Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fresno
Saturday - September 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FNO-1   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(6/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FNO-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(6/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(6/3/5)-(5/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FNO-3   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(5/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(5/4/1)-(2/1/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FNO-4   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(2/1/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(2/1/5/4)-(3/2/1/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FNO-5   WIN (2/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/5/4)-(3/2/1/4/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/4)-(3/2/1/4/7)-(4/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
FNO-6   WIN (3/2/1/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/4/7)-(3/2/1/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/4/7)-(3/2/1/4/7)-(3/2/1/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (3/2/1/4/7)-(4/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/4/7)-(4/3)-(1/5/8/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
FNO-7   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(1/5/8/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
FNO-8   WIN (1/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/2)-(1/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/2)-(1/5/8/2)-(1/5/8/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FNO-1   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEGANT LIFE Aug17         (rubin how)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 3.50    
  (by ELUSIVE WARNING out of SURE CHARM by BIRDONTHEWIRE)
2  NOW THEN Aug17 Jun21       (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 1.60 34% 1.90    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SIZZLIN' SONORA by UNUSUAL HEAT)
3  GOLDEN RIVER Sep01 Aug04 Jul05 May25 Apr20 (ruvalcaba albe)HERRERA HUGO 122 2.00    
  (by MANY RIVERS out of SIZZLING GOLD by FORMAL GOLD)
4  I AM AMADEO Aug17 Jul26 Jul04 Jun21 May12 (ramos jesus)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 10.00 8% 11.90    
  (by BRAVE VICTORY out of CHILADA by GOOD JOURNEY)
5  KLINKERBRICK Aug31 Aug11 Jul27     (bean)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of STAFF SGT RECKLESS by SCAT DADDY)
 
FNO-2   09/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDIN'THESTORMOUT Aug24 Aug09 Jun23 May18 Apr27 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 10.00 20% 4.00    
2  RIVER OF AMBITION Sep01 Aug11 Aug04 Jul20 Jun16 (perez sergi)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00    
3  ACCLAIMED PREACHER Jul28 Jun14 Apr26 Mar29 Feb17 (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
4  CONQUEST SECRET Aug18 Aug11 Jul28 Aug28 Jul23 (perez serg)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  YOUR ROYAL FLYNESS Jul07 Jun14 Apr28 Aug28 Jul07 (taylor faith)SANGUINETTI A 125 2.00    
6  OH ANGEL Aug02 Jul05 Apr29 Dec01 Nov10 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 1.60 49% 1.10    
 
FNO-3   09/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABOVE THE FOLD Sep18 Aug28 Aug05     (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
2  UNION COACH Aug16 Jul26 Jun02 Apr21 Dec02 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 2.00    
3  HOT JAMMIES Aug16 Jul05       (paldanius s)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
4  READY TO GIG Aug16 Jul28 Jun29 Apr28 Apr06 (thomas j)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 3.50    
5  ICY MISCHIEF Jul20 Jul05 Jun21 Jun08 May27 (meier r)DURAN F 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  GREATFUL ATTITUDE Aug16 Jul26 Jun15 Jun02 Apr21 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 122 4.50 39% 1.60    
 
FNO-4   09/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS THIEVERY Aug18 Jul21 Jul05 Jun08 May27 (torres a)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SEA DOG Aug18 Aug04 Jul05 Jun09 May25 (jauregui j)RIVERA SANTOS 125 3.00    
3  BROTHER O' BRIEN Aug18 Jul28 Jun28 Jun02 May12 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 122 3.50    
4  SUMMANUS Aug24 Aug11 Aug03 Jul20 Jul12 (perez sergi)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 4.50 14% 6.30    
5  RICH GOLD Aug18 Jul20 Jun16 Apr27 Apr14 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.00 47% 1.10    
6  IT AINT OVER Aug18 Jul28 Jun28 Jun07 May27 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
 
