Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Saturday - December 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRC-1   WIN (8/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/3)-(8/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/3)-(8/6/3)-(8/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/6/3)-(3/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3)-(3/1/4)-(5/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-2   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(5/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(5/4/1)-(5/8/2/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-3   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(5/8/2/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(5/8/2/9)-(3/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-4   WIN (5/8/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/9)-(5/8/2/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/9)-(5/8/2/6/9)-(5/8/2/6/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (5/8/2/9)-(3/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/9)-(3/1/6)-(5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-5   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(5/2)-(2/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (5/2)-(2/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(2/3/1)-(1/9/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-7   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(1/9/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(1/9/3)-(1/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-8   WIN (1/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/3)-(1/9/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/9/3)-(1/9/8/3)-(1/9/8/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/9/3)-(1/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
LRC-9   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   12/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($23K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THIRSTY GAMBLER Jul02 Jun11 May21 Apr30   (craigmyle)RAMIREZ S 122 4.00    
2  PUDDIN HEAD JONES Sep16 Sep03 Aug04     (naranjo sal)HERRERA A 122 15.00    
3  BLACKJACK AND BEER         (ber)VALENZUELA RAUL 122 30.00 20% 3.90    
4  SIR LOOKING GLASS Nov05 Sep24       (kruljac eri)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 12.00    
5  NED Nov23         (mccarthy sean)KIRRANE SEAN 122 5.00    
6  MIDNIGHT LOVE Oct28 May29 May12     (palma hecto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 2.50 26% 2.90    
7  FACT OR FICTION Nov24 Nov10 Oct20 Oct07 Aug10 (nunez jesus)FREY KYLE 122 3.00    
8  T G I F ALPHA         (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
LRC-2   12/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVILISH DESIRE Nov19 Oct22       (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of WILD HICKORY by TERRELL)
2  SNEAK A SMILE         (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of LOGICAL SINGLE by SINGLETARY)
3  ELWOOD BLUES Jun18 Oct09       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.20 55% 0.80    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BLINGISMYTHING by ARCH)
4  DON CORLEONE Mar26 Feb20 Sep03     (miller peter)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BROAD SPECTRUM by BROAD BRUSH)
5  ANNIVERSAIRE D'OR Nov18         (miller peter)MALDONADO E 120 15.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HIGH MAINTENANCE by DANEHILL)
6  HEY BROTHER Nov19         (barocio lib)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SCA DOODLE by SCAT DADDY)
 
LRC-3   12/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEVER Nov18 Aug06 Sep05     (naranjo sal)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 116 20.00 6% 15.00    
2  TAKE CARAMIE Nov12 Oct06 Aug24     (cassidy james)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 5.00    
3  YVETT'S SURPRISE Nov25 Oct15 Sep22 Aug18 May14 (periban jorge)TORREALBA JG 118 2.50    
4  LIGHTS ASTERN Oct22 Oct01 Sep01 Jul29   (aquino)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 123 10.00 10% 9.30    
5  TIFF WITH JIMMY Nov12 Oct22 Sep24 Aug18 Jul01 (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 123 1.40 51% 0.90    
6  STORMING GRAY Nov18 Nov02 Sep30 Jun04   (gomez ruben)PAYERAS EDGAR 123 3.00    
 
LRC-4   12/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I GOT A GUY Sep23 Sep04       (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 3.00    
2  IVORY SKY Jan21 Dec10 Nov25 Nov05 Oct15 (gomez ruben)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  VENOM Nov24 Oct22 Oct01 Aug26 Nov27 (dunham daniel)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 20.00    
4  NYQUILER Nov10 Sep23 Sep04 May20   (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 124 15.00    
5  TOKAMAK Oct27 Sep29 Sep09 Aug17 Nov19 (harty eoin)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 1.60 66% 0.50    
6  CHURCHMEISTER Oct27 Sep29 Aug26 Apr23 Mar26 (jones martin )PAYERAS EDGAR 124 20.00 ★    
7  DIAMONDS PREFERRED Nov11 Sep04 Aug06 Jun24   (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 120 30.00    
8  MY PARTNER GLEN Nov24 Nov05 Oct14 Sep09 Nov04 (kruljac ian)HERRERA A 120 2.00 9% 10.40    
9  REEF CITY Nov24 Sep23 Sep04 Jul27 Jul03 (bonde jeff)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  AVIATOR NATION Nov19 Oct22 Aug31 Aug05 Jul01 (drysdale neil)TORREALBA JG 115 5.00    
 
