Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - October 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(6/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(6/4/5)-(5/2/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(5/2/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(5/2/3/6)-(6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-3   WIN (5/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/3/6)-(6/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/6)-(6/2)-(7/2/10/9) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (6/2)-(7/2/10/9) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(7/2/10/9)-(8/2/5/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
SA-5   WIN (7/2/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/10/9)-(7/2/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/10/9)-(7/2/10/9)-(7/2/10/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/10/9)-(8/2/5/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/2/10/9)-(8/2/5/6)-(1/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-6   WIN (8/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/6)-(8/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/6)-(8/2/5/6)-(8/2/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/5/6)-(1/8/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/2/5/6)-(1/8/2)-(1/7/8/9/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-7   WIN (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/2)-(1/8/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/2)-(1/8/6/2)-(1/8/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/8/2)-(1/7/8/9/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2)-(1/7/8/9/10)-(4/2/5/3) 60 $3.00 $180 
SA-8   WIN (1/7/8/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/9/10)-(1/7/8/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/9/10)-(1/7/8/9/10)-(1/7/8/9/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (1/7/8/9/10)-(4/2/5/3) 20 $5.00 $100 
SA-9   WIN (4/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/9/3)-(4/2/5/9/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   10/04/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 35 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFTERNOON NAP Aug25         (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 124 3.50 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of JULIE NAPP by CURLIN)
2  DESERT ROCKET Aug25 Jul28 Jun09 Oct21   (callaghan s)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by GRAZEN out of DESERT STEEL by DESERT CODE)
3  GLORIOUS LIFE Aug24 Jul28 Oct21     (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by VRONSKY out of GLORIOUS LUCK by LUCKY J. H.)
4  CANANI         (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 121 10.00    
  (by PAVEL out of BAS by FLOWER ALLEY)
5  WHO IS PAVEL Sep22 Aug25 Jun30 Nov24 Aug13 (freeman edward)CEDILLO ABEL 121 20.00    
  (by PAVEL out of QUANT SAVANT by SQUARE EDDIE)
6  DANZING FOREST Aug25 Aug08       (galvin w)BAZE C 121 4.00 19% 4.40    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ANNA'S FOREST by FOREST COMMAND)
7  MISS JO'S CURLIN Sep02 Jul28       (galvin w)ESPINOZA V 121 15.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of MISS JO'S COMMAND by FOREST COMMAND)
8  DRIVE FOR SHOW Sep13 Aug25 Jun29 Jun09 Apr20 (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 30.00    
  (by PAVEL out of SILAR RULES by TEN MOST WANTED)
 
SA-2   10/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEN TO GO Sep05 Aug16 Jun08 Aug05 Jul21 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 125 1.40    
2  JOHN DUNBAR Sep07 Aug29 Aug09 Jun16 Jun09 (campuzano lor)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 8.00    
3  JOINT VENTURE Sep05 Jun23 May23 Apr18 Mar07 (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 125 4.50    
4  DONNER LAKE Aug23 Sep02 Jan07 Nov04 Oct09 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  DARK MARCUS Sep22 Sep06 Jul20 Jun02 May17 (vallejo gen)AGUILAR ARMANDO 123 15.00 13% 6.70    
6  DUAL THREAT Aug31 Jul25 May18 Apr21 Feb21 (hess b)MALDONADO E 125 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
SA-3   10/04/2024 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  IRISH CORN Sep08 Aug04 Jun01 Jun30 Jun03 (mccanna tim)CEDILLO ABEL 124 3.00 25% 2.90    
3  TERRY'S BOY Aug29 Aug03 Jun09 Oct30 Oct01 (mullins jeff)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50 14% 6.10    
4  CANE CREEK ROAD Aug22 Aug03 Jun13 Apr21 Mar09 (hess b)SMITH E 122 3.50    
5  HARRY'S ONTHEFLY Aug22 Aug03 Jun21 Dec02 Oct22 (jauregui j)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00 35% 1.80    
6  INCH Jan05 Nov26 Sep29 Aug27 Aug06 (bainum kelly)BAZE C 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAS RAPIDO (GB) Jul20 Jun07 Feb15 Jan01 Nov23 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.00    
8  INSTINCT D' ORO Sep14 Aug09 Jul27 Jun07 May18 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  MAMBA ON THREE Aug10 Jul07 May25 Apr27 Mar29 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-4   10/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS DADDY Aug29 Aug16       (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00    
2  THIRSTY MAMA Sep02 Aug04 Jun15 May26   (miyadi ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  WE THE FREE Sep02         (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 ★    
4  LIL' BIT BOSSY Aug29 Aug04 May26 May03   (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 2.50    
5  THIRSTY IN VEGAS Sep02 Aug04 Jun15 May26   (knapp steve)BAZE C 122 5.00    
6  LEGAL FICTION Sep21 Aug17       (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 1.80 70% 0.40    
 
