Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Rosa
Friday - August 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SR-1   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(6/1)-(6/3/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SR-2   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (6/1)-(6/3/5/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(6/3/5/2)-(2/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SR-3   WIN (6/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/2)-(6/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/2)-(6/3/5/2)-(6/3/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/5/2)-(2/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/2)-(2/7/1)-(7/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SR-4   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(7/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(7/1/4)-(2/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SR-5   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4/2)-(7/1/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(2/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(2/3/4)-(8/6/5/2/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SR-6   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(8/6/5/2/9) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(8/6/5/2/9)-(6/10/8/1/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
SR-7   WIN (8/6/5/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/2/9)-(8/6/5/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/2/9)-(8/6/5/2/9)-(8/6/5/2/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (8/6/5/2/9)-(6/10/8/1/3) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
SR-8   WIN (6/10/8/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/8/1/3)-(6/10/8/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/8/1/3)-(6/10/8/1/3)-(6/10/8/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SR-1   08/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOMINITE DOMINIC Jun30 Apr28       (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 10.00    
2  TOP WOLF Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 May04 Apr07 (stortz marcia)COUTON JULIEN 125 5.00    
3  BEAR ENCOUNTER Jul26 Jul06       (mclean b)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00    
SCR  RED SVEN         (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 122 6.00    
5  HOT GOBLIN Jul21 Jun28 Jun02 May11 Apr20 (ramirez miguel)ALVARADO T 122 1.00 38% 1.60    
6  AUTISM MIND Aug02         (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
7  GALLO DEL CIELO Dec26 Dec09 Nov17 Nov03 Oct09 (preciado g)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SR-2   08/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 2 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILING RAPPER         (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 5.00 18% 4.70    
2  RYTHEM GIRL         (mcle)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 6.00 ★    
3  PENNYPATTER Jul20         (jauregui o)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 4.00    
4  STAY WICKED         (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
5  LA' MOMINA         (perez ser)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 12.00    
6  RUNNIN ON PROMISES Jul20 Jun22 May31 May10   (bonde je)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 0.80 29% 2.40    
 
SR-3   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GORDY'S BOY Jul28 Jul13 Mar01 Feb09 Jan21 (p)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 15.00    
2  CONTINENTAL UNION Jun23 Jun02 Apr20 Mar31 Mar09 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  PAUL VINCENTS POEM Jul06 Apr29 Jul09 Jul01 May06 (l)RAMIREZ RAUL 125 6.00 16% 5.40    
4  HANDSOME GARY Aug04 Nov24 Oct15 Sep25 Aug11 (rodr)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 2.50    
5  OUR EXPECTATION Jan13 Dec10 Nov03 May07 Apr16 (torres a)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 5.00 11% 8.20    
6  ALMANERA (IRE) Jul28 Jul21 Jun15 May27 Aug12 (thomas jame)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 2.00 49% 1.00    
7  COOL MOUNTAIN LAD Jun09 Feb11 Jan15 Dec26 Nov25 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 125 4.00    
 
SR-4   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANAM GAL Jul06 Mar02 Feb11 Jan19 Dec29 (mclean b)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LADY'S SERMON Jul27 Mar10 Jan01 Dec10 Nov19 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 125 4.50 53% 0.90    
3  KEEP YOUR COIL Jul27 Jul07 Jun29 May24 May04 (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 125 6.00    
SCR  MO TOWN GAL Jul27 Jun23 Jun08 May05 Apr06 (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 8.00    
5  A ROUSING BABE Jul27 Jul06 Jun23 May05 Mar23 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 3.00    
6  HONORABLE GAL Jul06 Jun14 May27 Apr26 Mar29 (badilla man)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 2.50    
7  CODE RIBBON Jul27 Jun08 May11 Mar15 Feb09 (navarre ja)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.50 10% 9.20    
 
