Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Sunday - October 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-1   WIN (4/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/6)-(4/1/2/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/6)-(4/1/2/6/3)-(4/1/2/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/2/6)-(7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ALB-2   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(9/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ALB-3   WIN (9/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/6)-(9/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/6)-(9/4/2/6)-(9/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/2/6)-(4/6/2/3)-(2/6/4/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
ALB-4   WIN (4/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ALB-5   WIN (2/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-1   10/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWANG         (fincher w)VALDEZ S 117 4.50 10% 8.60    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of AIN'T NO TELLIN' by DYNAFORMER)
TRYDENT         (glea)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 20.00 9% 10.30    
  (by COASTLINE out of SHINE'N TIME by MARINO MARINI)
TRUE LOVIN         (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 117 5.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of AMOR IMPOSIBLE by PURE PRIZE)
SUSIE Q CONNECTION         (fincher w)ROSENDO J 117 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of INSIDE PASSAGE by TIZNOW)
SCR  INSTANT KARMA Sep21 Aug24       (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of I AM MISS BROWN by BIG BROWN)
REMEMBER BIG JIM         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 10.00 9% 10.30    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MAYLA by SHARP HUMOR)
TONI THE GRRREAT Oct12         (pierce th)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 117 25.00    
  (by FROSTED out of POLITE SMILE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
GONE GREY Sep14         (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 15.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of ALJALELA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
CLEVER IT Sep14 Jun28 Jun09     (gonzalez r)CARRENO J 120 12.00    
  (by VISIONIT out of CLEVER INTIMIDATOR by INTIMIDATOR)
10  MOONSHINE MISCHIEF Sep14         (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 3.50    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of AWESOME CLUE by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
ALB-2   10/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT SUSI Sep29 Sep05 Aug25 Apr27 Mar20 (olguin ev)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
PAISLEY'S VISION Sep02 Aug23 Apr10 Mar19 Feb15 (gleason m)JUAREZ J 124 6.00    
SIERRA SUMMER Sep13 Aug16 Mar14 Feb29 Feb15 (soto)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
PANDEMIC GIRL Oct06 Sep26 Sep11 Apr24 Feb18 (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50    
RAISE OUR FLAG Sep26 Sep08 Aug16 May18 May12 (garcia harold)CARRENO J 124 3.50    
ALLERGIC TO LOGIC Oct06 Sep13 Aug04 Jul12 Jun23 (g)DE CRUZ 124 3.00    
ROSE GIRL Oct04 Sep13 Jun15 May18 May04 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 2.50 71% 0.40    
 
ALB-3   10/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING BRYCE Oct05 Sep19 Jun08 Apr13 Mar08 (hernandez leo)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
BORNINASMALLTOWN Aug03 Jul19 Jun08 May18 Mar14 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
HOLLYWOOD TIZ Sep29 Sep15 Sep07 May19 May12 (marquez jose )ZAVALA JULIAN 124 15.00    
LAUGH OF THE PARTY Oct06 Mar12 Jan29 Jan08 Dec20 (martinez )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  EVERYROSEHASATHORN Aug23 Apr07 Mar29 Mar07 Feb22 (green greg)MEDELLIN A 122 3.50    
EVERYBODY KNOWS Oct05 Sep26 Sep11 Aug17 Jul20 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  USING NITRO         (singh j)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 10.00    
SHUG'S ROCKET Oct09 Sep08 Aug23 Jul19 Jun14 (l)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
SHEZA HAILSTORM Oct09 Jul28 Sep07 Jul22 Jun25 (vale)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.00 64% 0.60    
 
ALB-4   10/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STACKERS Sep12 Sep01 May27 May12 Mar29 (barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 124 8.00    
LEAVE THEM BEHIND Sep26 Jul27 Jun09 Apr21 Mar07 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 124 4.50 9% 10.20    
PANCHO LEFT ME Oct12 Sep28 Sep11 May19 May05 (marquez l)TORRES J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPEED BUMP BOB Aug16 Jul27 Apr28 Mar22 Mar01 (vega a)JUAREZ J 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
MISTER WU Sep26 Sep11 Aug17 Mar21 Feb23 (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 6.00    
AMERICAN SOLO Sep26 Sep12 Aug17 Mar07 Feb23 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
MAXIMUM BULL Oct09 Sep12 Aug23 Jun07 Mar07 (cross gary)HEBERT J 124 2.50    
 
ALB-5   10/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. BIG RIG Sep25 Sep06 Jul27 Apr07 Feb22 (marlin i)HEBERT J 124 4.50    
LUCK IN MY EYES Oct13 Oct06 Sep26 Jun07 May18 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 3.50 58% 0.70    
DECK HUMOR Oct12 Jul27 Jul19 Feb29 Jan19 (l)DE CRUZ 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN MERGER Oct06 Sep11 Jul26 May04 Apr14 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
ELLIOT Sep25 Sep11 Sep01 Dec18 Nov28 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
ARCH CITY Mar21 Mar01 Jan26 Dec11 Nov20 (buechler simo)JUAREZ J 124 2.50 10% 8.60    
SCR  COLOR ME GONE May18 May04 Mar28 Feb22 Feb08 (singh johnny)TORRES J 124 12.00    
INDY'S SONG Oct06 Sep11 May19 May11 Apr28 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.