Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Tb
Friday - September 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRC-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (4/5)-(2/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(2/5/3)-(6/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(6/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(6/5/1)-(3/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-3   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(3/6/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(3/6/2)-(5/7/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-4   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(5/7/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(5/7/6/3)-(3/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-5   WIN (5/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/6/3)-(3/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/3)-(3/6/2)-(6/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-6   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(6/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(6/1/2)-(3/5/4/9/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
LRC-7   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(3/5/4/9/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
LRC-8   WIN (3/5/4/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/9/1)-(3/5/4/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/9/1)-(3/5/4/9/1)-(3/5/4/9/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRC-1   09/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STELLAR CAP Sep07 Aug01 Jun29     (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 3.50    
FALABELLA (IRE) Aug11 Jul04 Mar01 Dec13 Oct19 (kruljac eri)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.50    
DORIE MILLER Aug30 Aug15 Jul25 Jun29 Jun09 (periban jorg)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 1.80    
FEISTY MITOLE Aug18 Feb23 Dec17 Nov19 Oct14 (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
LOOKS LUCKY Aug23         (mccarthy se)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
 
LRC-2   09/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POKERKNIGHTATVEES         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 4.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of CRYPTIC by CIRCULATING)
SHANAPLAN Sep07         (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by MRAZEK out of GYPSY FRIDAY by IN EXCESS (IRE))
FARENHEIT O C Aug23         (blacker danie)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of ZILLA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
WHISKYGINANDBRANDY Sep01 Aug10 Jul26     (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 2.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of APPEALING SUSAN by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
GOZER Aug31 Jul26       (miller pete)HERRERA A 120 4.00 25% 3.10    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HOLY LIGHTING by SILVER MAX)
SCR  MR. MACHUPICCHU Sep14 Aug15 Jul25 Jun23 May31 (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 6.00    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of MISSMACHUPICCHU by GOLDENCENTS)
 
LRC-3   09/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KID AZTECA Sep13 Jun14 May19 Apr19 Mar20 (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 5.00 13% 6.60    
BALADI Aug24 Jul30 Jun03 May21 May06 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 10.00    
ALWAYS ON CAY Aug23 Jul27 May04 Mar10 Feb17 (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00    
SCR  CODE DUELLO Sep06 Jul28 Mar11 Feb10 Dec31 (dollase cra)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 6.00    
REDLINE Aug24 Jul28 Jul07 Jun30 Feb15 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 1.60 27% 2.60    
WHERE'S THE LOOT Aug04 Jul07 Jun08 May04   (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 120 2.00 36% 1.70    
 
LRC-4   09/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESCAPE PLAN Aug30 Jul25 Jun30 May31   (campuzano lor)VALDIVIA JR 122 4.50    
TIGER STRENGTH Aug18 Jul21       (gomez ruben)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SEVAK Sep05 Aug09       (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
GIANT LUTHER Aug30 Jul25 Jul04     (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 1.60    
SHANKADOPOLOUS Aug15         (freeman edw)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 15.00    
DEEP CREEK STORM Aug16         (belvoir vann)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
 
LRC-5   09/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOURNEY D' ORO Aug17 Jul27 Jun23     (harris andr)AGUILAR ARMANDO 118 2.00    
DONNIE THE CHIRO Aug25 Aug02 May24 Jul22   (dollase cra)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 15.00    
PRINCE PRANCEALOT Aug24 Aug02 Jul07 May31 Apr06 (capestro paula )MALDONADO E 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHROMEFLASH Aug15 Jul28 Aug13 Jul22   (capestro p)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 8.00    
DISOBEY Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 May11 Mar23 (scolamieri sa)VALDIVIA JR 124 3.00 54% 0.90    
SUNRISE JOURNEY Aug16 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 Mar13 (barocio libra)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 6.00 7% 13.90    
SAULS CALL Aug09 Jun23 Mar20 Feb10 Nov12 (trela rosemary)CEDILLO ABEL 126 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
LRC-6   09/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUS DYLAN Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jul07 Jun23 (lucas rober)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 8.00    
LISA'S DOCTOR S Jul25 Jul07 Jun09 May10 Apr12 (belvoir vann)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
QUINTECENTS Aug25 Jun14 May24 Apr26 Mar10 (barocio li)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 1.40 41% 1.40    
ROYAL CURLIN Sep01         (galvin brenda)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 20.00    
GETEMDUSTY Sep02 Jul05 Jun23 May18 Mar24 (miyadi stev)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 2.50    
BARSINI RED Jul05         (powell leo)ORANTES R 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
LRC-7   09/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROFESSORS' PRIDE Aug29 Aug04 Jul04 Jun02 Mar22 (hess b)MALDONADO E 126 2.50 18% 4.50    
NANCI GRIFFITH Aug30 Aug23 Aug01 Jun29 May31 (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
JESSEBEAR Aug24 Jul28 May31 Mar15 Feb15 (ordonez aggie)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 4.00    
MADISON RAE Aug15 May25 Mar14 Mar04 Jan13 (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 4.00    
LOVE OUR FAMILY Aug24 Aug15 Jul28 Jul05 Aug17 (knapp stev)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 3.50    
BIG MAMA SUE Aug23 Jul26 Jun01 May17 Nov27 (miyadi steven)CEDILLO ABEL 126 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
LRC-8   09/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE'S WISH Jul31         (alvarez e)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
LADY LOLLIPOP Aug03         (mccarthy m)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 3.50    
RAPIDA Aug03 Jul27 Jun30     (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
VENICE VIBE         (baltas ric)ORANTES R 115 10.00 13% 6.40    
HELEN'S REVENGE         (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
RHYTHMICAL Aug17 Jul21       (gomez ruben)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 12.00    
SHE'S MY FLAME Aug25 Jun30 Jun13 May31   (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00    
LUCKY NEA Aug22 Jul27 Jun30 May10   (alvarez edw)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 30.00    
ICONIC MEMORY         (kruljac ian)HERRERA A 120 8.00 12% 7.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.