FNO-5   09/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY CHAPPY Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 Jun23 May25 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  BROOKYS GAL Aug17 Jul28 Jun21 May27 Mar31 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  LEEDSTHESKY Aug18 Jun29 Jun08 May18 Apr27 (badilla ma)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 3.50    
4  PONDERGATING Aug17 Feb18 Jan27 Jan05 Dec09 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CEE'S THE IMAGE Aug03 Jun23 May25 Apr28 Mar29 (rondan f)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 118 12.00 7% 13.50    
6  IRISH PRANCER Jul06 Jun16 May10 Apr21 Mar31 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 118 6.00    
7  PINEAPPLE CRUISE Aug24 Aug04 Jun23 May31   (trujillo marc)RIVERA SANTOS 118 5.00    
8  KEEPYOURPRANCEON Aug17 Aug03 Jul05 Jun23 Jun02 (ramirez mi)MONROY FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
 
FNO-6   09/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY TRICKSTER         (hansen roger)FLORES P 122 12.00 9% 9.70    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of TRICKED AGAIN by HAT TRICK)
2  PENNYPATTER Aug16 Jul20       (jauregui o)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of PENCHANT by SUPER SAVER)
3  BIG SOIREE Aug09         (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 4.50 38% 1.70    
  (by MR. BIG out of SILVER SOIREE by TAPIZAR)
4  BUSY MAKING MUNNY         (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 15.00 9% 9.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of JULIA'S KITTY by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  SPICY ROSSO Aug09         (thom)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 6.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SPICY TEMPER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  SHIPPING LANE Aug09         (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  CARE FOR AUTISM Aug09         (calvario )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of TOO HOT FOR CURLIN by CURLIN)
8  WALK'N THE BEACH Jul27         (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 122 12.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SKY WALK by SKYWALKER)
9  CLASSY DOE Aug09 Jul05 Jun08     (rondan f)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 5.00    
  (by SOUTHERN IMAGE out of LITTLE DOE by KODIAK KOWBOY)
10  SURF STAR Aug18 Aug09 Jul20 Jul05 Jun08 (frank)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 6.00    
  (by SURF CAT out of MADRE LUNA by RAHY)
 
FNO-7   09/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAR GAMES Jun09 Apr13 Mar24 Mar01 Feb10 (delima clifford)DURAN F 119 6.00    
2  MCLAREN VALE Aug08 May04 Mar16 Dec31 Nov24 (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 3.00    
3  MY DOMINATOR Sep02 Aug04 Jul21 Jul06 Jun28 (greiner )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 8.00 22% 3.50    
4  TOWN PERFORMER Aug10 May11 Apr21 Apr07 Mar15 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.00 51% 1.00    
5  SAINT IVES Aug11 Nov25 Oct01 Aug26 Jul04 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 121 2.00    
SCR  MURPHYS TIGER Jun22 May26 Dec03 Feb26 Feb03 (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 4.00    
 
FNO-8   09/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFTER MY OWN HEART Aug17 Aug02 Jun29 May27 May05 (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 125 3.50 46% 1.20    
2  VIOLET THUNDER Jun29 Jun15 May18 Apr05 Mar15 (calvario sa)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  IMA KEEN ICE Jun21 May12 Mar22 Mar01 Jan05 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
4  DADDY'S HONEY Aug18 Jul27 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (sherman m)DURAN F 122 5.00    
5  GEEJAYTEE Aug02 Jun29 Jun14 May27 Apr27 (bellasis t)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.50 14% 6.10    
6  TIZTHEHARTOFDIXIE Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 Jun15 (mcdonald melan)HERRERA HUGO 125 8.00    
7  FRESNO CHILE Jun21 May27 Mar31 Feb16 Jan20 (meier r)COUTON JULIEN 125 6.00    
8  RIVER MARKET Jul26 Jun29 Jun02 May25 May05 (ruva)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 6.00 8% 10.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.