Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - May 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(3/5/6)-(4/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-2   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(4/5/2)-(4/8/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(4/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/8/6)-(2/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-4   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/6)-(4/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/6)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6)-(2/4/1)-(7/6/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-5   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(7/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(7/6/4/2)-(4/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-6   WIN (7/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/2)-(4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERRANO'S WARRIOR Oct12 Aug05 Jul01 Oct22 May24 (johnson henry)PENA JONUELLE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  FLINT ROCK Nov05 Sep16 Jul22     (gibson jona)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 118 5.00    
3  BLONDATE Mar19 Feb27 Jan02 Dec13 Nov23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 1.80 15% 5.60    
4  QUIKONTHETRIGGER Apr17 Mar19 Feb19     (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00    
5  TRIPS TO WIN Feb14 Jan24 Dec18 Nov05 Sep11 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.00    
6  MISTER DENNIS Mar23 Mar09 Feb20     (scherer gary)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.00 57% 0.80    
 
LAD-2   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUEY DUEY Mar06 Feb12 Jan31 Dec06 Aug28 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 3.00    
2  OJITOS Mar31 Mar03 Feb14 Jan16 Dec13 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 12.00    
3  BET ON BOBBY Jan09 Dec20 Nov30 Jul30 Jun19 (duhon joseph )PENA JONUELLE 115 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  SEEKING SAWYER Feb28 Jan30 Dec06 May15 Mar20 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 1.60    
5  CASTILLE Feb07 Jan17 Dec28 Oct31 Oct11 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 123 2.50 25% 3.10    
6  SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Apr18 Mar16 Feb21 Jan30 Dec28 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-3   05/03/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY OF LOVE Mar21 Feb16 Jan30 Jan04 Dec12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.50    
2  CABRO TORO Feb13 Jan16 Jan04 Dec14 Nov29 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  PEYTON'S DAY Apr04 Nov20 Oct12 Aug29 Aug15 (tillis jerry )RENGIFO JOHAN 122 30.00    
4  GUITAR BOY Mar12 Feb02 Dec19 Dec05 Nov02 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  UNCLE BERLEY Mar19 Mar09 Feb28 Jan31 Jan19 (dorochenko g)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  UNANIMOUSLY Feb15 Feb01 Dec28 Nov06 Oct19 (lara jorge)PENA JONUELLE 117 15.00    
7  MY UNCLE LEON Feb22 Jan08 Dec11 Oct23 Sep10 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 1.50    
 
LAD-4   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COEUR ROUGE Jan20 Dec12 Nov23     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 8.00    
2  QUEEN BERKELEY Feb27 Jan29 Dec21 Nov16 Aug29 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 2.50    
3  THUNDERS SONG Sep26 Sep01 Aug04 Jun23 Mar14 (diodoro ro)RAMIREZ JR 120 12.00    
4  AGELESS UNION Mar13 Apr27       (wong jon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 1.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  BALITRIX Nov22 Oct17 Sep04 Aug20 Jul30 (vincent jarvis)BOREL H 125 30.00    
6  LOUD KITTY Mar23         (milligan alle)PENA JONUELLE 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EMBRASSER Mar21 Mar09 Feb16 Jan03 Dec15 (camejo jos)BATISTA X 118 8.00    
8  OPEN FLAME Apr13 Mar21 Mar07 Feb17 Jan31 (garcia luis)LOZADA CARLOS 118 4.00 25% 2.90    
 
LAD-5   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLT'S BRIM Mar20 Feb21 Jan25 Jan10 Dec20 (hargrave k)RAMIREZ JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  GARFISH Feb27 Jan10 Dec21 Nov28 Nov14 (camejo m)PENA JONUELLE 118 1.20 51% 0.90    
3  REBIND Apr04 Mar14 Mar04 Feb21 Feb07 (tillis jerry )RENGIFO JOHAN 118 20.00    
4  HIT THE BULLSEYE Jan25 Dec20 Nov14 Sep11 Aug17 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 1.80 24% 3.10    
5  SAUCY ARGUMENT Apr10 Feb22 Jan15 Jan02 Dec07 (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 123 4.00    
6  A G'S GEM Feb14 Jan31 Jan15 Dec18 Nov29 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 8.00    
 
LAD-6   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUTE DINERO QUEEN Feb20 Jan09 Nov26 Nov01 Aug31 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 118 6.00    
2  PAT HAND GIRL Mar16 Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Dec21 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  IRONIT Feb22 Jan17 Oct18 Sep24 Aug22 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 4.50    
4  COUNTRY BELLE Mar23 Feb22 Jan12 Dec21 Dec08 (duke steven)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 5.00 11% 8.40    
5  MISS TARGET Apr11 Mar03 Feb13 Jan25 Dec18 (shamsie mike)LOZADA CARLOS 123 15.00    
6  WUPKAR Mar23 Feb23 Jan30 Nov14 Oct29 (duhon joseph )PENA JONUELLE 118 2.50 22% 3.50    
7  TAP GALORE Mar23 Feb22 Jan12 Dec22 Nov30 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 1.50 35% 1.90    
 
LAD-7   05/03/2025 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAKE TOO Mar20 Mar03       (duhon o)BOREL H 125 8.00    
2  FRISEE Apr19 Mar19 Feb22 Jan25   (dunn ray)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 10.00    
3  TAKE IT TO COURT Apr13 Jan04 Nov21 Oct16 Aug20 (garcia luis)LOZADA CARLOS 125 5.00 7% 12.80    
4  PERFECT DIXIE LADY Mar20 Feb22 Jan16 Jan01 Dec12 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 1.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  REESE'S WORLD Feb23 Jan16 Dec29     (zenon shel)RAMIREZ JR 115 30.00    
6  ALESSANDE Mar13 Sep24 Aug17 Jul26 Apr24 (consta)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 30.00    
7  LUCKY GEM Mar12 Feb23 Dec28 Dec12 Aug12 (balderas)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  JAMIE ZEE Apr06         (rangel raul)PENA JONUELLE 120 30.00    
SCR  MALLORY UNBRIDLED Feb22 Dec20 Nov21 Sep14 Aug22 (zenon shel)BATISTA X 125 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.