    
KEEP MOVIN' ON Apr19 Mar30 Feb23 Jan18 Nov09 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
MAN CHILD May02 Apr04 Feb23 Jan17 Nov30 (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-7   05/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Cinema Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTISLAS Apr06 Dec29 Nov01 Oct06 Sep08 (mullins jef)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 2.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of MOMS PRIDE by INTO MISCHIEF)
GAME WARRIOR Mar22 Feb16 Dec01 Oct31 Oct05 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of LE MI GEAUX by FIRST SAMURAI)
MYTHICAL REEL (IRE) Mar29 Feb28 Jan05     (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
  (by HIGHLAND REEL out of MAD EXISTENCE by VAL ROYAL)
BODI ZAFA Mar22 Feb19 Feb04 Dec17 Aug04 (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of LIGHTNING DOVE by UNCLE MO)
INCANTO (IRE) Apr06 Mar22 Mar07 Feb12 Dec15 (eurton peter)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
  (by MEHMAS out of HATEEL by KODIAC)
FREEDOM'S NOT FREE Mar09 Feb16 Jan05 Oct14 Sep01 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 124 1.50 33% 2.10    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of WONDERFULADVENTURE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
 
SA-8   05/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GUN RUNNER CHARLIE Apr16 Feb23 Feb08 Dec14   (miller pete)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 118 20.00    
SELF SUFFICIENT Apr26 Mar01 Oct01 Aug26   (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 4.50    
LYELL'S SONG Jun07 May19       (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  CANADA GATE Apr06 Nov02 Aug22 Jul25 Jun15 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80    
BRAZENLY Apr26 Apr06 Mar08 Feb23 Jan24 (azcarate dan)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
MOMAD Apr26 Mar29 Mar01 Dec28 Sep08 (shirre)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 8.00 28% 2.50    
GHAZAALY Apr06 Mar08 Feb02 Jan04 May27 (cerin vlad)ORANTES R 119 10.00    
 
SA-9   05/11/2025 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILING BEAST Apr05 Jan18 Nov16 May25   (koriner brian)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 3.00 32% 2.10    
SILENT HEAT Mar23 Feb23 Jan31 Jan16 Mar15 (saavedra k)BAZE C 126 50.00    
CATMANSUE Apr05 Jun02 Mar17 Feb17 Jan07 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
SIR ROCKET Apr05 Feb09 Nov16     (drysdale neil)SMITH E 124 4.00    
SHADY APPEAL Mar22 Dec08 Nov03 Sep08 Aug11 (bon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INFAMOUS ANGEL Apr18 Oct27 Aug09 Jul07 Jun16 (freeman edw)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 118 30.00    
MISS JO'S CURLIN Apr19 Mar17 Feb09 Nov16 Oct04 (galvin bre)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
KNOWN IDEA Oct27 Sep15 Aug15 May31 Apr28 (sadler w)FRESU ANTONIO 126 5.00    
UNCLE CHILLY Apr05 Mar08 Feb07 Dec28 Oct26 (puype mike)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 3.50 14% 6.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.