Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - May 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(8/5/7/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(8/5/7/1/4)-(5/4) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-2   WIN (8/5/7/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/1/4)-(8/5/7/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/1/4)-(8/5/7/1/4)-(8/5/7/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/7/1/4)-(5/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/1/4)-(5/4)-(1/4/9/5/8) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(1/4/9/5/8) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(1/4/9/5/8)-(5/4/1/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/4/9/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/9/5/8)-(1/4/9/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/9/5/8)-(1/4/9/5/8)-(1/4/9/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/9/5/8)-(5/4/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/9/5/8)-(5/4/1/2)-(4/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (5/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/2)-(4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/2)-(4/7/2)-(6/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/3/2/1)-(4/7/3/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(6/1/3)-(7/9/3/5/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-7   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(7/9/3/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/9/3/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/3/5/4)-(7/9/3/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/3/5/4)-(7/9/3/5/4)-(7/9/3/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   05/04/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Apr16 Mar28 Mar12 Feb26 Feb08 (rarick lynn)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 4.00    
2  THANK THE ACADEMY Mar28 Mar21 Mar01 Feb14 Jan22 (agostini arthu)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.20 47% 1.10    
3  ALMA PURA Apr12 Feb14 Feb01 Jan05 Dec18 (agostini arth)VARGAS E 108 12.00    
4  VINO VELOCE Apr16 Mar28 Mar21 Mar01 Feb23 (rivera xavie)BELISARIO JUAN 108 20.00    
5  LADYS CHANT Apr16 Mar16 Mar07 Feb08 Jan22 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 1.60 14% 6.20    
6  CHILLING FACTOR Apr12 Mar28 Feb23 Feb14 Jan12 (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 8% 11.90    
 
TAM-2   05/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORMA'S IRISH LASS         (mckathan )MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SPUN TO PURFECTION Mar30 Feb16       (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 120 15.00    
3  DERBY EFFORT Apr05 Mar01 Feb05 Jan03 Dec07 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 20.00    
4  NEW WAY Apr16 Mar16 Feb16 Dec28 Dec07 (wilson tony)COTTO L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  DRINK DEEPLY Mar02 Feb13 Jan17 Dec29 Nov30 (stewart chad )SANTOS ADEMAR 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
6  WILLFUL ROSE Apr18 Apr02 Mar15 Feb16 Jan12 (kutt m)HESS SARA 120 15.00    
7  BIRD DANCE         (dini mike)BATISTA A 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
8  MICHAELA Apr17 Mar30 Mar15 Feb21 Jan25 (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
9  GUNNEMIST Feb22         (deaton willia)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 30.00    
10  THUNDER PRINCESS Apr16 Mar30 Mar09 Mar01 Feb16 (rigattieri john)FERRER C 120 2.00    
SCR  CATARINA Apr23 Apr05 Feb14 Jan23 Jan08 (kutt m)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00    
SCR  WINNING SHOT Apr18 Mar09 Feb12 Jan15 Jul04 (wilson tony)HESS SARA 120 15.00    
SCR  PRINCESS HONOR Apr18 Apr02 Feb28 Feb02 Sep21 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00    
 
TAM-3   05/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPURIOUS Apr09 Mar01 Jan24 Jan15 Dec29 (lopez mario )BELISARIO JUAN 108 15.00    
2  MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS Apr03 Mar05 Feb07 Jan17 Jan04 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.00    
3  WORDS OF FORTUNE Apr09 Feb19 Feb02 Nov21 Oct11 (lopez ro)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00    
4  HYPER VENOM Apr26 Mar23 Mar01 Feb16 Feb01 (manchan c)HESS SARA 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOHEMIAN STYLE Mar28 Mar08 Jan25 Sep28 Aug31 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 1.20 29% 2.50    
 
