Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Friday - October 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-1   WIN (6/8/7/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/5/1)-(6/8/7/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/5/1)-(6/8/7/5/1)-(6/8/7/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/7/5/1)-(3/2/9/7/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ALB-2   WIN (3/2/9/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/9/7/1)-(3/2/9/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/9/7/1)-(3/2/9/7/1)-(3/2/9/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/9/7/1)-(9/8/1/11/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ALB-3   WIN (9/8/1/11/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/11/4)-(9/8/1/11/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/11/4)-(9/8/1/11/4)-(9/8/1/11/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ALB-4   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-1   10/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA JOYA Sep01 Feb18 Dec05 Nov14 Oct08 (henry larry)TORRES J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARRIS out of KILLARNEY ROSE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SWAYING LASSIE Sep12 Aug17 May04 Apr07 Mar01 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of JET SET LASS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
KENTUCKY GOLD Jun09 Apr07 Mar08 Jul21   (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 122 6.00    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of GOLD RUSH HUSH by ATTILA'S STORM)
SCR  CHANCE TO DREAM Sep28 Aug02 Jun09 Apr20 Apr07 (sing)GOMEZ PORTILLO 122 3.50    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of DREAM KIN by DESERT GOD)
ATTILA STYLE Apr07 Mar21 Mar01 Feb09 Dec05 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of FASHION CITY by PRECOCITY)
GENTLE STORM Aug05         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of PLAYOFTHEDAY by MAKHRAJ)
I WANA WIN GOLD         (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 124 10.00 6% 15.80    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of BODIE'S GOLD by BODEMEISTER)
FAUZETA'S FLAME Sep12 Aug02 May04 Oct15 Sep24 (chavez larr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
  (by CAPITOL GUY out of FAUZETA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MY YELLOWSTONE Sep28         (barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 122 12.00    
  (by KING BULL out of LOOSEWHEELSLUCILLE by WHEELAWAY)
10  WALK ON WHISKEY Sep28 Sep12 Aug17 Apr20 Oct15 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 122 6.00    
  (by CAPITOL GUY out of OLD FASHIONED GAL by OLD FASHIONED)
 
ALB-2   10/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAUTE LADY Aug25 May18 Feb01 Oct28 Sep23 (sedillo car)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
STORMY DAME Sep18 Aug25 Aug16 Apr27 Mar28 (soto r)MEDELLIN A 121 3.00 13% 6.70    
WHATWASTHENISNOW Sep13 Aug16 Jun16 Apr25 Apr09 (barr)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.00 52% 0.90    
WHY FOR Sep18 Aug24 Apr28 Mar07 Feb01 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 5.00    
MI PRINCESA Sep26 Sep15 Sep01 Aug02 Jun09 (aldavaz herm)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 8.00    
STAY BY THE BEACH Sep18 Aug25 May04 Dec18 Nov20 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00    
OUR ISLAND GIRL May12 Mar28 Mar15 Mar07 Feb09 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
MAUI SUNRISE Sep18 Aug25 May12 Apr21 Apr13 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 15.00    
HALEY WHO Sep05 Aug25 May04 Apr27 Mar28 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.50 9% 10.70    
 
ALB-3   10/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAVE'S ENCHANTMENT Sep19 Jun16 May19 Apr13 Mar07 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 5.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  STORM LEADER Sep19 Sep02 Jan25 Nov27 Nov06 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 10.00    
VALENTINO WHO Sep28 Oct07 Jul23 May07 Mar26 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00    
DELBERT TOO Sep14 Mar22 Mar08 Feb09 Jan18 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
THRUTHESTORM Sep19 Aug23 Apr13 Mar08 Feb08 (gonzalez carlos )MEDELLIN A 120 20.00    
SPINNING BLACK Sep14 Aug23 Mar01 Feb18 Jan26 (chavez artur)MEDINA ANTHONY 120 10.00    
SCR  ANCIENT LAND Aug23 Jul20 Apr07 Mar21 Mar08 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 3.00    
FLAGS FINALE Sep19 Sep02 Jul27 Jun09 Apr07 (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
DIABOLICAL STORM Sep19 Jun09 Apr07 Mar21 Feb23 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 23% 3.40    
10  MCTHANKS Sep19 Aug23 Jun09 May19 Apr27 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 6.00    
11  JET N G Oct15 Jul22 May20 Apr22 Mar26 (cross gary)HEBERT J 120 10.00 11% 8.50    
 
ALB-4   10/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOW CREST Sep19 Sep07 Aug02 Jul19 Jun15 (barrios bernadet)MEDELLIN A 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
DE LA LUNA Sep25 Sep07 May04 Apr15 Mar25 (barraza s)CARRENO J 119 3.00    
READY TO STORM Sep25 Aug24 Jun14 May18 May04 (gleason m)JUAREZ J 119 2.00    
READS PET ZENON Sep26 Sep12 Aug17 Jul27 Jun09 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 6.00 7% 14.30    
FINALLY AN EDDIE Sep26 Aug31 Aug17 Jun15 May04 (sedillo car)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
FACT OR FICTION Sep08 Aug31 Jun15 Apr22 Feb16 (pierce )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.