Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Sunday - November 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(5/1)-(1/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DMR-2   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(1/3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(1/3/7)-(5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DMR-3   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(5/1)-(3/1/5/10/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
DMR-4   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(3/1/5/10/7) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(3/1/5/10/7)-(4/9/3/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
DMR-5   WIN (3/1/5/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/10/7)-(3/1/5/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/10/7)-(3/1/5/10/7)-(3/1/5/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/5/10/7)-(4/9/3/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/10/7)-(4/9/3/1)-(2/9/10/5/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
DMR-6   WIN (4/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/3/1)-(4/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/3/1)-(4/9/3/1)-(4/9/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/3/1)-(2/9/10/5/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (4/9/3/1)-(2/9/10/5/3)-(5/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
DMR-7   WIN (2/9/10/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/10/5/3)-(2/9/10/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/10/5/3)-(2/9/10/5/3)-(2/9/10/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/10/5/3)-(5/4) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/9/10/5/3)-(5/4)-(1/9/7/8/11) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
DMR-8   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(1/9/7/8/11) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
DMR-9   WIN (1/9/7/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/8/11)-(1/9/7/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/8/11)-(1/9/7/8/11)-(1/9/7/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   11/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOMINANT SOUL Oct08 Sep09 Aug10 Jul22 Mar25 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 121 15.00    
DEPARTURE Oct14 Sep22 Aug19 Jul21 Jun04 (ortiz sr)FREY KYLE 121 8.00 28% 2.60    
HURRICANE CLOUD (GB) Oct01 Aug13 May21 Apr03 Feb05 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 2.50    
TIZ PLUS Oct14 Sep04 Aug03 Jun10 Jun18 (puype mike)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
BRAZENLY Oct29 Oct07 Sep04 Aug12 Jul22 (azcarate dan)GARCIA ERICK 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
OVERDUE Oct14 Jul23 Jun03 Mar25 Jan22 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 119 5.00    
FLAVIUS Oct29 Sep30 Aug31 Jul23 May29 (papaprodro)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00    
SYDNEY STREET (GB) Oct29 Nov04 Aug13 Jul23   (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 5.00    
 
DMR-2   11/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPALE Sep24 Sep04 Aug19 Jul27 Jul09 (stevens sat)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 112 8.00 11% 8.20    
SOL DEL SUR Sep08 Aug18 Jul21 Jun18 Jul24 (hess b)MALDONADO E 119 2.50    
WARRENS CANDY MAN Nov11 Oct21 Sep24 Sep04 May06 (harr)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 121 6.00    
TEMBO Oct21 Oct15 Sep15 Aug18 Jul21 (knapp steve)FRESU ANTONIO 121 1.40    
SIGNOFTHECROSS Oct21 Sep13 Aug26 Aug05 Jul23 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 121 2.00 64% 0.60    
 
DMR-3   11/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAREDWHITEBLU Oct22 Oct07 Sep09 Jul22 Jun03 (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
RODRIGOKNOWS Oct28 Oct01 Aug12 Jul22 Jun17 (tru)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 15.00    
LEMON SUSHI Nov05 Aug27 Aug11 Nov11 Oct16 (brinkerhof)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00 28% 2.50    
BIG HAT WILLIE Oct14 Aug24 Jul21 Jun23 May20 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.50    
BIRTH OF COOL Nov11 Oct14 Sep24 Aug18 Jun18 (dollase cra)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 8.00    
BEEF WINSLOW Oct15 Aug24 Jan02 Dec17 Sep24 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 125 3.00    
BIG COUPE Oct14         (powell leonard)VAZQUEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DMR-4   11/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVILISH DESIRE Oct22         (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of WILD HICKORY by TERRELL)
YANGARRA         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SUNSET STARLET by MALIBU MOON)
HEY BROTHER         (barocio lib)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SCA DOODLE by SCAT DADDY)
MATANZAS CREEK Oct22         (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CUVEE UNCORKED by CUVEE)
JUDGE MILLER         (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by CURLIN out of CAVORTING by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
 