TAM-4   05/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMIC ACTRESS Feb28 Feb05 Jan04 Dec07 Oct11 (hendriks)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.50 30% 2.30    
2  PEACHES POINT Apr18 Mar08 Jan17     (rice kevi)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 20.00    
3  COCKTAIL KISSES Apr05 Feb20 Jan29 Jan05 Dec04 (kintz matthe)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00    
4  SHESHIMAINTENANCE Apr03 Feb14 Jan09 Dec12 Nov28 (d'angelo fr)FERRER C 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
5  LIZZIE BABY Apr18 Mar21 Mar09 Jul22   (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRAYED FOR GIRL Apr19 Apr11 Mar21 Feb05 Dec11 (dobber arno)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 30.00    
7  LADY EMBRACE Apr11 Mar21 Feb16 Dec27 Dec04 (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 118 4.50    
8  ROCIO Mar21 Feb28 Feb05 Jan10 Dec13 (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  NOTABLE EXCHANGE Apr11 Mar21 Feb28 Feb09   (dini mike)ALLEN D 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
TAM-5   05/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN EXPECTATION Feb12 Jan12 Dec27 Dec06 Nov20 (ramos ben)MARTINEZ L 118 5.00 9% 9.70    
2  LOVIELEE Apr12 Mar22 Mar05 Feb12 Jan31 (gardea abraham)HESS SARA 118 10.00 5% 17.80    
3  CLASSY LIL BETTY Apr23 Apr04 Mar02 Jan26 Aug30 (rountree cat)MENESES MARCOS 122 6.00    
4  NOVELLIE Apr23 Apr26 Feb03 Jan05 Dec14 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 118 6.00 12% 7.40    
5  OOPS HAHA Apr04 Mar22 Mar08 Feb26 Feb01 (sillaman richard)FERRER C 120 1.40 46% 1.20    
6  TRIPLET Apr12 Apr04 Mar05 Jan31 Dec27 (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 20.00    
7  POLA OF TROUBLE Mar28 Mar21 Mar01 Feb21 Jan24 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 3.00    
 
TAM-6   05/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S GONE ROGUE Mar21 Mar05 Jan15 Dec20 Dec04 (ubide max)FERRER C 122 4.00 ★    
2  A FANCY SOLUTION Apr25 Apr05 Mar21 Mar09 Feb07 (cascallares n)IORIO MELISSA 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  JESS'S VISION Apr25 Apr05       (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 122 6.00 ★    
4  PALACE LIGHTS Apr25 Mar09 Feb05 Jan03 Dec11 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 122 0.80 76% 0.30    
5  DEB'S SEA BREEZE Apr25         (ubide max)LINDSAY CHAD 122 10.00    
6  UNIFIEDS PRINCESS Apr05 Mar07 Jan22 Jan10 Dec13 (marrero nestor)HESS SARA 122 15.00    
7  HUGE G Apr23 Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb02 (lilly james)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  ELECTRIC RUNNER Mar21 Mar05 Jan29 Jan15 Jan03 (manchan bertr)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 20.00    
9  INCLUDE THE MUNNY Apr25 Apr05 Mar21 Feb15 Jan19 (charlton ro)BELL BARRINGTON 122 15.00    
 
TAM-7   05/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEM MAJOR Apr19 Mar26 Feb23 Jan25 Dec27 (mcgoey monica)FERRER C 118 6.00 19% 4.30    
2  ATHENA'S WISDOM Mar30 Mar09 Feb14 Jan12 Dec06 (torres pablo )VARGAS E 108 3.50    
3  AWESOME EMPRESS Mar30 Mar16 Feb19 Jan18 Dec28 (guciardo kath)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PURE ELEGANCE Apr19 Mar26 Mar14 Feb28 Feb07 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 15.00    
5  MISS TAPTRESS Apr19 Mar28 Mar02 Jan26 Dec27 (bennett s)HESS SARA 122 4.00    
6  NINA'S LAST GIFT Apr18 Jun28 Jun07 May19 Apr26 (dominguez hube)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  PRETTY'N AWESOME Apr05 Mar09 Feb23 Jan18 Dec04 (padilla tim)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.00    
 
TAM-8   05/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DROPPED COLD Apr23 Sep25 Aug22 Jul28 Jul11 (escobar mar)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 30.00    
2  HOLDER CLOSE Apr27 Mar29 Mar09 Feb15 Jan29 (cascallare)URDANETA J 122 15.00    
3  AIN'T NO LADY Nov14 Oct23 Aug27 Jul26 Jun19 (englehar)RODRIGUEZ O 122 5.00 13% 6.70    
4  FUTURE FORTUNE Apr23 Apr12 Apr02 Mar22 Mar07 (dobber w)HESS SARA 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 Feb28 Feb07 (vazquez jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00 8% 11.70    
6  TOURIST STYLE Apr27 Apr12 Jan29 Jan15 Dec20 (gonzalez )MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 15.00    
7  LA GIRVINA Apr05 Mar15 Feb21 Dec29 Feb23 (kintz matthe)MARIN SAMUEL 124 1.80 34% 1.90    
8  FAR ABOVE Apr13 Mar21 Mar09 Feb15 Jan29 (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 122 12.00    
9  LADY LALA Apr13 Mar30 Mar02 Jan25 Dec27 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 122 2.00 25% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.