SA-5   10/04/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAR OVER LOADED Aug30 Jul26 Jul07 Jun09 May10 (koriner brian)CEDILLO ABEL 122 12.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of HANDFULL by COMIC STRIP)
SCR  P TOWN PRANCER         (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SOME EXCESS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
3  PRINCE DOLCE Aug10 Jul21       (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of CAMPIONESSA DOLCE by HARD SPUN)
4  DYNODAVE Sep05 Jul25       (treece charle)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 10.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ELEMENTAL METAL by SMART STRIKE)
7  CULLEN J Aug23         (baltas richar)FRESU ANTONIO 122 1.40 30% 2.30    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of DISKO DASKO by COUNTRY REEL)
8  ITS A CINCH Sep01 Aug11       (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 122 15.00    
  (by OM out of TAHITIAN LAGOON by UNUSUAL HEAT)
9  TEN FIGURES Sep07         (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 122 15.00 9% 10.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of RUN ZIPPY RUN by CITY ZIP)
10  WHISKYGINANDBRANDY Sep20 Sep01 Aug10 Jul26   (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00 10% 8.80    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of APPEALING SUSAN by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  IMAGINARY LOVER Aug18 Jul21       ( )TBA null      
  (by POINT PIPER out of TATTOOED GIRL by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  MISS MRAZEK Sep07         ( )TBA null      
  (by MRAZEK out of ATLANTIC SWING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  SHANAPLAN Sep20 Sep07       ( )TBA null      
  (by MRAZEK out of GYPSY FRIDAY by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
SA-6   10/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 35 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSET STORM Sep21 Mar17 Feb02 Dec30 Dec01 (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 121 12.00    
2  BOWTIE BOYS Sep02 Aug15 Apr26 Mar08 Jan12 (yakteen tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  GETEMDUSTY Sep20 Sep02 Jul05 Jun23 May18 (miyadi steven)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 6.00    
4  SUPREME COAST Aug15 Jul28 Jun14 May24 Apr26 (garcia fra)ORANTES R 116 4.00    
5  CANDY'S WILDCAT Sep15 Aug16 Sep16 Aug27 Jul31 (hess b)GONZALEZ RICARDO 125 15.00 18% 4.60    
6  NAVAJO WARRIOR Sep01 Jul21 Jun07 May11   (yakteen tim)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  CLASSIC ALPHIE Sep21 Aug15 Jul21 Jul04 Jun14 (papaprodromou)VALDIVIA JR 121 5.00    
8  ARROMAX Sep06 Jul28 Aug04 Jun18   (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 125 3.00 29% 2.40    
9  UPLIFT Sep21 Sep06 Aug04 Jul07 Jun07 (hess b)MALDONADO E 121 12.00    
 
SA-7   10/04/2024 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST NAILS Sep02 Aug24 Aug01 Jun02 May05 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  VITALERA (CHI) Aug25 Jun14 May05 Apr04 Mar03 (polanco marcelo)BAZE C 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DORIS MAE Sep02 Jul27 Jun17 May21 Apr07 (gaines carla)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 10.00    
4  SPEED LANE Aug11 Apr26 Mar29 Sep30 Aug26 (cerin vladimi)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00    
5  GRANNY BUDGIE (GB) Mar04 Feb11       (damato philip)ESPINOZA V 121 6.00    
6  TOM'S REGRET Sep22 Aug25 Jul20 Jun15 Jun02 (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 124 2.50 ★    
8  KITTY KITANA (GB) Aug11 Jun14 Apr26 Feb10 Jan06 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  GETTHEMONEY Aug11 Jul06 May18 Apr06 Mar03 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-8   10/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAVY MAN Jul20 Oct01 Sep02 Jul03 May06 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 22% 3.60    
2  RATLEFF Sep13 Jul28       (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 121 20.00    
3  DON'T HIT ME BASH Sep22 Sep02 Jul28 May12 Jan13 (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 6.00    
4  J B STRIKES BACK Sep08 Aug03 Jul21 May24 Mar22 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 121 15.00    
5  MISCHELOF (CHI) Aug22 Jul20 Jun16 May18 Apr21 (polanc)BERRIOS ISAAC 125 6.00    
6  DEMOTIVATE Aug22 Aug03 Jun13 May04   (brinkerhoff va)CEDILLO ABEL 121 10.00    
7  JERRY'S SPIRIT Sep13 Dec09       (pederson de)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 4.50 20% 4.10    
8  SALTWATER COWBOY Sep01 Aug03 Jul13 May31 Apr26 (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 3.00 18% 4.40    
9  COACH CRONIN Sep08 Jul27 Jun30 Jun01 Aug27 (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 12.00 16% 5.20    
10  RICKS RED STORM Sep08 Aug04       (mathis andy)FREY KYLE 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-9   10/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOLO LE PLUME Sep06         (hess b)SMITH E 120 8.00    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of LE PLUME by SMART STRIKE)
2  ALERAMO (IRE) Sep06         (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by ARIZONA out of PUTTORE by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
3  WILD ROVER LADY (IRE)         (baltas richar)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of STRAW HAT by POSSE)
4  SEA RUNNER Sep07 Aug03       (yakteen tim)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 1.40 39% 1.60    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CUYATHY by CONGRATS)
5  LEE'S BABY GIRL Aug25 Aug17 Jul21 Jun13 May31 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of RAPID RACER by FOREST WILDCAT)
6  ISNTSHELOVERLY Jul21         (shirreffs john)FREY KYLE 120 20.00    
  (by CONNECT out of INDY LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  RESOLVE Sep06         (powell)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of CUSTODY by BROKEN VOW)
9  GIGGLE GIGGLE Aug29         (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 120 8.00 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GRACE IS GONE by MALIBU MOON)
10  MAC AND CHEESE Sep08 Aug18       (mccarthy m)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 30.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of BLUE MOONRISE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  AMORITA Aug10         ( )TBA null      
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CARA BELLA by EQUATION)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.