Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Sunday - December 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRC-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(2/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(2/1/4)-(2/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(2/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2/4/5)-(3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-3   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(3/2)-(6/4/7/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/2)-(6/4/7/9) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(6/4/7/9)-(6/3/7/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
LRC-5   WIN (6/4/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/9)-(6/4/5/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/9)-(6/4/5/7/9)-(6/4/5/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (6/4/7/9)-(6/3/7/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/9)-(6/3/7/4)-(3/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-6   WIN (6/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/7/4)-(3/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/4)-(3/1/4)-(5/4/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-7   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(5/4/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(5/4/6/1)-(5/9/2/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
LRC-8   WIN (5/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/6/1)-(5/9/2/4/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
LRC-9   WIN (5/9/2/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/2/4/7)-(5/9/2/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/2/4/7)-(5/9/2/4/7)-(5/9/2/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   12/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANGEROUS AFFAIR Nov16 Oct25 Aug02 Jun09   (glatt mark)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 1.60    
2  MUCHO MAGICAL         (marquez p)FREY KYLE 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
3  GUITAR GIRL Nov22 Oct14 Sep22 Sep30 Aug27 (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 4.00    
4  HOT DAY         (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
5  RUNNING SUPER Nov22 Oct14 Sep05 Aug09 Jun15 (cerin vladi)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRC-2   12/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD VIBES ONLY Dec08 Nov16 Nov08 Oct12 Apr27 (mendoza je)ORANTES R 120 2.00 19% 4.20    
2  EXCESSIVE CAT Jul02 Feb17 Jan20 Dec26 Jul22 (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 125 3.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  STORMY SAMURAI Nov15 Jun22 Jun08 Nov18 Nov05 (morfin serg)CARMONA SERAFIN 120 4.50    
4  RASSLER Nov15 Oct11 Apr28 Mar24 Feb11 (uranga jesu)AGUILAR ARMANDO 125 5.00 7% 12.70    
5  CRYPTO CRAZE Sep22 Sep06 Aug11 Jul07 Jun22 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 125 3.00    
SCR  DIVINE RASCAL Oct11 Sep22 May05 Mar15 Jan26 (vallejo genar)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 10.00    
 
LRC-3   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNWRITTEN CODE Nov15 Oct25 Apr19 Mar10 Jan13 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.50    
2  DIAL A FRIEND Nov24 Sep05 Feb11 Jan14 Dec10 (mendoza jes)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
3  UFFDA Nov17 Oct25 Sep29 Aug01 Jul05 (kruljac eric)FREY KYLE 120 2.50    
4  WISHTHEYALLCOULDBE Nov22 Sep07 Aug08 Jun22 May25 (palma hector )FRESU ANTONIO 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
5  BECKY'S DREAM (FR) Nov24 Oct13 Nov10 Oct21 Jun17 (palma hecto)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRC-4   12/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARELY FUNTIONAL Nov02 Oct13 Sep07 Aug03 May25 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 123 3.00    
2  COOLWIND Oct12 Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 Jul19 (moger jr)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 8.00 14% 6.40    
3  KING APOLLO Nov02 Oct05 Sep13 Aug18 Jul20 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 2.00 54% 0.80    
4  JOINT VENTURE Nov09 Oct19 Oct04 Sep05 Jun23 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 125 4.50 ★    
5  CLAMPETT Oct26 Sep05 Aug16 Mar12 May08 (glatt mark)TOMITA AKATSUKI 123 4.00    
SCR  MAN CHILD Nov30 Jun14 Apr28 Apr05 Jan06 (papaprodro)GONZALEZ RICARDO 123 5.00    
 