SR-5   08/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREATFUL ATTITUDE Jul26 Jun15 Jun02 Apr21 Mar31 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
2  READY TO GIG Jul28 Jun29 Apr28 Apr06 Mar02 (thomas j)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 4.50 ★    
3  UNION COACH Jul26 Jun02 Apr21 Dec02 Oct02 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
4  HOT JAMMIES Jul05         (paldanius s)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 10.00 14% 6.10    
5  FLYMETOTHEMOONBABY Jul06 Jun23 Jun01 Apr28 Oct29 (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 125 4.50    
6  PATSY MONTANA Oct28 Feb24 Jan29 Dec26 Dec09 (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 15.00    
7  CLARINA Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 May18 Apr27 (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
8  SUPER ELLIE Jul28 Jul07 Jun14 May25 Apr21 (stortz marcia)ALVARADO T 122 6.00    
 
SR-6   08/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ACERO Aug03 Jul07 Jun02 May11 Apr21 (bellasis ti)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 3.00    
2  WHAT A DUDE Aug01 Jun08 May11 Apr07 Mar23 (o)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 1.20 42% 1.40    
3  CROWN MAGIC Jul28 Jun30 Jun07 Oct21   (specht steve)ALVARADO T 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
4  UNCLE WALT Aug03 Jul07 Sep16 Aug26 Jul22 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 125 6.00 5% 18.30    
5  WINTER SOLDIER Jul27 Apr14 Mar23 Mar02 Feb04 (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 12.00    
SCR  RUNNIN UTE Aug03 Jul20 Jun23 May27 Apr14 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 120 20.00    
7  APLOMBADO Aug02 Jul20 Oct30 Oct14 Sep24 (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 15.00    
8  LIBERTY WOLF Aug04 Jul20 Jun16 Jul09 Jun18 (stortz marcia)COUTON JULIEN 125 20.00    
 
SR-7   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCIENCE RULES Aug04 Jun30 Jun09     (ledezma ser)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 20.00    
2  FRANK THE CAT Jul26 Jun09       (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 8.00 11% 7.90    
3  RINGTONE Aug04 Jun29 Jun13 May17 Mar17 (ovie)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 10.00    
4  RED RAJ Aug04 Jul13 Mar29 Feb10   (bautista jorg)RIVERA SANTOS 122 4.00    
5  BRUISER Jul28         (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.00 14% 6.40    
6  BEAUTY IN AUTISM Aug04 Jul14       (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
7  CANTILEVER Aug04 Jul06 Jun01 May12 Apr14 (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 125 10.00    
8  BEGIN AGAIN Aug02 Jul04 May26 Apr26 Aug05 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 6.00 29% 2.40    
9  MISCHIEF'S THIRSTY Aug04 Jul20 May12 Feb09 Jan19 (mcdonald melani)MEEKS MICAH 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SR-8   08/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDYINTHEMORNING         (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 4.50 9% 9.60    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of FLUTTERBY by CONGRATS)
SCR  CHARLOTTES DELIGHT Jun29 Jun08 May27 Apr27 Mar29 (l)RAMIREZ RAUL 122 15.00    
  (by GIG HARBOR out of SMARTY CORN by SMARTY JONES)
3  COIFFEUR Aug09         (eaton terri)COUTON JULIEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAST DRAW out of CREME RINSE by LAHOOQ)
4  AMMARA May10 Apr07 Feb03 Nov11 Oct23 (haley glo)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 15.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of ALPINE YODEL by SWISS YODELER)
5  C'MON LETS SWITCH Jul20 Dec17 Dec10 Dec14 Nov15 (lucas robe)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 20.00    
  (by SURF CAT out of CHOSEN ROYALTY by IN EXCESS (IRE))
6  VELOCIOUS Dec26 Dec02 Nov12     (jauregui o)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LOST IN SUCCESS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  WHISKEY OUTLAW May14 Mar19       (guerrero em)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SUZY MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
8  IT IS WRITTEN Aug09         (eaton terri)HERRERA HUGO 122 6.00 10% 8.70    
  (by LAST DRAW out of DEEP THOUGHT by MR. GREELEY)
9  CANDY LITZ Jul06 Jun08 Apr27 Apr07 Mar17 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SMOOTHE AS CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  MAXWELL ST BLUES Jul27         (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 122 3.00 15% 5.60    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MACQUARIE STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.