Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Friday - September 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(9/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(9/2/4)-(4/7/10/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DMR-2   WIN (9/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/4)-(9/2/8/11/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/4)-(9/2/8/11/4)-(9/2/8/11/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/2/4)-(4/7/10/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/2/4)-(4/7/10/2)-(6/2/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DMR-3   WIN (4/7/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/10/2)-(4/7/10/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/10/2)-(4/7/10/9/2)-(4/7/10/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/10/2)-(6/2/4/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/7/10/2)-(6/2/4/8)-(5/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DMR-4   WIN (6/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/8)-(5/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/8)-(5/1/3)-(2/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DMR-5   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/12/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/12/4/3)-(5/1/12/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(2/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(2/5/6)-(4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DMR-6   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(4/5)-(6/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DMR-7   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/10)-(4/5/10) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(6/1/8/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
DMR-8   WIN (6/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/4)-(6/1/8/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/4)-(6/1/8/7/4)-(6/1/8/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   09/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOO WOP DON Aug18 Jun03 Apr29 Mar23 Feb24 (crichton roha)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 4.00 20% 3.90    
ECONOMICAL Aug18 Jul22 Jun09 May20 May14 (o'neill doug)TORREALBA JG 113 2.50    
J T'S WATCH Aug04 Jul09 Jun23 May05 Jan02 (bonde jeff)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
TOP GUN TOMMY Jun09 Feb24 Jan05 Sep24 Aug27 (mullins jef)HERRERA A 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
SOL DEL SUR Aug18 Jul21 Jun18 Jul24 Apr29 (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 4.00    
SCARY FAST SMILE Aug06 Jul09 Jun24 Mar19 May15 (gla)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 5.00    
 
DMR-2   09/08/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 2 F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEISTY MITOLE Aug13 Jul22       (miller peter)MALDONADO E 120 5.00    
  (by MITOLE out of FIERCELY by HARD SPUN)
O MANDY Aug11         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
  (by MRAZEK out of MANDY'S GRACE by BELLAMY ROAD)
CHI CHI Aug04         (wilensky herm)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 8.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SIMPLY CONFECTION by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
INDIAN DREAMER Aug04         (brinkerhoff val)BRAVO J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of GO GO DANA by MALIBU MOON)
LADY LITHESOME         (mcc)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 8.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT (IRE) out of CANDY SWIRLS by TWIRLING CANDY)
VISUALLY         (barocio lib)HERRERA A 120 8.00    
  (by ENTICED out of EYE CANDY ANNIE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SOHO         (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 5.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of KERI BELLE by EMPIRE MAKER)
RESPECT THE CROWN         (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 8.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ANNIVERSARY KITTY by TRIBAL RULE)
AVOIR Aug06         (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PRINCESS JULIA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
11  PETIT FILET         (vuocolo a)RAMIREZ S 120 8.00    
  (by PAVEL out of CHARRED RARE by MOMENTUM)
SCR  BLUE FASHION         (polanco marce)VALDIVIA JR 120 15.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of BUFF BEAUTY by STREET SENSE)
SCR  IFUAINTFIRSTURLAST Aug17 Jul27 Jul08 May27   (brinkerhoff val)MALDONADO E 120 20.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of MORNING DANCE by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  DREAMING OF HOPE         ( )TBA null      
  (by MASTERY out of SIZE by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
DMR-3   09/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 7:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDAY SUN         (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00    
MISCHIEVOUS DYLAN         (alvarado ruben)TORREALBA JG 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
TOPSTITCH         (scolamieri )HERRERA A 120 12.00    
HAVOC Aug25 Jul29       (mul)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 2.50 66% 0.50    
KISS FOR LULU Aug25         (brinkerhoff val)BRAVO J 120 15.00    
THIRSTY MOE Aug25 Jun11 May21     (alvarez edwin)VALDIVIA JR 120 30.00    
GANTRY Aug10         (hanson r)ELLINGWOOD A 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
THIRSTY THURSDAY Aug25 Jul28 Apr30     (howey quin)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 5.00    
SUZZIE'S DARLIN         (cerin )BERRIOS ISAAC 117 6.00    
10  UNCLE JUJU         (aguirre paul)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HALO UNCLE Aug25 Aug10 Jul08     (bonde jeff)MALDONADO E 120 3.00    
SCR  WICKED FACTS         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00    
 