LRC-5   12/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEEKY GAL Oct13 Sep02 Feb23 Feb02 Dec17 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.00    
2  BLACKJACK BETTY Sep05 Jul06 Jun22 Feb20   (vallejo gen)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 30.00    
3  CHEVY GIRL Nov12 Oct20 Jul02 Jun04 May13 (wallace j)RAMIREZ S 124 8.00    
4  ISABEL LUDLOW Nov10 Oct13 Sep27 Jul14 Jun22 (miyadi ste)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
5  BEAU SOLEIL Nov24 Aug25 Jul28 May11 Apr21 (hess b)BAZE C 122 5.00 ★    
6  DR. RAY D. Nov24 Sep27 Aug30 Jun20 May30 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
7  FLYMETOTHEMOONBABY Nov24 Sep14 Aug16 Jul06 Jun23 (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  SAPADILLA Nov24 Oct12 Sep08 Jul28 Sep09 (papaprodrom)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 8.00    
9  SMART KITTEN Aug01 Jul06 Jun29 Jun13 May24 (nunez jesus)ORTEGA CESAR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRC-6   12/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLIMT A. P. Nov09 Oct26 Oct04 Sep22 Jul26 (cunningha)RAMIREZ S 122 20.00    
2  KISSMEYOUFOOL Oct11 Sep15 Aug15 Jul07 Jun23 (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 5.00    
3  THEY'RENOTLIKEUS         (miller pete)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 3.50 10% 9.00    
4  TORLEIF Nov09 Oct11 Jul21 Jan12 Oct09 (headley kar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  NIGHTBIRDE IT'S OK Sep01 Aug17 Jul04 Jun21 Jun02 (valenzuela ma)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 4.50    
6  THE SCENT Nov16 Oct13 Aug25 Aug08   (aguirre paul)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 1.20 61% 0.60    
7  NAUKANAUKA Nov30 Nov09 Jan14 Dec30 Dec01 (treece charles)ORTEGA CESAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRC-7   12/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSITIVITY Nov17 Oct01 Aug26 Jul22 Jun24 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 1.80 20% 4.00    
2  MISSION BEACH Nov08 Oct14 Aug24 Jul27 Jun19 (knapp steve)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00    
3  MANITOWISH Dec01 Oct27 Sep21 Sep13 Aug10 (valenzuela ma)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 2.50 34% 1.90    
4  RED CROSS KNIGHT Nov17 Sep13 Aug18 Aug01 Jul05 (hollendorfer)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 5.00 8% 11.00    
5  SEE THROUGH IT Sep29 Aug24 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 (vallejo genaro)FREY KYLE 125 2.50    
 
LRC-8   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 3 ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PETESOLDFASHIONED Nov30 Nov03 Oct11 Sep14 Sep01 (knapp steve)BAZE C 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MISCHIEVOUS DYLAN Nov16 Nov03 Oct20 Sep20 Sep05 (lucas )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 30.00    
3  SOUTHERN SLANG Dec06 Nov16 Oct19 Aug31 Aug10 (miller pete)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 4.00    
4  LETTHELIQUORTALK Nov03 Oct20 Sep14 Aug17 Apr27 (mullins jeff)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 17% 4.90    
5  DON'T HIT ME BASH Dec08 Nov09 Oct04 Sep22 Sep02 (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
6  ACE OF CLUBS Feb03 Dec16 Nov03 Oct08 Aug27 (deleon rafael)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 4.50 15% 5.70    
7  MIDNIGHT LOVE Nov03 Oct12 Sep21 Aug23 Aug03 (palma hector )FRESU ANTONIO 122 4.50    
8  CAPITAL OUTLAY Nov23 Sep29 Aug25 Aug08 Jul28 (miller pete)TOMITA AKATSUKI 122 3.50    
 
LRC-9   12/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST King Glorious Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALENTINES CANDY Dec08 Nov16 Oct11 Sep22 Aug30 (mendoza je)ORANTES R 117 30.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ANCIENT HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  SHEA BRENNAN Nov01 Oct06 Sep06 Jul26   (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 117 4.50 15% 5.70    
  (by TOUGH SUNDAY out of CARRIE ROSE by OLD TOPPER)
3  GOT'M COT'M Nov24 Nov01 Sep29 Aug31   (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 117 4.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ANNABIRD by FLOWER ALLEY)
4  I'M A BAD BOY Dec01 Nov01 Oct06 Aug31 Aug09 (mendez lui)GONZALEZ RICARDO 119 6.00 15% 5.80    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of DONITA'S RULER by ROMAN RULER)
5  R HEISMAN Nov01 Oct06 Sep08 Aug09 Jul07 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of PARISIENNE by GOOD AND TOUGH)
6  HARDTOBEBETTERNOW Nov10         (yakteen tim)KIMURA KAZUSHI 117 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WHOBETTERTHANUS by GRAND SLAM)
7  WHISKYGINANDBRANDY Nov03 Oct04 Sep20 Sep01 Aug10 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of APPEALING SUSAN by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
8  THE GYPSY COWBOY Nov24 Nov01 Sep06 Aug09 Jul21 (knapp steve)BAZE C 117 20.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of AKISS FORAROSE by RIO VERDE)
9  CALL ME SIR Oct18 Aug30 Aug09     (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 117 4.00 20% 3.90    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of RUBY BRADLEY by GRAZEN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.