Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Pleasanton
Sunday - November 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PLN-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(7/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(7/6/3)-(1/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PLN-2   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(1/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(1/5/2)-(4/1/2/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PLN-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(4/1/2/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(4/1/2/8)-(5/1/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PLN-4   WIN (4/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/2/8)-(5/1/3/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/8)-(5/1/3/7)-(1/5/8/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PLN-5   WIN (5/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/7)-(5/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/7)-(5/1/3/7)-(5/1/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/3/7)-(1/5/8/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/7)-(1/5/8/2)-(5/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PLN-6   WIN (1/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/2)-(1/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/2)-(1/5/8/2)-(1/5/8/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/8/2)-(5/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8/2)-(5/4/1)-(8/4/2/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PLN-7   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(8/4/2/6/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PLN-8   WIN (8/4/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/6/5)-(8/4/2/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/6/5)-(8/4/2/6/5)-(8/4/2/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PLN-1   11/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACCIDENTAL GENIUS Sep29 Sep15 Aug10     (f)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
2  MALA Oct27 Jul07 Jun09     (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 2.50    
SCR  CARE FOR AUTISM Nov03 Sep14 Aug09     (sherman )BAUTISTA L 114 3.50    
4  UNPRETENTIOUS Oct27 Oct06       (lenzini mi)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 1.40 55% 0.80    
5  ESCAPE PLAN Oct14 Sep20 Aug30 Jul25 Jun30 (lenzini )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-2   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYPTO CRUSH Jun24 May30 Apr24 Aug05 Jun24 (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 2.50 ★    
2  HAKUHIA Nov01 Sep28 Jul05     (navarre jacqui)ALVARADO T 125 5.00    
3  KINKY MOON         (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 125 10.00 17% 4.90    
4  PALACE MISCHIEF Oct26 Sep28 Aug10 Jul06 Jun08 (b)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
5  SOUTHERN BLESSING Nov03 May10 Apr27 Apr05 Mar23 (lenzini mi)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 20.00    
6  LIL BIT THIRSTY         (bond)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 4.50 20% 4.00    
7  GLORY N THEHIGHEST Nov02 Oct04       (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
PLN-3   11/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERRYGOOLIN Oct05 Aug17 Aug11 Jul14 Jun09 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 6.00 60% 0.70    
2  PROOF OF JAZZ Oct05 Sep07 Aug11 Jul14 Jun07 (trujillo ma)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SMILING LADY Aug29 Aug01 Jun22 May25 Jul27 (mathis andy)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 1.80    
SCR  LADY GOOD TROUBLE Sep15 Aug11 Jul07 Jun16 Apr20 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 119 4.50    
5  VULIN Oct19 Sep07 Aug24 Jul28 Jul07 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 119 8.00 5% 17.50    
6  J AND M EXPRESS Aug17 Jul07 Jun09 May25 Apr07 (g)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 1.60    
 
PLN-4   11/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIFT STEPHAN Oct27 Oct06 Sep15     (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
2  SHAKE THE DUST         (ramirez mig)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 8.00 10% 8.70    
3  HIGHLAND ECHO         (bautista jorge)HERRERA HUGO 120 12.00    
4  HEPHEPCUTDOWNNETS Aug23         (o)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 0.80 40% 1.50    
SCR  COUSIN THEO Oct27         (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 115 30.00    
6  SILVERCROSS         (bautista )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 12.00    
7  SAWYER'S SPEED         (aguil)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 120 20.00    
8  SIR RANCHERO         (mccanna tim)GARCIA EPIFANIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-5   11/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY Oct11 Sep29 Sep01 Aug25 Jul26 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  C HER BEAUTY Nov08 Oct19 Oct04 Sep13 Aug18 (tamay)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 8.00    
3  DADDY'S HONEY Oct26 Sep14 Aug18 Jul27 Jun29 (trujillo vic)OROZCO E 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PINEAPPLE CRUISE Oct27 Oct04 Sep14 Aug24 Aug04 (trujillo)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 6.00    
5  ALL HALLOWS Oct26 Sep21 Aug03 May25 May04 (mcca)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 2.50 38% 1.70    
6  GRAY FROST Oct14 Sep29 Aug24 Aug26 Jun24 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 5.00    
7  VIOLET THUNDER Oct19 Sep14 Jun29 Jun15 May18 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  LUVAHAPPYENDING Oct26 Oct11 Sep29 Aug30 Aug23 (perez sergi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 6.00    
 
PLN-6   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOIN' SOUTH Oct27 Sep29 Sep01 Aug11   (wrig)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 1.40 46% 1.20    
  (by OM out of CLEVER BIRD by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  SOUTHERN TORNADO Oct27 Sep15       (taylor fai)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOUTHERN IMAGE out of LILY BE GOOD by TIZBUD)
3  GOT SOUL Aug09         (mathis andy)ALVARADO T 120 3.50    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SIENNA SKY by SKY MESA)
4  MAGILLIGAN Oct27 Sep15       (bautista)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 20.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of RAJA'S ROSE by SWISS YODELER)
5  P TWENTYTWO Oct20         (miyadi stev)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
  (by GRAZEN out of DIM LIGHTS by MUNNINGS)
6  CONTRARY GIG Oct06         (koch neil )CRUZ DIAZ 120 30.00    
  (by GIG HARBOR out of MARY CONTRARY by MIZZEN MAST)
7  RAGAZZONE Oct27         (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 12.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of GOOD CREATION by CREATIVE CAUSE)
8  FATHER TOM         (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of SPECTER by CODE ONE)
 
PLN-7   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINE FOOLS Oct26 Sep21 Aug09     (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SENSATIONAL Z Z Jul07 May10       (badilla man)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.00    
3  DUTTON STREET GIRL Oct26 Sep21 Jul05 Jun08   (specht steve)ALVARADO T 122 6.00    
4  BIG SOIREE Oct26 Sep14 Aug09     (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 1.40 37% 1.70    
5  AUTISM INSPIRATION Oct26 Sep21 Aug09     (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
6  PENNYPATTER Oct20 Sep14 Aug16 Jul20   (jauregui o )GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 6.00    
 
PLN-8   11/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANGSTON ROAD Nov08 Oct20 Sep15 Aug25 Aug11 (wright b)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 4.00    
2  WRONG DIRECTION Oct19 Oct04 Aug18 Jul28 Jun07 (rodriguez )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.00 5% 18.40    
3  GALLANT WARREN Nov10 Oct19 Oct04 Aug09 Jul05 (bellasis tim)HERRERA HUGO 125 12.00    
4  RULER OF ANGELS Oct26 Oct06 Sep21 Aug18 Aug04 (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 3.00 18% 4.70    
5  BRONZE WARRIOR Nov01 Sep21 Sep07 Sep01 Jun21 (grein)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  COOPERKLIMT Oct04 Sep21 Jul27 Jul14 Jun08 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CONTINENTAL UNION Nov08 Sep29 Sep02 Aug23 Aug16 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 12.00    
8  ALMANERA (IRE) Oct20 Sep29 Sep13 Aug16 Jul28 (thomas jame)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 4.50 52% 0.90    
9  PLAYBOY STYLE Oct19 Oct04 Sep21 Jul27 Jun21 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.