DMR-4   09/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($83K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUVOO Aug10 May26 Apr29 Mar31 Mar03 (periban jorge)TORREALBA JG 112 8.00    
MYSTIC FLYER Aug11 Nov27 Oct29 Sep04 Aug14 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 119 6.00 15% 5.70    
FLY THE SKY Aug19 Aug03 Jun09 May13 Nov26 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 5.00    
MEESH Aug05 Jun17       (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 5.00 13% 6.80    
LOVE CANDY Aug13 Jun04 May05 Apr09 Mar11 (calvario samu)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 15.00    
STAMP MY PASSPORT Aug13 Jun17 May12 Dec16   (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.50 41% 1.40    
ANDY CAN U HEAR ME Jul28 Jun17 May07     (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 119 5.00    
DONT FIGHT THE FED Aug24 Jul23 Jun17     (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 4.00 8% 11.70    
MY RANSOM Aug13 Jul30 Jun24 Jun11 May19 (sierra javie)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 50.00    
 
DMR-5   09/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAND TO SEA Aug13         (stute gary)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 4.00 33% 2.10    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ROWDY GAL by PURE PRIZE)
HEY DEMPS Aug13         (puype mike)TORREALBA JG 114 6.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SHEAPAROUX by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
ROSIE ANN RULES Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 Dec11 Nov20 (capestro pa)HERRERA A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMOKEM out of FAMILY RULES by MAIMONIDES)
CANDY ON TOP Aug18 Jul27 Jun17 Apr23 Mar26 (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 3.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CANDY CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BAJAN BASHERT Aug06 Mar19 Feb03 Jan07 Dec02 (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 38% 1.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MAXIMUM EDGE by DIALED IN)
HOT THIRST TRAP Aug06         (d'amato philip)MALDONADO E 121 12.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of UNUSUAL HOTTIE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
ILLHAVEANOTHERKISS Aug06         (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 10.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of FAMILY GIRL by TRIBAL RULE)
JESSEBEAR Aug06 Aug26 Jul29     (ordonez aggie)VALDIVIA JR 125 6.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of CAGEY GIRL by CROWD PLEASER)
WARRIOR LADY Jul27 Jun04 May14 Apr07   (eurton peter)SMITH E 125 15.00    
  (by JERANIMO out of MADAME FORBES by TIZNOW)
SCR  WORK N FLIRT Aug13 Jun16 May26     (alv)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 30.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of HEAVENLY PRIDE by SKY MESA)
11  MOROCCAN QUEEN Aug01         (nehf jay)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 118 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of EXOTIC BEHAVIOR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
12  WARREN'S PARADICE Aug18 Jul29 Aug28 Aug12 Jul23 (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of WARREN'S AMBER by BROADWAY MOON)
SCR  KAYLAS JOY Aug18 Jul23 Nov04 Sep17 Aug26 (barba )BERRIOS ISAAC 125 5.00    
  (by ULTIMATE EAGLE out of LITTLE BIT CACTUS by CACTUS CREOLE)
SCR  YVETT'S SURPRISE Aug18 May14 Apr23 Mar26 Feb17 (periban jorge)TORREALBA JG 114 12.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of R SUNDAY SURPRISE by LUCKY PULPIT)
SCR  THE MUSIC WE MAKE Aug18 Jul04 Jun16     ( )TBA null      
  (by UNIFIED out of MORE CAL BREAD by FLYING CONTINENTAL)
 
