Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - April 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(1/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(1/5/4)-(7/2/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(7/2/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(7/2/6/4)-(3/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-3   WIN (7/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/4)-(3/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/4)-(3/4/5)-(2/1/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-4   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(2/1/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(2/1/7/6)-(9/1/6/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-5   WIN (2/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/6)-(9/1/6/8/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/6)-(9/1/6/8/7)-(4/5/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
WRD-6   WIN (9/1/6/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/8/7)-(9/1/6/8/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/8/7)-(9/1/6/8/7)-(9/1/6/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/6/8/7)-(4/5/6/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (9/1/6/8/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(5/3/8/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
WRD-7   WIN (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/7)-(5/3/8/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
WRD-8   WIN (5/3/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/9)-(5/3/8/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/9)-(5/3/8/9)-(5/3/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   04/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOISE COMPLAINT Mar24 Mar19 Oct17 Sep14 Jul18 (moreno )GONCALVES R 125 5.00    
2  BROWN RESERVE Mar24 Nov26 Nov14 Nov02 Oct17 (young e)QUINONEZ B 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  DICEY WAGER Mar24 Mar10 Feb07 Dec21 Nov16 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 4.00    
4  IN BOND WE TRUST Mar10 Feb23 Jan26 Jan19 Dec04 (davidson m)ERAMIA E 125 1.80    
5  MASTER OF DISGUISE Mar24 Sep28 Sep12 Aug14 Jul03 (young scott)WETHEY JR 125 4.50 28% 2.50    
6  PATRIOTIC DUTY Mar24 Oct17 Sep27 Aug30 Aug17 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 125 4.00 35% 1.80    
 
WRD-2   04/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THETRUTHISTHETRUTH Mar03 Dec04 Nov19 Oct11 Sep20 (cogburn o)TRIANA JR 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
2  TALKIN CADEE Mar07 Feb15 Jan12 Dec04 Nov16 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 1.80    
3  KISS AND TELL Mar24 Mar10 May04 Apr15 Mar18 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 122 6.00    
4  BLUEBERRY EYES Mar19 Mar01 Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 5.00 7% 13.50    
5  MARIAH'S CANDY Mar23 Mar01 Jan19 Dec12 Nov25 (roberts blai)BIRZER E 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
WRD-3   04/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOSPEL PRECIOUS Mar25 Dec07 Nov22 Oct17 Sep13 (williams f)KIMES C 125 4.00    
2  SOPHIE'S GIRL Mar24 Mar10 Nov14 Oct19   (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
3  DA LAST TEQUILA Mar24 Dec07 Nov25 May06 Apr22 (rodriguez)TRIANA JR 125 2.50    
4  DESIRED FANTASIES Feb21 Jan09 Nov29 Nov14 Oct12 (dixon )FLETCHER D 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOMMA MYLES Dec12 Nov06       (rufino euseb)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 15.00    
6  SUNSHINE SISTER Mar19 Mar03 Dec13 Nov30 Oct19 (cogburn orrin)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 5.00 8% 11.20    
7  TAIL OF WHOA Mar24 Nov29       (biehler)GONCALVES R 120 3.50 32% 2.20    
 
WRD-4   04/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITA'S SONG Mar17         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 2.50    
2  COMPETITIVE BOND Mar31 Mar17 Feb28 Nov30 Oct18 (davidson )TRIANA JR 119 4.00    
3  EIREANN Mar17 Nov08 Oct18 Sep29 Sep11 (buehr)MANRRIQUE JOSE 125 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  ELEGANT ECHO Mar17 Dec13 Nov08 Oct18 Sep07 (williams alan)BIRZER E 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
5  CHITOZ'S BLUR Mar15 Feb07       (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-5   04/07/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL SARGENTO C         (quinonez eloy)QUINONEZ B 120 10.00 15% 5.80    
2  DOUBLE RAP         (biehler michael)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.50 25% 2.90    
3  CHEROKEE WILL Mar10 Jan24 Dec06 Nov09 Oct12 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 125 3.00    
4  TIGERSAURUS REX Mar26 Mar10 Dec11 Nov23 Oct30 (pruitt )GONCALVES R 125 2.00    
5  MISSION LOCKOUT Mar17 Nov14 Oct30 Oct12   (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 6.00    
6  APPEALS LAST RIDE Dec11 Nov08 Oct23     (rufino euseb)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  RUN PISTOL MAGIC         (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
 
