Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Tb
Sunday - July 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRC-1   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(4/3/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(4/3/6)-(5/7/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-2   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(5/7/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(5/7/2)-(8/5/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-3   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(8/5/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(8/5/3/2)-(2/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-4   WIN (8/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/3/2)-(2/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/2)-(2/6/4)-(2/1/9/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-5   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(2/1/9/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(2/1/9/3)-(8/4/10/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-6   WIN (2/1/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/9/3)-(2/1/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/9/3)-(2/1/9/3)-(2/1/9/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/9/3)-(8/4/10/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/1/9/3)-(8/4/10/2)-(5/2/3/7/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
LRC-7   WIN (8/4/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/10/2)-(8/4/10/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/10/2)-(8/4/10/2/7)-(8/4/10/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (8/4/10/2)-(5/2/3/7/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (8/4/10/2)-(5/2/3/7/9)-(9/1/12/13/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
LRC-8   WIN (5/2/3/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/7/9)-(5/2/3/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/7/9)-(5/2/3/7/9)-(5/2/3/7/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (5/2/3/7/9)-(9/1/12/13/3) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
LRC-9   WIN (9/1/12/13/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/12/13/3)-(9/1/12/13/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/12/13/3)-(9/1/12/13/3)-(9/1/12/13/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRC-1   07/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT D Dec16 Sep23 Sep15 Jul04 Dec09 (figueroa ro)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 6.00 24% 3.20    
SLEW'S JOY May27 May05 Mar10 Feb10 Jan05 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
VICENTE'S SHADOW Jul09 Jun23 May12 Apr21 Apr01 (stevens satch)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 15.00    
PIPER'S CAUSEWAY Dec03 Mar17 Feb11 Jan22 Jan07 (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 126 2.50 34% 1.90    
SUNRISE JOURNEY Jun09 Mar13 Feb19 Feb04 Nov10 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 126 2.00    
EL DIABLO ROJO Jun08 May27 May05 Apr07 Mar10 (val)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 2.50    
 
LRC-2   07/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBE TOWN Jun16 May04 Apr19 Apr07 Mar24 (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 2.50    
KIMMER Jun09 May17 Apr27 Apr05 Mar22 (vallejo genar)VALDIVIA JR 126 8.00    
CRYPTO CRAZE Jun22 May27 Apr28 Mar10 Jan21 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 4.00 19% 4.30    
JOHNNY DRAMA Jun09 Apr05 Feb24 Jan12 Nov18 (papaprodromou geo)FREY KYLE 126 1.40 49% 1.00    
SMOKEM EZ Jun08 May24 Sep08 Aug11 May12 (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 4.00    
EREBUS Jun23 Jun01 May19 May05 Apr05 (lopez geo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRC-3   07/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIKE OPERATOR Jun23 Apr19 Jan01 Dec09 Oct21 (aquino ange)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 124 10.00    
STOP AND A TRES Jun01 May19 May05 Apr05 Mar08 (brinkerhoff va)CEDILLO ABEL 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHOA BUDDY Jun22 Jan21 Dec31 Dec08 Nov05 (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 20.00    
CROSS EXAMINE Jun08 May06 Apr21 Apr09 Mar12 (garcia victor)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 15.00    
SEE THROUGH IT Jun23 Apr27 Feb10 Jan19 Dec02 (vallejo genar)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 1.20 42% 1.40    
LANSDOWNE (GB) May31 Apr27 Apr07 Mar15 Mar01 (knapp steve)HERRERA A 126 5.00    
TOP GUN TOMMY Jun07 Apr27 Mar29 Mar03 Feb02 (papaprodrom)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
LRC-4   07/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARREN'S SHOW BIZZ Jun22 Nov02 Oct15 Sep24 Aug05 (lewis a)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 3.50    
LA CHIQUIS Jun23 Dec09 Nov11 Feb27 Feb04 (wicker llo)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISS JOANNIE May01 Apr24 Apr10 Mar25 Mar05 (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
SHVERE ARBETER May19 Apr21 Apr06 Mar09 Dec31 (aquino )ALCALA ROSARIO 126 30.00    
FAMILY TRIPS Jun22 Mar08 Dec17 Oct16 Sep16 (valenzuela mar)CEDILLO ABEL 126 6.00 19% 4.20    
KEEP YOUR COIL Jun29 May24 May04 Mar08 Feb11 (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 3.50    
TAPIT DOUX Jun29 Jun02 May19 May04 Mar01 (kna)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 1.60    
LOVELY COLLEEN Jun08 Jul08 Jun04 Apr22 Apr02 (aquino ange)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 10.00 52% 0.90    
 
