Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Pleasanton
Friday - October 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PLN-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(3/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(3/1/5)-(3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PLN-2   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(3/5)-(5/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PLN-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/5)-(5/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(5/6/2)-(6/1/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PLN-4   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(6/1/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(6/1/5/7)-(1/4/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PLN-5   WIN (6/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/5/7)-(1/4/6/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/7)-(1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PLN-6   WIN (1/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
PLN-7   WIN (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PLN-1   10/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY CHAPPY Oct05 Sep14 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 (tamayo i)AMADOR RUIZ 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
2  IRISH PRANCER Oct05 Sep14 Jul06 Jun16 May10 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 119 2.50    
3  PONDERGATING Sep22 Sep14 Aug17 Feb18 Jan27 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LEEDSTHESKY Oct05 Sep14 Aug18 Jun29 Jun08 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 119 1.60    
5  CEE'S THE IMAGE Oct05 Sep14 Aug03 Jun23 May25 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 119 6.00 20% 4.10    
 
PLN-2   10/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SPIN Sep02 Jul20 Jun22 May18 Apr28 (sherman ste)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 2.00 21% 3.80    
2  SUPERMAZEL Sep02 Jul20 Jun16 May27 May05 (sherman st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 1.80    
3  UPSTART YANKEE Oct04 Sep02 Aug17 Aug01 Jul20 (mclean bil)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  KITTEN'S KID Aug17 Jul07 Jun23 May25 Apr26 (trujillo ma)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 118 6.00    
5  ITS THIEVERY Sep14 Aug18 Jul21 Jul05 Jun08 (torre)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 121 8.00 7% 12.40    
 
PLN-3   10/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONORABLE GAL Aug16 Jul06 Jun14 May27 Apr26 (trujillo vi)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 121 4.00    
2  TAMANTARI Sep29 Jul28 Aug27 Jul29 Jul01 (bonde jeff)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 2.50    
3  QUEEN MOLOTOV Sep01 Aug09 Jun14 Apr26 Apr06 (thomas jam)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 1.60 38% 1.60    
4  TWILIGHT EMPIRE Oct05 Aug27 Jul09 Jun24 Jun02 (delima cliff)OROZCO E 121 3.00 ★    
5  BROADWAY TIGER Oct06 Sep15 Aug18 May12 Mar31 (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 121 6.00 29% 2.50    
 
PLN-4   10/25/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE SUMMER DAY Aug29 Aug02 Jun23 Apr05 Jan13 (hollendorfe)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 4.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of AVOREE NOEL by LION TAMER)
2  OUR KENTUCKY ROSE Jun01 May13 Apr28 Mar31   (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of DR. ZIC by MILWAUKEE BREW)
3  TIZNOW MAMA Aug29 Aug11 Oct22     (o)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 1.80    
  (by TIZNOW out of AWESOME MAMA by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  WHY LOOKY HERE Aug18 Apr05 Mar16 Feb25   (specht steve)ALVARADO T 123 4.50    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of HARD WAY TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
5  SIGNORA VITTORIA Sep14 Aug11 Jul14 May11 Jan15 (mccanna ti)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 65% 0.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of PRAGMATIC PRINCESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  CARSON JEN Jul27 Jul06 May27 Apr28 Apr30 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MISS MAHALIA by UNCLE MO)
 
PLN-5   10/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 2 F PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOPING SHE WILL         (wrig)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 3.50 27% 2.80    
2  FULL MOON GRAZEN Sep21         (sherman ste)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 5.00    
3  SHE'S MY FLAME Oct14 Sep20 Aug25 Jun30 Jun13 (knapp stev)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 2.00    
4  CLASSY DOE Oct05 Sep14 Aug09 Jul05 Jun08 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 120 6.00    
5  GREG THE GREAT         (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  NEPHELE Sep21 Aug09 Jul20 Jun23 Jun08 (jauregui j)ALVARADO T 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
7  STAY WICKED Sep21 Aug16       (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-6   10/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADAME GAZELLE Oct07 Sep22 Sep02 Aug25 Aug03 (rodriguez )MONROY FRANCISCO 123 2.50 78% 0.30    
2  ROSES R BLUE Oct06 Sep07 Aug24 Aug11 Jul20 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 6.00    
3  SUPERSONIC FLYER Oct06 Sep15 Sep02 Aug11 Jul27 (preciado guill)HERRERA HUGO 123 4.50    
4  CLAY'S OPAL INDY Oct12 Sep28 Jun30 Jun16 May25 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLUEBERRY MUFFIN Oct06 Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Nov26 (stortz mar)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LA POPIS Oct14 Sep30 Sep08 Aug16 Aug02 (gabri)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LION'S LAIR Sep22 Aug10 Jul06 Jun21 May26 (torres arnol)OROZCO E 121 3.00    
8  BOURBON GLAZE Sep15 Aug11 Jul06 May12 Apr28 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 121 6.00    
 
PLN-7   10/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACE ACE BABY Oct11 Sep08 Aug08 Jun22 Jun08 (calvario sa)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  READY TO GIG Oct11 Sep14 Aug16 Jul28 Jun29 (thomas jamey)ALVARADO T 125 5.00    
3  TOM'S TREASURE Sep15 Jul27 Jul05 Jun23 Jun02 (mara)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 6.00    
4  VICTORIA'S CHARGE Sep14 Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 Jun15 (markle dan)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
5  ICY MISCHIEF Sep14 Jul20 Jul05 Jun21 Jun08 (meier r)DURAN F 123 10.00    
6  VELOCIOUS Sep15 Aug16 Dec26 Dec02 Nov12 (j)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 5.00 6% 15.10    
7  HOT BETTY Oct11 Jul26 Jun15 Apr20 Mar17 (thomas jam)MONROY FRANCISCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.