WRD-6   04/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMUNICATIONISKEY Mar24 Sep25 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 (rufino euseb)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 6.00 12% 7.20    
2  ITSONLYMONEYHONEY Nov19 Oct31 Sep13 Aug24 May14 (lee mark)QUINONEZ B 119 2.50    
3  WITSEC Mar24 Mar10 Dec11 Nov25 Nov07 (wilson)FLETCHER D 119 20.00    
4  RUBY THE DESTROYER Mar19 Mar11 Feb08 Jan19 Nov30 (davidson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 119 5.00    
5  KIMBELL'S STRATEGY Mar24 Oct12 Oct03 Jun12 May13 (hale v)HEBERT LINDSEY 122 6.00    
6  DREAM TRAP Mar24 Mar10 Feb15 Jan24 Jan04 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 5.00 9% 10.10    
7  GLAMOROUS LIFE Mar12 Jan26 Jan03 Dec12 Nov09 (anderson w)ROMAN KEVIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  GEE SHE'S FANCY Mar11 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Nov23 (williams )TRIANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  EAGLE EXPRESS Mar22 Feb22 Feb08 Feb01 Jan11 (davidson sarah)SANCHEZ OBED 119 3.50 49% 1.00    
 
WRD-7   04/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEPPERMINT CANDY Nov19 Oct26 Oct11 May06 Apr03 (hartman)GONCALVES R 125 3.00    
2  MISSIN HOLLYWOOD Mar17 Aug23 Jul18 Apr29 Apr09 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 4.00    
3  MANNY'S KAT Mar20 Feb13 Jan16 Dec26 Dec08 (anderson w)ROMAN KEVIN 125 20.00    
4  CLAY'S BLACK OPAL Mar19 Dec07 Nov19 Nov02 Oct09 (hartman alex)KIMES C 125 2.50 50% 1.00    
5  RED DIRT RICH Mar17 Feb16 Jan26 Oct09 Sep05 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 125 3.00 13% 6.50    
6  RUN FIRE RUN Jun23 Jun07 May18 Apr29 Jul31 (ibarra)NAVA ALFREDO 125 10.00 11% 7.70    
7  SALT CREEK KID Mar25 Nov29 Oct18 Dec13 Nov10 (hunt s)SANCHEZ OBED 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-8   04/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAMENTABLE JARIN Mar18 Dec05 Oct30 Oct09 May14 (gunter micha)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 8.00    
2  O S U BUDKE Mar11 Mar03 Oct30 Oct12 Sep19 (boone pat)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 20.00    
3  KOOKY Mar10 Feb14 Dec12 Nov23 Oct19 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 120 8.00 20% 4.10    
4  ILIKEHER Mar19 Dec12 Nov18 Oct19   (caster boyd)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
5  SECRET VERSE Mar24 Feb14 Jan18 Nov23 Nov08 (buehr)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  MYSTICAL CODE Mar24 Mar04 Dec07 Nov22 Oct25 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 1.60    
7  IMPUDENT Mar24 Nov01 Oct09 Sep19 Sep12 (blatchford georg)QUINONEZ B 125 20.00    
8  SLUG BUG Mar24 Mar10 Dec12 Nov29 Nov18 (hewitt michael)SANCHEZ OBED 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  DENISES DOLLY Mar24 Mar10 Sep06 Aug23 Jun27 (corderman)TRIANA JR 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.