Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(5/1)-(4/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-2   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(4/5/1)-(6/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(6/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(6/1/4)-(3/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(3/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(2/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-5   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(2/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(2/1/3)-(5/4/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-6   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(5/4/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(5/4/7/6)-(4/8/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-7   WIN (5/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/7/6)-(4/8/5/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/6)-(4/8/5/2)-(7/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-8   WIN (4/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/5/2)-(7/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-9   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   05/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 35 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOLS Apr19 Mar24 Mar10 Feb25 Jan27 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 20.00    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of WEST MID by WESTERN FAME)
2  RUN BRYCE RUN Mar22 Feb25 Jan27 Dec31 Nov24 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 118 3.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of SHES ALL WOUND UP by COIL)
3  LUCKY N SMART Apr20         (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by VRONSKY out of GLORIOUS LUCK by LUCKY J. H.)
4  HANDSOME RED Apr20         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  MAXVILLE Mar22 Feb23 Jan26 Dec30 Nov19 (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 5.00 ★    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of MARGOT MACHANCE by CREACHADOIR)
6  DEFENSOR FORTIS Apr19 Mar22 Mar16 Jan12 Nov11 (miller pete)HERRERA A 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  GHOSTLY ACT Apr20 Mar16 Feb16 Dec30 Nov19 (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 126 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of DEBBIES CUTE GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
SA-2   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAYWOOD Sep18 Aug27 Jul23 Jun25   (moger jr)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  STAY ON THE FENCE Apr06 Mar04 Feb17 Jan07 Dec17 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 1.60    
3  BELLA VIENNA Mar22 Jan27 Dec16 Nov10 Oct22 (koriner brian)BAZE C 117 3.00    
SCR  TRAVELIN' SHOW Apr20 Feb25 Feb11 Jan13 Dec08 (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00    
5  IMMELMANN Apr28 Mar17 Feb17 Jan15 Dec02 (nun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 4.00 52% 0.90    
 
SA-3   05/11/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INVINCIBLE MOLLY (GB) Apr07 Mar04       (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  ELEGANT Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 Jan01 Nov12 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
3  SHE IS ROMANTIC Apr07 Mar04 Jan20 Dec02 Oct06 (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 122 3.00    
4  SOHO Oct28 Oct08 Sep08     (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  PARADISE LAKE Apr04 Feb25       (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
SA-4   05/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PETIT FILET Mar22 Mar03 Jan13 Dec10 Nov03 (koriner b)RAMIREZ S 120 8.00 23% 3.30    
2  PANDA PEAK Mar16 Feb11 Jan14 Aug25 May25 (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 6.00    
3  WE'LL DO IT LIVE Apr07 Mar15 Feb15 Jan01 Dec01 (bonde jeff)FREY KYLE 120 3.00    
4  BIG RAINBOW Feb15 Jan14 Dec17 Nov23 Oct22 (hanson ryan)MALDONADO E 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  BEAU SOLEIL Apr21 Mar24 Feb23 Dec17 Dec01 (periban jorge)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.50    
6  SATELLITE HEART Apr07 Feb16 Nov03 Oct20 Sep25 (hess b)BAZE C 122 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
SA-5   05/11/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($57K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPICYBUG Jul22 Jun18 May21 Apr07 Sep11 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
2  TOM'S REGRET Jul02 May28 May06 Apr08 Mar12 (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 124 5.00    
3  ROSE MADDOX Mar17 Feb18 Jan13 Nov03 Oct14 (miyadi ste)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 31% 2.20    
4  ALTERNATE ROCK Apr06 Mar09 Feb10 Jan19 Nov11 (dealba cesar)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  RECINTO ROMPERE Apr06 Feb21 Jan10 Dec13 Nov02 (powell leonar)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50    
 
