Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Saturday - May 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (6/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2)-(6/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/7/2)-(5/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/2)-(5/3/1)-(1/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-2   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(1/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(1/2/4)-(2/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-3   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(2/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(2/1/4)-(6/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(6/3/4)-(8/7/4/6/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
WRD-5   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(8/7/4/6/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(8/7/4/6/3)-(6/7/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-6   WIN (8/7/4/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/6/3)-(8/7/4/6/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/6/3)-(8/7/4/6/3)-(8/7/4/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/4/6/3)-(6/7/2/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/6/3)-(6/7/2/1)-(6/10/1/7/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
WRD-7   WIN (6/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1/5)-(6/7/2/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/2/1)-(6/10/1/7/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
WRD-8   WIN (6/10/1/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/1/7/2)-(6/10/1/7/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (6/10/1/7/2)-(6/10/1/7/2)-(6/10/1/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LOVE THE SONG Apr22         (ibarra jose)HEBERT LINDSEY 120 12.00    
SWEET DEVOTION Apr22 Mar28 Mar09 Dec06   (ste)ZABALA CASTILLO 120 8.00 8% 11.20    
ARCH OF SWORDS Apr22 Apr08 Oct19 Sep17 Jul03 (dixon )FLETCHER D 125 20.00    
GOLDSTRUCK Apr22         (stephens g)QUINONEZ B 125 20.00    
LORD CREW Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Nov13 Oct07 (davis d)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 6.00 11% 8.40    
PEA EYE Apr22 Apr08 Mar24 Mar03 Feb15 (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 0.60 50% 1.00    
FRONT ROW SHOW Apr22 Apr09 Mar17 May07 Apr16 (cogburn o)TRIANA JR 125 4.00 11% 8.50    
 
WRD-2   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRILL'S LI'L MAN Apr19 Mar08 Sep22 Sep06 Aug19 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAGIC CASTLE Apr14 Apr01 Jan15 Dec28 Dec06 (villafranco f)LARA EZEQUIEL 125 2.00    
TIGER DAD Apr21 Apr01 Dec21 Nov26 Nov02 (dunlap m)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 3.00 24% 3.10    
NOISE COMPLAINT Apr21 Apr07 Mar24 Mar19 Oct17 (moreno )GONCALVES R 125 15.00    
CLAY'S BLACK OPAL Apr07 Mar19 Dec07 Nov19 Nov02 (hartman alex)KIMES C 125 1.60 40% 1.50    
BAJA BOOGIE Apr03 Mar13 Feb07 Jan24 Jan09 (williams )TRIANA JR 125 8.00    
 
WRD-3   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS PAIRODOCS         (rodriguez ma)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 8.00 23% 3.30    
AROA         (bravo francis)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 8.00 23% 3.30    
GO LAUREN GO Apr14 Nov18 Oct12 Sep29 Sep11 (rufino eusebi)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 3.00    
PROMISE ME BUCKS Mar31         (offolter s)QUINONEZ S 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
TWO RIVERS Apr09 Nov13 Nov01 Sep28 May06 (bravo f)GONCALVES R 125 2.00    
POSETIVELY PERFECT Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 Dec04   (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 120 2.50    
 
WRD-4   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASSET BASIS Apr14 Mar24 Mar03 Jan23 Dec13 (rufino eusebi)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.00 11% 8.50    
SHADOWLESS Mar24 Dec11 Nov19 Oct23 Sep14 (oberlander jes)QUINONEZ S 122 2.00 62% 0.60    
MY CALANTE Apr06 Mar15 Feb01 Sep26 Aug29 (roberts b)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00    
SPIRIT OF SPOATIE Apr01 Nov09 Oct10 Sep20 Oct05 (quinonez eloy)QUINONEZ B 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
THAT'S SOMETHING Apr09 Mar19 Jan24 Dec28 Dec13 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 125 1.60    
LAST ACTION HERO (BRZ) Jan30 Dec18 Oct05 Aug24 Apr19 (goncalv)GONCALVES R 122 15.00    
 
