Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Canterbury Park
Thursday - September 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CBY-1   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(2/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/5/6)-(9/7/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(9/7/1/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(9/7/1/8)-(4/7/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-3   WIN (9/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/8)-(9/7/1/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/8)-(9/7/1/6/8)-(9/7/1/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/1/8)-(4/7/2/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (9/7/1/8)-(4/7/2/1)-(8/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-4   WIN (4/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/1)-(8/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/1)-(8/2/1)-(3/8/7/6/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CBY-5   WIN (8/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/1)-(8/2/1/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/1)-(8/2/1/5/10)-(8/2/1/5/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/1)-(3/8/7/6/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (8/2/1)-(3/8/7/6/1)-(2/4/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CBY-6   WIN (3/8/7/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/6/1)-(3/8/7/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/6/1)-(3/8/7/6/1)-(3/8/7/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/7/6/1)-(2/4/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/6/1)-(2/4/3)-(1/6/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CBY-7   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(1/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
CBY-8   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CBY-1   09/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARK IN GREELEY Aug10 Jul28 Jul06 Jun27 May25 (rengstorf tony)HARR KELSI 123 8.00    
LORING PARK Aug15 Jul27 Jul03 Jun23 Jun08 (bethke tro)GALLARDO EDUARDO 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
ZUMURUDEE Jul28 Jul06 Apr29 Apr08 Mar13 (woolley ben)MORALES ROBERTO 123 20.00    
WAR CHEST Jul28 Jul06 May25 May18 Apr07 (rengstorf t)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
COASTAL WATERS Aug29 Aug10 Jul28 Jul10 Jun27 (si)DA FAUSTO 123 2.50    
INESPERADO (FR) Aug10 Jul03 May25 May01 Apr08 (fuentes rube)FUENTES A 123 5.00 44% 1.30    
CIBERTRUCK Aug18 Aug10 Jul28 Jul10 Jun30 (danger )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
SARGE'S SERMON Aug10 Jul28 Jul03 Jun01 Nov23 (biehler mic)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 4.50    
 
CBY-2   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM NAP Jul07 Jun16 May18     (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 112 5.00    
MISS JEOPARDY Jun21 Jun02 Jan19 Dec31 Dec09 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 117 3.50 51% 1.00    
SEA LEVEL Aug03 Jun27 Jun01 Apr15 Apr02 (biehler mich)FUENTES A 121 2.00    
O'BABE Aug29 Aug04 Jun27 May25 Mar27 (scherer gar)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 4.50    
AMARETTO DI AMORE Sep01 Aug15 Jul14 Jun29 Jun02 (kereluk edward)HARR KELSI 123 2.50 13% 6.50    
MIA BABY Aug29 Jul27 Jun30 Jun09 Jun01 (fields )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CBY-3   09/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD TIME Jul25 Jul06 Jun09 Feb24 Feb10 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 4.50 21% 3.70    
RED'S MR Z Sep02 Aug11 Jun16 Jun06 Apr27 (rarick ly)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 123 20.00    
CATRICK Aug18 Aug03 Jul11 Jun29   (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00    
RAMBLINGAMBLINMAN Sep01 Aug10 Jul25 Jun27 Jun09 (riecken bruc)FUENTES A 123 8.00    
WHODOESITBETTER Aug29 Jul25 Jul06 Jun15 Sep03 (riecken br)GALLARDO EDUARDO 123 10.00    
GABRIEL'S LEGEND Sep01 Aug03 Jul03 Jun01 May11 (donlin d)HARR KELSI 123 5.00    
COMMISSIONER OSCAR Sep01 Aug10 Jul11 Jun23 May26 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
DA GHOST Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul25 Jun29 (rhone bernell)ARROYO MIGUEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
VICTORIOUS VANDA Sep01 Aug10 Jul03 Jun23 Jun06 (berndt )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
CBY-4   09/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCALINA         (mi)DA FAUSTO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of COPPER BEAUTY by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
GOPHERS AXE         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of BATTLE AXE by WAR FRONT)
PEPPER N MINT Aug18 Aug03 Jul10     (woolley ben)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 4.00    
  (by ENTICED out of CHOCOLATE LICORICE by LEMON DROP KID)
VINTAGE PORT Aug31 Aug03       (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PORTWENN by GHOSTZAPPER)
TAKE CHARGE LILAH Aug18 Aug03       (bethke a)HARR KELSI 118 10.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of LILAH'S THUNDER by THUNDER GULCH)
DASHING DARLING Aug03 Jul10       (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 118 10.00    
  (by WESTOVER WILDCAT out of MARLEY BE GOOD by YES IT'S TRUE)
FLATTER ME BABY Aug31 Aug18 Aug03     (bethke )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of FLATTER ME NOT by BOSTON HARBOR)
 