SA-6   05/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($34K) 35 ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN GOLD Apr20 Jan26 Dec30     (ganbat enebi)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 4.00 20% 4.00    
2  PRECISION STRIKE Apr26 Mar23 Mar16 Feb17 Feb11 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 126 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  MONGOLIAN MAX Mar29 Feb23 Jan20     (ganbat eneb)AGUILAR ARMANDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  NAVAJO WARRIOR         (baffert bob)FREY KYLE 118 4.00    
5  BATTLE CRUISER Feb25 Dec16       (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00    
6  KOBE W Apr16 Aug27       (o'neill doug)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 118 4.00    
 
SA-7   05/11/2024 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD MISSION Apr27 Apr07 Mar08 Feb11 Jul21 (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 126 15.00    
2  SEVENTEEN BLACK Apr19 Oct29 Aug13 Jul28 Jun04 (hofmans dav)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 4.00    
3  WHAT A DUDE Apr07 Mar23 Apr09 Feb20 Jan01 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 126 2.50    
4  SIR PISTOLERO Apr16 Mar27 Dec31     (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00 15% 5.50    
5  FERRARIANO Mar22 Jan15       (koriner brian)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  QUAGMIRE MAGIC Apr19 Mar23 Mar09 Feb10 Apr09 (pap)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  DERECHO DANDY Apr27 Apr07 Mar23 Mar08 Feb24 (moger jr)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 12.00 14% 6.30    
 
SA-8   05/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAMMING EDDY Mar10 Jan13 Jan05 Nov26 Nov12 (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 4.00    
2  BELLY UP Apr26 Jan05 Dec01 Nov05 Sep10 (steiner jack)ESPINOZA V 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ANDY CAN U HEAR ME Apr05 Feb25 Jan27 Dec29 Dec02 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 126 6.00    
4  TOM HORN Aug27 Jul27 Jul01 Jun02 May07 (miyadi ste)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
5  GIVER NOT A TAKER Mar15 Sep02 Aug04 Jul03 Jun04 (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 10.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  BRONKO NAGURSKI Apr26 Mar23 Feb23 Jan27 Jan12 (miyadi steven)BAZE C 126 12.00    
SCR  UPWARD MOBILITY Aug31 Jul23 Jun24 May28 May13 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 12.00    
8  CALIFORNIA TIGER Apr06 Mar08 Feb17 Jan06 Nov26 (palma hector )FRESU ANTONIO 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
9  SEATTLE BREAKOUT Apr20 Mar10 Feb16 Nov24 Oct14 (morfin serg)HERRERA A 126 15.00    
10  DISOBEY Mar23 Feb11       (scolamieri sa)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00    
 
SA-9   05/11/2024 7920ft TURF RC11 FIRM Santa Barbara Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ILLHAVEANOTHERKISS Apr26 Apr07 Mar15 Feb15 Feb03 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 6.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of FAMILY GIRL by TRIBAL RULE)
2  VINCERO GRANDE Apr04 Feb18 Jan21 Nov25 Oct22 (puype mike)HERRERA A 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
  (by MR. BIG out of PATSY G AND ME by UNUSUAL HEAT)
3  COMANCHE COUNTRY (IRE) Apr06 Jul22 Jun10 May05 Mar18 (damato philip)FREY KYLE 124 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of HONEY HUNTER by JADE HUNTER)
4  MILAGRE DO SOL Mar01 Jan21 Jan07 Oct07 Sep03 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of DOUBLE JACKPOT by BROKEN VOW)
5  CUSTOMER LIST (FR) Apr26 Feb24 Feb10 Aug12 Jul02 (nehf jay)VAN DRAYDEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of EQUIVOCAL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  DUVET DAY (IRE) Feb24 Jan21 Jun18 Apr30 Mar12 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 ★    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of JE T'ADORE by SPUN TO RUN)
7  MUSICAL RHAPSODY (IRE) Apr04 Feb24 Jan21 Nov23 Aug26 (damato philip)SMITH E 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
  (by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR out of COLOUR RHAPSODY by RIP VAN WINKLE (IRE))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.