WRD-5   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALEB'S FINEST Apr21 Mar17 Mar03 Feb01   (bravo francisc)QUINONEZ S 122 3.00    
SECRET VERSE Apr07 Mar24 Feb14 Jan18 Nov23 (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 117 12.00    
EIREANN Apr07 Mar17 Nov08 Oct18 Sep29 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
CHITOZ'S BLUR Apr07 Mar15 Feb07     (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
LA CAMELIA Mar31 Mar19 Dec13 Nov09 Nov02 (abney mike)KIMES C 117 15.00    
ELEGANT ECHO Apr07 Mar17 Dec13 Nov08 Oct18 (williams alan)BIRZER E 125 1.20 40% 1.50    
 
WRD-6   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOW THE CODE Apr08 Dec11       (biehler e)KIMES C 120 20.00    
RUN PISTOL MAGIC Apr07         (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 120 6.00    
TROPIC RULER Mar26 Dec04       (corderm)GONCALVES R 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
ENVISIONEER         (pad)ZABALA CASTILLO 120 10.00 15% 5.70    
MISSION LOCKOUT Apr07 Mar17 Nov14 Oct30 Oct12 (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 5.00    
EUROSTORMSURVIVOR         (rufino eusebi)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 8.00 14% 6.40    
CHEROKEE WILL Apr07 Mar10 Jan24 Dec06 Nov09 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 125 3.50 15% 5.50    
YOUGOTTHISJR Apr01 Mar10 Dec04 Nov13 Oct19 (caldwell )TRIANA JR 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
DOUBLE RAP Apr07         (biehler michae)QUINONEZ S 120 8.00    
 
WRD-7   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUCKER FLATS Apr09 Mar18 Dec13 Dec04 Nov01 (pogue paulette)QUINONEZ B 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY TAPITURE Apr08 Mar18 Jan19 Nov01 Sep27 (lee mark)BIRZER E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SIMMERON Apr08 Mar25 Mar18 Mar04 Dec07 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 118 20.00    
CHEROKEE SUNRISE Apr22 Apr08 Mar19 Feb28 Jan19 (dunlap m)PUSAC ALBERTO 117 20.00    
UPTONO BUENA Mar28 Nov30 Nov01 Sep27   (craddoc)GONCALVES R 118 15.00    
MISTER OMAHA Mar18 Dec13 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 (offolter s)QUINONEZ S 127 0.80 74% 0.40    
TZEDAKAH Apr08 Apr01 Dec07 Oct18 Sep29 (swan patr)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
I'M ENTICING Apr02 Mar19 Feb15 Jan19 Dec04 (buehrer w)SANCHEZ OBED 117 20.00    
SCR  MI SATURDAY Apr15 Mar04 Dec04     (offolter j)ERAMIA E 122 3.00    
10  HILLBILLY UP Apr15 Apr01 Dec13 Nov13 Sep27 (bravo francis)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 20.00    
 
WRD-8   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOYFUL JOSEPHINE Apr15 Mar30 Mar14 Sep25 Aug25 (hartman a)TRIANA JR 120 4.00 20% 4.10    
JACKPOT TWENTYONE         (cog)ZABALA CASTILLO 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
FUN AS ALL GIT OUT Mar30 Mar09 Feb23 Jan11 Oct19 (dunlap)FLETCHER D 125 12.00    
SUNSHINE SISTER Apr21 Apr07 Mar19 Mar03 Dec13 (cogburn orrin )SANCHEZ OBED 120 10.00    
FANCY FREIDA Apr21 Mar24 Mar11 Feb01 Dec13 (young e)QUINONEZ B 120 8.00    
WOMAN'S INTUITION Apr02 Mar11 Dec05 Nov18 Oct23 (stephens jerr)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
DARETOCATCHLOVE Apr22 Mar22 Mar01 Feb14 Jan18 (ibarra jose)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 8.00 11% 8.00    
MAJESTIC IRONS Mar26 Mar10 Feb12 Jan30   (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 20.00    
MEDICINE SHOW Apr01 Mar10 Feb14 Jan23 Dec27 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 125 5.00    
10  RICH GIFT Apr12 Jan04 Dec07 Oct30 Aug01 (johnston )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 6.00 22% 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.