Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Tb
Friday - July 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRC-1   WIN (1/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/6/5)-(3/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/5)-(3/4)-(2/1/7/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
LRC-2   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/4)-(2/1/7/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/1/7/6)-(5/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-3   WIN (2/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/7/6)-(5/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/6)-(5/7/8)-(7/2/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-4   WIN (5/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/8)-(5/7/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/8)-(5/7/8/6)-(5/7/8/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/7/8)-(7/2/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8)-(7/2/1/5)-(3/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-5   WIN (7/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/1/5)-(3/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/5)-(3/7/4)-(6/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-6   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(6/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(6/5/4)-(2/7/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-7   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(2/7/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
LRC-8   WIN (2/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5/3)-(2/7/1/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRC-1   07/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWIFT HARMONY Jun22 May26 May03     (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 1.60 30% 2.40    
FAITHFUL TRUTH Jun15         (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00    
LITTLE DUMPLING         (valenzuel)RAMIREZ S 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
DYIN A THIRST May26 Apr25       (brinkerhoff )LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00    
PROMISE ME KAT Jun22         (dollase craig)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
LONG LEGGED BABS         (moger j)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
SWEET ELLA RAE Jun22 May26       (hernandez jr)FREY KYLE 120 5.00    
 
LRC-2   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOESAHANDFUL Jun15 Apr21 Dec31 Nov24 Oct25 (damato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00    
FIREMAN DAN May24 Apr27 Apr03 Mar09 Jun16 (wallace j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 4.50    
WESTPORT CAPTAIN Jun02 Apr29 Apr15 Mar14 Dec01 (belvoir vann)FREY KYLE 124 5.00 46% 1.20    
FROST ALERT Sep16 Sep02 Jun16 May07 Mar27 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 3.50 18% 4.40    
JACK KEROUAC May12 Jan24 Dec22     (damato phili)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 2.50    
SYNTACTIC Jun15 May24 Apr27 Apr07 Mar03 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 124 4.00    
 
LRC-3   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNA PALABRA Apr24 Feb01 Nov25 Aug17 Jul22 (belvoir v)RAMIREZ S 126 6.00 23% 3.40    
DENDERA Jun14 May24 May10 Mar29 Feb16 (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 126 2.00 47% 1.10    
LOVE OUR FAMILY Aug17 Jul30 Jun11 May14 Apr07 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 5.00    
WARRIOR LADY May24 Apr07 Feb23 Feb03 Dec09 (eurton pete)HERRERA A 126 8.00    
ENGLISH DANGER Jun15 Apr20 Mar22 Feb18 Jan19 (quinonez rola)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 4.00    
DE JORIA Jun14 May24 Apr28 Mar04 Feb15 (periban jorg)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
RUN FOR MY HONEY May26 Jun17 May27 May07 Dec09 (ordonez aggie)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 4.50 8% 11.80    
 
LRC-4   07/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTCH Jun23 Jun08 May25 May05 Apr20 (aquino an)RAMIREZ FRANCISCO 126 20.00    
SCR  DAPITAN STAR Jun13 May18 Apr20     (bonde jeff)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00    
SCR  KIMBERLY'S DEVIL Apr20 Jul09 Jul01 May05 Feb04 (lucas j)HARVEY B 121 30.00    
SPOT D' ORO Jun23 Jun07 May17 May04 Apr05 (palma hector )AYUSO ARMANDO 120 4.00    
BARSINI RED         (powell leo)ORANTES R 119 2.50 60% 0.70    
ONE STRONG CAT         (glenn w)ORTEGA CESAR 126 5.00    
GETEMDUSTY Jun23 May18 Mar24 Mar16 Feb11 (miyadi stev)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 1.60 9% 9.60    
NEXT TRICK         (gomez ruben)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRC-5   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH FLYING GRACIE Jun30 May24 Apr26 Mar15 Jan01 (knapp steve)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 4.00 11% 8.20    
LADY CRUISER May03 Apr05 Dec16     (sadler jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
CY'S SILKSTOCKING Jun22 May01 Apr17 Apr06 Dec10 (belvoir vann)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 20.00    
ANOTHER SUMMER May10 Apr21 Mar23 Feb10   (mccanna tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 2.50    
AMELIA BLEU Oct28 Sep08       (gallagher patr)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SMOOTH AS BUTTER Jun09 May10 Apr13 Mar04   (papaprodrom)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 12.00    
SENT BY ANGELS Jun22 May01 Apr17 Mar27 Jul09 (belvoir vann)FREY KYLE 126 6.00 27% 2.70    
NICELY CURVED Jun15 Oct20 Aug27 Jul29 Jun10 (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 126 3.00    
 
LRC-6   07/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTEKI Jan14 Aug21       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JUST PARKER by FOREST CAMP)
WIMBERLY Apr28         (sadler w)CEDILLO ABEL 120 10.00    
  (by CURLIN out of DREAM TREE by UNCLE MO)
UFFDA May27 Oct09 Sep01     (kruljac j )GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
  (by JACK MILTON out of KISSING BOOTH by FULL POCKET)
VERONICA'S GEM         (koriner brian)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 5% 18.90    
  (by VRONSKY out of MARK OF A GEM by BENCHMARK)
BAD CARDINAL Sep17         (ruf)VALENZUELA RAUL 126 30.00    
  (by EVIL MINISTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  PHILIPPA Jun15         (baffert bob)FREY KYLE 120 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SAHARAN by DESERT PARTY)
JUDICIOUS         (damato)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TENACIOUS HEART by INTO MISCHIEF)
IRISH ROSE Jun09 Apr27 Apr05 Mar17 Sep02 (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 126 4.50    
  (by IRISH SURF out of LILIES AND ROSES by SUPER SAVER)
 
LRC-7   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SKETCHY Jun13 Mar16 Feb18 Jan06 Nov23 (ellis ronald )AYUSO ARMANDO 118 20.00    
BIG HAT WILLIE May19 Apr27 Feb24 Dec29 Nov19 (miller pete)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.00    
MACKINNON May17 Apr21 Mar17 Mar03 Jul30 (o'neill doug)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 126 3.50    
SHORTMAN Jun08 Apr27 Apr06 Mar03 Feb10 (vallejo ge)ORANTES R 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
JACK SIXPACK May27 Dec08 Nov17 Sep17 Aug03 (damato philip)FREY KYLE 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
RED CROSS KNIGHT May19 Apr21 Mar22 Jan26 Dec09 (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 126 2.00 42% 1.40    
RECKLESS SPIRIT May05 Mar17 Jan06 Nov05 Oct08 (damato)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 8.00    
 
LRC-8   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE MAN May04 Apr07 Mar10 Jan07 Jul29 (powell leo)ORANTES R 113 3.50 14% 6.00    
GOLDEN RIVER May25 Apr20       (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
FINNERS GOLDNSENSE Jun07 May12 Apr20     (miller pete)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00    
FLYING BLIND May25         (mccarthy sean)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00    
WAR SWIFT         (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
REMI OR NOT Jan12         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 12.00    
LAST CALL PAUL Jun01 May04 Mar10 Feb17 Jan12 (knapp ste)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 4.50 20% 4.10    
CHISPA ROJA May12         (quinonez ro)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 20.00    
STEPHORTLESS May12         (baltas richard)CEDILLO ABEL 126 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.