DMR-5   11/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASHLEY Jul22         (shirreffs john)SMITH E 120 4.00 16% 5.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GOIABA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
IN YOUR LIFE         (eurton pete)HERRERA A 120 6.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of DYNAMITE DAME by EL PRADO (IRE))
NOT A SINNER (GB) Oct14         (callaghan s)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by LAND FORCE out of GOLDEN AMBER by GEMOLOGIST)
LAHAR BLOCKADE Oct09         (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of IMPASSE by QUALITY ROAD)
ALLURING (IRE)         (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 7% 12.40    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ENTHRALLING by ARCH)
FEISTY MITOLE Oct14 Sep08 Aug13 Jul22   (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by MITOLE out of FIERCELY by HARD SPUN)
SPIRIT RULES Sep24 Sep01       (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CUCKOO KENIA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
IMPEC (IRE) Oct14 Sep08       (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FOREST MAIDEN by OLD FORESTER)
SCARLET AVENUE         (sadler w)FRESU ANTONIO 120 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BERNIN MIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
10  MO PEARLS PLEASE         (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of JUST ADD PEARLS by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  WE'LL DO IT LIVE Nov02 Sep24 Jul30     (bonde jeff)FREY KYLE 120 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of AUDRIQUE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  CAPO SORELLA Nov05 Sep22 Aug17 Jul27   (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 113 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of PEACH PIKE by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  MEDORO         (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of ACHIRA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
DMR-6   11/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGNORA VITTORIA Oct08 Sep30 Sep10 Aug12 Jul22 (nunez jesus)FREY KYLE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
LOVME LIKEAFOOL Sep17 Aug04 Jun09 May20   (alvarez edwin)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 20.00    
GIRLCANTHELPIT         (man)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
HOT DANZING Oct08 Aug25 Aug12     (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 3.50 33% 2.00    
COCKTAIL CUTIE Oct20 Sep30 Aug25 Aug04 Jun16 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 3.50    
SCR  JAZZY EMPRESS Oct22         (miyadi steven)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 6.00    
LOOKATHERGLIDE Oct20 Sep30 Sep09     (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 120 12.00    
MUMBLES BROCKMAN Oct22         (miyadi steven)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00    
ENVISIONED Sep09         (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
DMR-7   11/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPA TIGER Sep23 Sep09 Jul27 Apr23 Mar19 (kitchingman a)PAYERAS EDGAR 125 30.00    
DERECHO DANDY Sep10 Aug24 Aug10 Jun02 May07 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 125 3.00 45% 1.20    
THIRTY FOUR COUPE Nov02 Sep29 Aug24 Jul21 Jun02 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
WORKDAY Sep29 Aug13 May28 Apr21 Feb03 (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 113 10.00    
WORSE READ SANCHEZ Oct15 Sep02 Jul30 Jun17 May28 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 125 5.00 10% 9.20    
BROTHER REID Sep29 Sep04 Aug24 Aug03 Jun16 (cerin vladimi)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 10.00    
NOBLE UNION Oct06 Sep01 Feb12     (periban jorge)FREY KYLE 123 15.00    
CENTRE CIRCLE Sep23 Aug27 Aug05 Jun10 Apr30 (dunham dani)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 20.00    
THE KEY IS UNITY Sep15 Sep02 Aug06 Jun04 May14 (naranjo sal)HERRERA A 125 6.00 11% 8.30    
10  NUMERO DIX (GB) Sep29 Aug24 Jun16 May07   (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 125 3.50 10% 9.00    
 
DMR-8   11/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Bob Hope Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEJON PASS Sep30 Sep09       (miller peter)SMITH E 120 5.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of FOXYSOX by FOXHOUND)
MISSION BEACH Sep04 Aug05       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of STOWESHOE by FLATTER)
SCR  WINE ME UP Nov03 Oct07 Sep02     (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DEANAALLEN'SKITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
STRONGHOLD Oct01 Aug27       (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.00 13% 6.90    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SPECTATOR by JIMMY CREED)
NYSOS Oct21         (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 0.80 62% 0.60    
  (by NYQUIST out of ZETTA Z by BERNARDINI)
 
DMR-9   11/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUCHDOWN KITTLE Oct22 Sep29 Jun10 May19   (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by TIZNOW out of WESTWOOD PRIDE by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
AVIATOR NATION Oct22 Aug31 Aug05 Jul01   (drysdale ne)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 20.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SWEET LIPS by KRIS S.)
SEA BREEZE BOY Sep23 Sep04       (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 122 20.00    
  (by JERANIMO out of HEAT SENSITIVE by SEA MINISTER)
MAXVILLE Oct22 Oct01 Aug31 Aug05 Jul28 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 12.00    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of MARGOT MACHANCE by CREACHADOIR)
LORD TRIPPING Oct09 Aug27 Aug11 Jul23 Jun24 (hanson ryan)BAZE C 122 20.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of TRIPPING by HARD SPUN)
THE FUSS         (mathis andy)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of MISS RHYTHMIC by RHYTHM)
GHOSTLY ACT Oct01 Sep03 Aug11 Jun02 May12 (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 9% 10.10    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of DEBBIES CUTE GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
ANTIBES Oct21 Sep29       (gai)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 4.00 6% 16.40    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
DARK MARCUS Oct22 Aug31 Jul28 Jul01 Nov04 (miller pete)HERRERA A 125 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of MARALAGO by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  HILL SIXTEEN Oct21         (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 125 15.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of DANI REESE by HIGH DEMAND)
11  TOPPERS WAGER Oct22 Sep29 Aug11 Feb18   (polanco marcel)TORREALBA JG 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of TOPPERS SUNSHINE by OLD TOPPER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.