Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Saturday - September 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-6   WIN (7/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/1)-(7/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/1)-(7/6/8/1)-(7/6/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ALB-7   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-8   WIN (1/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/6)-(1/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/6)-(1/7/4/6)-(1/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/6)-(8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ALB-9   WIN (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/5)-(8/1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/5)-(8/1/7/5)-(8/1/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-6   09/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONSHINE MISCHIEF         (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 12.00 7% 13.90    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of AWESOME CLUE by AWESOME AGAIN)
CLEVER IT Jun28 Jun09       (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 15.00    
  (by VISIONIT out of CLEVER INTIMIDATOR by INTIMIDATOR)
SCR  PINK PACIFIC         (cross gary)HEBERT J 117 8.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of PACIFIC PINK by PRIVATE VOW)
SCR  MY VINO         (fincher w)VALDEZ S 120 5.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SPECIFICATION by EMPIRE MAKER)
GONE GREY         (chavez arturo)MEDELLIN A 120 10.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of ALJALELA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
KARAOKE HERO         (glea)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of NO TUNES by SONGANDAPRAYER)
WEST OF ME         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by WEST COAST out of BEST OF ME by SUPER SAVER)
ROADSWITCHER         (gleason m)ROSENDO J 120 4.50 10% 9.20    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of LA STRADA by STREET SENSE)
GOLDEN GATO Sep06         (henry larry)TORRES J 120 20.00    
  (by METABOSS out of KATIE IT'S FINE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  G B HARRISON         (henry l)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 25.00    
  (by HARRIS out of TALK ABOUT CONTROL by NOBLE SILENCE)
 
ALB-7   09/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINK AND A WINK Sep01 May12 Apr22 Apr01   (barr)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 4.00    
SCR  ANDREABANANAS Apr27 Feb29 Jan26 Dec11 Dec04 (singh johnny)TORRES J 124 3.00    
CHARLIENE Aug24 May18 Jan12 Nov27 Nov07 (martinez edwin )ROSENDO J 124 4.50 35% 1.80    
ISLA JANE May18 Mar01 Feb01 Dec18 Oct28 (soto r)MEDELLIN A 124 8.00    
GABRIELLA WHO Jun16 May11 Mar01 Feb22 Oct28 (chavez larry)JUAREZ J 124 3.50 25% 2.90    
LUCKY AND DARING May12 Apr13 Dec18 Nov20 Oct28 (g)DE CRUZ 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
ZAPPIN Aug17 Jul28 Jun08 May18 May04 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 5.00    
 
ALB-8   09/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Casey Darnell Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET HIM BE Jun08 Apr07 Mar08 Jan18 Nov27 (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of BERTRANDO'S LADY by BERTRANDO)
I THINK I'M HERE Aug23 Oct01 Sep03 Mar26 Feb28 (silva lillian)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.00    
  (by MARKING out of LIMEADE by CANNONADE)
DELBERT TOO Mar22 Mar08 Feb09 Jan18 Dec18 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 121 8.00    
  (by MARKING out of ON STRIDE by GHOSTLY MOVES)
MILK IT Sep02 May11 Jan18 Nov27 Oct15 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 119 3.50 11% 8.50    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of CAMPFIRE PARTY by FOREST DANGER)
BODIE GOT GOLD Aug23 May19 Apr07 Mar21 Mar08 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of BODIE'S GOLD by BODEMEISTER)
HIT BTWEEN THE ICE May19 May05 Apr13 Mar22 Feb29 (gonzalez andres)ROSENDO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FUSAICHI ZENON out of HIT ON ICE by MEDIEVAL)
HENRY ON THE RUN Jul20 May19 Apr07 Mar08 Feb09 (gonzalez andr)JUAREZ J 124 5.00 31% 2.20    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of PRAIRIE MOONLIGHT by PREMEDITATION)
 
ALB-9   09/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADDY WHAT IF Aug04 Jun07 Mar08 Feb23 Jan26 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 8.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  SPEED BUMP BOB Aug16 Jul27 Apr28 Mar22 Mar01 (vega a)ROSENDO J 121 10.00    
SUNSCREEN Aug17 Apr28 Apr07 Mar21 Jan25 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 4.50    
WHERES BRAYDEN Sep07 Aug24 Jun08 May19 May05 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00    
EFFORT N RESULTS Aug17 Jul26 May18 May11 Apr20 (gonzalez andr)JUAREZ J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPINNING BLACK Aug23 Mar01 Feb18 Jan26 Nov27 (chavez arturo)MEDELLIN A 121 3.50    
PROBATE Aug16 Jul27 May19 May05 Mar08 (amparan alberto)VERGARA P 124 3.00    
I'MAGAMBLER Aug17 Jul20 May18 Apr27 Apr07 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.