LRC-5   07/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41K) 2 ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IRISH LEGACY         (moger j)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 10.00    
  (by ANTHONY'S CROSS out of IRISH WINNIE by BROKEN VOW)
INFAMOUS ANGEL Jun16 May26       (fre)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 1.20 54% 0.80    
  (by PAVEL out of LYLA DELLA by ECCLESIASTIC)
VALENTINES CANDY Jun23         (mendoza j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 20.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ANCIENT HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
PAX A PUNCH         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SPRING MOON by ZENSATIONAL)
BINGING         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 12.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of KUVA by SQUARE EDDIE)
SCR  SHEA BRENNAN         (damato philip)FREY KYLE 120 2.00 20% 4.00    
  (by TOUGH SUNDAY out of CARRIE ROSE by OLD TOPPER)
SCR  MASTER JACQUES         (papaprodrom)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 15.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of LITTLE BOLOR by GOLDENCENTS)
RUN FOR KIDDER         (kitchingman a)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of WINEMENOW by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
LRC-6   07/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN YOUR LIFE Nov19         (eur)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
EBOK'S DREAM GIRL Oct20 Sep10 Jul22     (sadler john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
GIRLCANTHELPIT May18 Apr06 Feb10 Jan14 Nov19 (mandella gary)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
DIXIE BLAZE Jun22 May25 Apr26 Jan14 Dec17 (knapp stev)ORANTES R 115 8.00    
IN WITHOUT KNOCKIN Jun02 Apr20       (eurton pet)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 20.00    
DREAMING OF HOPE Dec03 Oct20 Sep09     (miller peter)CEDILLO ABEL 122 5.00    
SCR  SEPTEMBER MAGIC         (yakteen tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.50    
DISCREPANCY Jun08 May04 Apr05 Mar04 Jan05 (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 122 4.50    
TIKVAH         (powell leon)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 15.00 7% 14.00    
 
LRC-7   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVILNTHEBLUEGRAS May24 Apr05       (bryant steve)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00    
DATSYUK Apr20 Jul02 Jun11     (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.00 7% 14.00    
PAISLEES PROMISE Jun23         (gon)VALENZUELA RAUL 122 30.00    
TOOTS TOOKAROOKIN         (marquez alf)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 8.00 18% 4.60    
MONGOLIAN FROST Jun16 Apr05       (ganbat eneb)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 15.00    
MI CABO EXPRESS Jun16         (periban jorge)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 8.00    
KISSMEYOUFOOL Jun23         (knapp stev)ORANTES R 115 6.00    
TAKAMAKAHARA Jun29 Jun15 Apr05 Mar08 Feb02 (flores antoni)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
MISCHIEVOUS DYLAN Jun23 Feb02 Dec30 Oct20 Sep08 (luca)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
10  UPLIFT Jun07 Apr20 Apr05 Mar04 Jan28 (ramirez miguel)CEDILLO ABEL 122 6.00 7% 13.20    
 
LRC-8   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIRAG Apr29         (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 6.00 12% 7.40    
LISA'S DOCTOR S Jun09 May10 Apr12     (belvoir vann)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHURCHMEISTER Dec09 Oct27 Sep29 Aug26 Apr23 (nunez jesu)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 126 30.00    
VILIFIED Jun16 May18       (yakteen tim)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 2.50 57% 0.80    
IGNATOWSKI Jun29 Jun16 May05 Apr20 Jun11 (knapp stev)ORANTES R 113 15.00    
POWER TRIP         (fari)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 126 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  APPRECIATE TODAY Feb24 Jan21       (miller pete)HERRERA A 126 0.60    
NICE BOOTS         (valenzuel)RAMIREZ FRANCISCO 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
10  NATURAL CAT Apr21         (vuocolo al)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 30.00    
11  INDIAN ARROW Jun23         (gonzale)LOPEZ REYNOSO 126 20.00    
SCR  WAR ON THE WEST Jun01 May04       ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-9   07/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN VRONSKY STYLE Aug13 Jun24 Apr22 Feb17 Dec02 (damato)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 3.50 28% 2.60    
SPIRITUAL ADVISOR May25 May03 Apr05 Feb25 Feb10 (bon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 4.50    
HAYWOOD Jun08 May11 Sep18 Aug27 Jul23 (moger j)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
BEER MONEY Jun15 Jun07 May24 Apr28 Mar17 (stute gary)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 118 8.00    
PRINCE PRANCEALOT May31 Apr06 Mar04 Feb17 Jan07 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 118 12.00    
WEGONAHAVAGOODTIME Mar10 Feb10 Jan15 Dec17 Jul04 (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 30.00    
L'ENFANT DIT May27 Apr27 Mar09 Feb25 Feb04 (headley gus)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 20.00    
DISOBEY Jun09 May11 Mar23 Feb11   (scolamieri sa)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
10  RHINO Jun07 May05 Apr19 Mar22 Sep04 (blacker danie)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00    
SCR  BRONKO NAGURSKI Jun15 Apr26 Mar23 Feb23 Jan27 (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 124 12.00    
12  WHERE'S THE LOOT Jun08 May04       (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 118 12.00 12% 7.00    
13  SO I'M TOLD Jun23 May12 Apr06 Jan27 Jan15 (valenzuela ma)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 8.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  WINE AND WHISKY Jun16 May31 Feb23 Jan28 Jan14 ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.