Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - March 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(3/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(3/4/2)-(4/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-2   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(4/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(4/3/1)-(2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(2/1)-(4/7/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4/7/6/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4/7/6/2)-(5/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-5   WIN (4/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/6/2)-(5/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/2)-(5/7/3)-(4/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-6   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(4/1/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(4/1/8)-(7/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-7   WIN (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/8)-(4/1/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/8)-(4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/8)-(7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
SA-8   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/5/8)-(7/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   03/15/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICANDREAMMAKER Jan20 Dec26       (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 8% 11.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CHOCOLATE SOUFFLE by TAPIT)
2  CIRCLE OF TRUST Jan20 Dec02 Oct28 Oct06   (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 58% 0.70    
  (by UNION RAGS out of OPEN HOUSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
3  MATTERS Feb17         (gallagher pat)FRESU ANTONIO 121 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BYRAMA by BYRON)
4  IMA JOKER Feb17 Jan20 Dec26 Dec02 Oct09 (gaines carla)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 6.00 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RUE DE CRY by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  TAHINI Feb17 Jan21 Dec29     (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 2.50 11% 8.30    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MORE FUN AGAIN by ARCH)
6  RUNYON CANYON Aug19         (callaghan)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 15.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HIKING by FIRST DEFENCE)
7  WESTPHALIA Feb25         (powell leonard)MALDONADO E 121 20.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of WADIA by CAMPANOLOGIST)
8  AURATIUM Feb18 Jan20 Dec26 Oct06 Sep09 (mccarthy micha)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of LIGHT CAT by INDYGO SHINER)
 
SA-2   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEVADO Feb23 Jan26 Dec30 Nov26 Oct21 (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 124 1.60    
2  AFTERNOON HEAT Feb17 Jan21 Dec31 Dec08 Sep23 (treece s)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LANSDOWNE (GB) Mar01 Feb02 Dec30 Dec27 Dec17 (knapp steve)HERRERA A 122 1.20 37% 1.70    
4  MITICO Feb17 Jan21 Nov03 Oct14 Jun03 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 6.00 19% 4.10    
5  DIVINE RASCAL Jan26 Jan15 Dec08 Oct29 May13 (vallejo genar)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 8.00    
6  ROGUE SON Feb10 Dec30 Nov24 Nov11 Oct09 (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 10.00    
 
SA-3   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLUB RIBBON Feb15         (palma hector)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  WE'LL DO IT LIVE Feb15 Jan01 Dec01 Nov02 Sep24 (bonde jeff)FREY KYLE 121 2.00    
3  WINNING LUCK         (papaprodr)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 10.00 21% 3.70    
4  CREATIVE QUALITY Dec29 Dec02       (moger jr)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 1.60 39% 1.60    
5  EVA'S PARTY Jan15 Jan01       (palma hector)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 15.00    
6  NANCI GRIFFITH Feb15         (miy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 2.50    
 
SA-4   03/15/2024 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLLY MAY (IRE) Feb15 Jan12 Nov12 Oct14 Sep03 (cerin vladi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  TOPOLINA Feb16 Apr22 Mar18 Jan13 Nov13 (papaprodromou)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.00 77% 0.30    
3  BLONDE BOMBSHELL Nov17 Oct14 Sep04 Aug10 Jun09 (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 124 4.00    
4  SUFFICE Nov13 Aug27 Aug02 Jul09 May08 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 124 5.00 ★    
5  CORPORAL VIOLETTE (IRE) Jan12 Dec17 Nov10 Oct20 Oct14 (orti)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 12.00    
6  ARINNITI (FR) Feb03 Jan06       (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 ★    
7  WINK WISH AND PARK Dec31 Jan28 Nov20 Oct29 Sep09 (winick debb)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 124 20.00    
 
SA-5   03/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 F PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH FLYING GRACIE Jan01 Dec10 Nov18 Oct22 Aug17 (knapp steve)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 12.00    
2  EASTER COMING BACK Feb15 Jan06 Dec16 Dec01 Sep10 (alvarez e)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  ACE ACE BABY         (aguirre paul)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.00    
4  SUZZIE'S DARLIN Sep08         (glatt mark)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  PERFECT IN GRAY         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 4.00    
6  FANCY FASCINATOR         (moger jr)MALDONADO E 122 6.00 9% 9.90    
7  SPICY RIDE         (moger j)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
 
SA-6   03/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABHITA Feb15 Aug11 Jun09 Mar20 Feb25 (garcia)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00 ★    
2  ISSA COURT Feb03 Jan15 Dec09 Nov17 Sep03 (hess b)MALDONADO E 124 6.00    
3  SAND TO SEA Feb16 Feb02 Jan19 Nov25 Oct15 (stute gary)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 8.00 15% 5.90    
4  JESSEBEAR Feb15 Jan06 Nov25 Oct15 Sep08 (ordonez agg)HERRERA A 122 6.00    
5  TRUE PATRIOT Apr28 Jan28 Dec26 Nov25 Oct28 (gaines carla)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
6  COURT SNORT Feb16 Jan13 Nov25 Oct27 Oct09 (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00    
7  ILLHAVEANOTHERKISS Feb15 Feb03 Jan05 Nov24 Oct28 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00 16% 5.10    
8  VRONSKY FEINT Jan15 Dec26 Nov24 Nov04 Sep25 (moger jr)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00    
 
SA-7   03/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J DUTTON Feb15 Jan07 Nov18     (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of CAT FIVE' O by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
2  UNCLE CHILLY Feb15 Jan07 Sep02     (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of CHILUKKI'S SONG by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  STRIKING THUNDER Jan07         (gal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 30.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of RED INTRIGUE by REDATTORE (BRZ))
4  KNOWN IDEA Feb15         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SNAP OUT OF IT by UNCLE MO)
5  SPECIAL CLUB Feb25 Sep04 Aug10     (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 ★    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of LOTTAWAMPUM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  DRIVE FOR SHOW Feb11 Jan27 Dec31 Dec01 Oct22 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 15.00    
  (by PAVEL out of SILAR RULES by TEN MOST WANTED)
SCR  TRAVELIN' SHOW Feb25 Feb11 Jan13 Dec08   (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 10.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of FREEDOM RIDE by CLUBHOUSE RIDE)
8  MYSTIC SPIRIT Feb17         (mccarthy w)BAZE C 122 8.00 16% 5.10    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ROWDY GAL by PURE PRIZE)
 
SA-8   03/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TARANTINO Feb15 Aug19 Jun03 Apr29 Mar04 (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
2  GOLDENEYE Feb17 Jan07 Nov24 Sep10 Aug13 (eurton peter)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00    
3  EXPLAIN THIS AUDIT Feb17 Jan15 Jul28 Jul09 Jun10 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 6.00    
4  MEGA MOON Feb15 Jan07 Nov24 Oct15 Sep10 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 6% 16.60    
5  ANMER HALL Feb25 Jun04 May07 Apr08 Sep05 (knapp steve)FRESU ANTONIO 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  CLASSIC CREATION Feb17 Jan06 Nov18 Oct19 Jun25 (thomas jonat)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 8.00    
7  MUBTADAA Mar01 May30 Apr30 Mar20   (cerin vla)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 67% 0.50    
8  SINGLE TRACK MIND (IRE) Feb16 Jan06 Nov24 Oct15 Aug31 (gutierrez j)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 15.00 ★    
9  SILENT HEAT Feb17 Jan13 Nov17 Oct22 Oct01 (saavedra anth)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.