Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Qh
Sunday - October 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LA-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
LA-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LA-2   10/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHVERE ARBETER Sep01 Aug24 Jul30 Jul08 May19 (campuzano)RAMIREZ S 124 3.00    
AFTER SUNDOWN Oct07 Oct22 Oct10 Aug27 Aug20 (delima clifford)HARVEY B 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
BLUE BUTTERFLY Oct14 Sep17 Aug13 Jul15 Jun04 (william)CAMACHO JESUS 124 5.00    
QUEEN VERRAZANO Oct01 Sep23 Sep03 Jul23 Jul03 (nunez jesus)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 2.50 15% 5.80    
GLITTER LAKE Oct14 Jul03 Jun17 Jun04 Apr22 (aquino angel)VALENZUELA R 124 8.00    
SCR  DORITA'S LEMON Oct14 Sep17 Aug13 Jan29 Dec17 (nunez jesu)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
JOE'S PASSION Jan29 Jan01 Oct10 Apr28 Apr08 (rivera sally)PASION JUAN 114 20.00    
 
LA-3   10/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERMEER Oct07 Sep23 Aug19 Apr29 Apr15 (williams artu)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 2.00 22% 3.60    
EPIC DRAMA Oct09 Sep23 Aug06 Jul02 May13 (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 126 1.40 35% 1.80    
BETITO Oct07 Aug20 Jul02 Dec11 Oct07 (lucas j)ORTEGA CESAR 124 10.00    
NEAH BAY Sep23 Aug06 Jun04 Apr29 Mar25 (nunez jesu)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00    
ROCKY JACK Oct07 Sep23 Aug19 May06 Apr25 (aquino )LOPEZ REYNOSO 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
JAY BOY Apr16 Mar12 Feb19 Jan07 Nov27 (nunez j)ALCALA ROSARIO 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.