LRC-5   12/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EGOMANIA Nov11 Oct07 Sep16 Sep10 Dec04 (deleon rafa)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 2.00 29% 2.50    
2  SOL DEL SUR Nov19 Sep08 Aug18 Jul21 Jun18 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 8.00    
3  MIKE OPERATOR Oct21 Sep24 Aug27 Aug19 Aug06 (aquino angela )GARCIA ERICK 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  MY INDY Nov12 Oct21 Sep22 Aug04 Jul21 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 8.00    
5  PACO'S PICO Nov05 Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Apr01 (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 115 2.50    
6  SIGNOFTHECROSS Nov19 Oct21 Sep13 Aug26 Aug05 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
LRC-6   12/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIOR LADY Oct15 Sep08 Jul27 Jun04 May14 (eurton peter)TORREALBA JG 117 12.00    
2  SWEET HELLO Nov23 Oct29 Sep29 Aug17 May26 (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIZZY TWISTER Nov23 Oct29 Oct15 Aug03 Jul01 (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 122 4.00    
4  ISSA COURT Nov17 Sep03 Jul30 Jun10 Apr30 (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50 ★    
5  CORNELIA FORT Nov23 Oct29 Sep30 Sep03 Aug04 (kruljac ian)FREY KYLE 118 2.00 68% 0.50    
6  HOT ROD MAMA Nov02 Oct20 Aug17 Jul29 May27 (brin)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00    
SCR  ROMAN EMPRESS Nov02 Oct14 Sep22 Aug26 Jul30 (saavedra anth)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 12.00    
 
LRC-7   12/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOLONGERAHOBBY Dec02 Sep23 Sep15 Mar17 Jan20 (nunez jes)RAMIREZ S 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  RODRIGOKNOWS Nov19 Oct28 Oct01 Aug12 Jul22 (marquez alfre)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
3  RED CROSS KNIGHT Nov12 Sep15 Jan27 Dec10 Sep18 (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
4  DISCRETIONARY DAY Nov24 Oct27 Oct09 Aug27 Jul30 (bonde jeff)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50    
5  STAR PROSPECT Oct28 Sep24 Sep02 Aug10 Jul03 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 118 4.50    
6  BUCK OWENS Nov26 Nov12 Oct27 Sep24 Sep10 (valenzuela ma)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 3.50    
 
LRC-8   12/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP GUN TOMMY Oct15 Sep08 Jun09 Feb24 Jan05 (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50 57% 0.80    
2  HEAD FOR BUSINESS Feb11 Dec18 Oct10 Sep11 Mar18 (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 122 8.00    
3  CONCH DADDY Apr09 Mar12 Feb17 Jan22 Jan02 (deleon )LOPEZ REYNOSO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRUSTY RUSTY Oct29 Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug10 (deleon rafa)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 12.00    
5  MONGOLIAN LEGEND Oct27 Jul21 Jun24 Jun05 May06 (wall)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00    
6  EL DIABLO ROJO Oct14 May28 Mar19 Jan21 Dec18 (naranjo salva)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 6.00    
7  SONIC BREES Nov05 Sep24 Jun24 Jun03 May06 (ganbat ene)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 20.00    
8  LANSDOWNE (GB) Nov20 Nov18 Oct15 Sep20 Aug24 (morfin serg)HERRERA A 122 4.50 ★    
9  SUBSIDIZE Nov12 Oct27 Sep29 Aug27 Aug03 (koriner brian)TORREALBA JG 117 4.00 16% 5.40    
 
LRC-9   12/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC13 FAST Starlet Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTHING LIKE YOU Nov18 Oct14 Oct01 Sep10 Aug06 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MISS DEREK by BROTHER DEREK)
2  PACIFIC ROSE Nov12 Oct07 Sep10 Aug06   (o'neill doug)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NAPLES ROSE by BERNARDINI)
3  FLYNN'S CHANCE Nov12 Aug19       (mandella ri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of VENETIAN SONATA by BERNARDINI)
4  GREAT FORTY EIGHT Nov12 Oct14 Aug27 Aug06   (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 120 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ANGELO'S ASHES by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  CHATALAS Nov03 Oct07 Sep09 Jul30   (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of INDIAN SAFARI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  GRAZIA Nov12         (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 17% 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of TONASAH by MALIBU MOON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.