Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fresno
Monday - October 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FNO-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(1/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/5/4)-(3/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FNO-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(3/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(3/5/2)-(3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(3/5)-(3/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-4   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(3/5/6)-(2/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-5   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(2/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FNO-6   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FNO-1   10/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BAD BERT Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 May26   (perez s)ALVARADO T 120 1.60 19% 4.40    
2  STAR CHIEFTAIN Sep22 Aug10       (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  LA' MOMINA Sep28 Aug16       (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 112 5.00    
4  ESCAPE PLAN Sep20 Aug30 Jul25 Jun30 May31 (campuzan)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 3.50    
5  SALTYBISCUIT Sep15         (bonde jeff)MONROY FRANCISCO 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
FNO-2   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY DOMINATOR Oct04 Sep14 Sep02 Aug04 Jul21 (greiner )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 1.60 53% 0.90    
2  FANTASTIC DAY Sep15 Sep07 Aug25 Aug09 Jul14 (rodriguez fran)REYES R 125 2.00    
3  ATOMIC DROP Sep28 Aug04 Jul20 May27 Apr19 (rodriguez f)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 3.00    
4  CORN POP Oct04 Sep06 Aug25 Aug11 Jul20 (bean robert )OROZCO E 125 8.00 11% 8.20    
5  IRREFUTABLE Sep22 Sep02 Aug11 Apr02 Feb10 (lenzini mi)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
 
FNO-3   10/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($26K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEEKING Aug11 Jul07 Jun16 Apr06 Mar14 (mclean bil)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50    
2  KLINKERBRICK Sep22 Sep14 Aug31 Aug11 Jul27 (bean a)REYES R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  HALO RANDO Sep13 Aug02 Jun30 May12 Apr20 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
4  J. B. BOOKS Apr06 Mar01 Jan06 Dec10 Nov23 (mccanna ti)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 3.00    
5  NAFTIS Sep13 Aug02 Jun28 Jun08 May12 (s)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 2.00 21% 3.80    
 
FNO-4   10/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARDIFF CRACK Aug03 Jul07 Jun09 May25 Apr28 (mclean bil)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 1.80    
SCR  HEAT N REHEAT Oct04 Sep21 Jul21 Jun07 May18 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 125 6.00    
3  ANITANEWMERCEDES Sep28 Aug04 Jun07 May11 Apr20 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.50 38% 1.60    
4  MCLAREN VALE Sep14 Aug08 May04 Mar16 Dec31 (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 3.00    
5  TRUSTY RUSTY Sep28 Sep08 Aug16 Jul21 Jun23 (calvario sa)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 5.00 36% 1.80    
 
FNO-5   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGER ATTACK Apr14 Feb23 Feb02 Dec30 Dec10 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 125 2.00    
2  APLOMBADO Oct06 Sep08 Aug25 Aug16 Aug02 (tamayo isidr)OROZCO E 125 5.00    
3  ANNIVERSAIRE D'OR Sep29 Aug11 May26 May04 Mar10 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  BOLD ENCOUNTER Sep21 Aug18 Jun22 May25 May04 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 122 3.50    
5  SMILING JOJO Mar01 Feb02 Dec30 Dec16 Nov24 (rivera sally)REYES R 122 8.00 9% 9.70    
6  SQUARE FUN Oct04 Sep01 Aug16 Aug04 Jul20 (b)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 6.00 9% 9.80    
 
FNO-6   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEIGE THE DAY Sep08 Aug31 Jul28 Jun09 May19 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  TRINIDAD Sep29 Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 (hansen r)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 1.60 52% 0.90    
3  SQUARE CAT Sep13 Jun25 May26 Apr22 Feb05 (wrig)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 4.00    
4  HALF THROTTLE Sep02 Aug23 Aug04 Jul21 Jun28 (miller quentin)REYES R 122 4.50    
5  GROOVY HUEY Sep21 Nov21 Nov08 Oct01 Aug31 (peery debbi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 3.50    
6  GREATFUL ATTITUDE Sep14 Aug16 Jul26 Jun15 Jun02 (trujillo v)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 5.00 15% 5.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.