CBY-5   09/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JONNY B GONEY Sep02 Aug11 Jul03 Jun09 May18 (berndt joel)HARR KELSI 119 8.00 10% 9.10    
MYSTIFIER Aug22 Jul25 Jul03 Jun01 Sep04 (rosin c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 11% 7.90    
COLOR ME LEGENDARY Aug29 Aug10 Aug01 Jul25 Jul13 (gomez aleja)MORALES ROBERTO 123 12.00    
LL'S CLASSY DUDE Aug29 Jul25 Jul04 Jun16 Sep03 (mckinley fran)ARROYO MIGUEL 123 20.00    
SUPREME LEADER (GB) Sep01 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jul11 (silva migue)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 6.00    
MR. COUGAR Aug22 Jul25 Jul11 Jun29 Jun09 (westermann ronal)PENA BRYAN 123 15.00    
COWBOY CAUSE Aug29 Aug10 Jul25 Jul06 Jun08 (li)DA FAUSTO 119 5.00    
CROSS THE CAUSEWAY Aug22 Jun18 Jun07 Aug28 Jul31 (martinez est)FUENTES A 123 4.00 59% 0.70    
BLUEJAY WAY Aug15 Aug01 Jul07 Aug13 Jul23 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00    
10  STAR MISSION Aug10 Jul25 Jul06 Sep23 Sep13 (wolff perry)WOLFF S 123 8.00    
 
CBY-6   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 2 F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A. F. TOUGH ONE         (mckinley fran)ARROYO MIGUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GAZEBO out of COZZY KINDA LOVE by LOVE MY M. D.)
PAYTON'S BEAUTY         (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of JAN'S JEWEL by ISTAN)
GIMME MO MONEY Aug24 Aug04       (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of MS MO MONEY by UNCLE MO)
MIRACLE MINDED         (rengstorf )GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 5.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of CURLISH FIGURE by CURLIN)
QUEEN OF SPIRITS Aug24         (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 118 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BLING QUEEN by FIRST SAMURAI)
QURBAAN D ORO Aug24         (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QURBAAN out of RAASIKHA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
BEAUTIFUL BREEZE         (kenney ryan)FUENTES A 118 4.50 7% 12.40    
  (by UNIFIED out of WIND GUST by DYNAFORMER)
CASUALLY CLASSY Aug24         (litfin vero)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 4.00 25% 2.90    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ENLIGHTENMENT by STREET SENSE)
JUST WIN BABY Aug24 Aug04       (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of TEE EM EYE by CYCLOTRON)
 
CBY-7   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITHOUT EQUAL Aug22 Aug11 Jul25 Jun23 May04 (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 3.50    
MR INSENSITIVE Aug29 Aug18 Aug10 Jul25 Jul11 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 123 3.00 38% 1.70    
J J'S WILDCAT Aug01 Jul03 Jun23 Jun09 Sep03 (mckinley fran)ARROYO MIGUEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
MASTER OF DISGUISE Aug14 Jul03 May31 Apr18 Feb23 (williams mat)FUENTES A 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
GOT GHOSTED Aug22 Aug03 Jul11 Jun27 Jun01 (rhone ber)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 5.00    
SCR  MAKE IT BURN Aug22 Aug03 Jun29 Jun15 May18 (donlin d)HARR KELSI 119 12.00    
LAST STAND Sep02 Aug01 Jun09 May03   (smith georg)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 6.00    
 
CBY-8   09/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZ CALI Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 May25 (donlin larry)FUENTES A 121 4.50 41% 1.40    
LADY ASTRID Sep01 Aug18 Jul14 Jun08 May25 (cline n)HARR KELSI 121 3.00    
DIXIE GIRL TO Sep01 Aug18 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 (westermann ronal)PENA BRYAN 121 12.00 7% 13.00    
MIWOMAN Aug17 Jun22 Jun02 Apr26 Mar29 (riecken br)GALLARDO EDUARDO 117 1.80    
AUNT ALEX Aug15 Jun30 Jun16 Jun06 Apr21 (riecken bru)QUINONEZ ALONSO 117 5.00    
JEWEL AZUL Aug04 Jun09 Apr29 Apr11 Mar19 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.