DMR-6   09/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST I'm Smokin Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 8:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADY APPEAL Aug11 Jul09 Jun11     (bonde jeff)SMITH E 121 8.00    
  (by TWICE THE APPEAL out of SANTA LUCIA by CAHILL ROAD)
LORD PRANCEALOT Aug11 Jul29       (bonde jeff)DESORMEAUX J 124 2.00 65% 0.50    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of DISKO DASKO by COUNTRY REEL)
SMOKEM EZ Aug11 May12       (miyadi steven)TORREALBA JG 121 8.00    
  (by SMOKEM out of EZ INDY by A.P. INDY)
LAST CALL LONDON Aug11 Jul09 Jun11 May21 Apr30 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 8% 11.80    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ZO LO'S LOV by EMPIRE WAY)
MICI'S EXPRESS Aug11 Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 May21 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of HARLAN EXPRESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
DR. NO NO Aug13 Jul22       (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 121 2.50    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ENAYAT ALSALAM by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
SCR  TIGER IN MY TANK Aug12 Jul09 Jun11     ( )TBA null      
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MARKS MINE by BENCHMARK)
 
DMR-7   09/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 2 F PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS LIMONCELLO         (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of FLIRT by HALOS AND HORNS)
ZONA VERDE (IRE)         (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00    
  (by CALYX out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
STORMY GAL Jul29 Jun17       (gomez ruben)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 30.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of JUNKINTHETRUNK by TOP ACCOUNT)
ROSCOE VILLAGE Jul29 Jul07 Jun02     (proctor th)VAN DRAYDEN 120 5.00 73% 0.40    
  (by KANTHAROS out of INAUGURATE by EMPIRE MAKER)
PINK WHITNEY Jul29 Jun30       (o'neil)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.50 6% 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MADAME MAYRA by SCAT DADDY)
AMELIA BLEU         (gallagher pat)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 20.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of PRETTYPRICEYGIRL by SCAT DADDY)
AVANA         (miller peter)BRAVO J 120 8.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of REVEALING MOMENT by CISCO ROAD)
IMPEC (IRE)         (sad)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FOREST MAIDEN by OLD FORESTER)
WILLA T         (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 120 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of WILLATHEWEST by GONE WEST)
10  MISS MANDALAY (GB)         (hess b)SMITH E 120 4.00    
  (by DANDY MAN out of BELLE TRAVERS by BAHAMIAN BOUNTY (GB))
SCR  AURATIUM Jul29         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 12.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of LIGHT CAT by INDYGO SHINER)
SCR  ELEVEN OUT OF TEN Jul30         (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 120 20.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of ROO'S VALENTINE by VRONSKY)
SCR  CAILIN DANA Aug04         (mccarthy s)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ENTRECHAT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  POPPY'S JOY Aug06         (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of SACRED FEATHER by CARSON CITY)
 
DMR-8   09/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($83K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG NOVEL Aug03 Jun23 Dec30 Nov13 Apr09 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 8% 11.10    
SHANGHAI SUNRISE Aug03 Jul08 Jun18 Mar19 Feb10 (morfin serg)HERRERA A 122 15.00    
CHOLLY Sep01 Jul27 Apr08 Mar11 Jan29 (hanson)BERRIOS ISAAC 119 8.00    
FLAME MCGOON Aug06 Dec26 Nov18 Oct07 Aug28 (glatt mark)VAN DRAYDEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BOLD CHOICE Aug13 Jul27 Jun16 May26 Apr29 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00    
DIAMONDS DANZING Aug06 Jun16 Nov22 Nov04 Sep18 (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 4.00 62% 0.60    
DANZING CAT Aug10 Jun10 Apr29 Jul22   (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 119 3.50    
MADIHA Aug25 Aug03 Jul01 May26 Apr28 (dollase craig)MALDONADO E 124 8.00 7% 13.20    
LADY MARYANN Jan28 Dec26 Oct16 Aug28 Aug07 (gutierrez jorge)SMITH E 122 20.00    
10  I'M A RISQUE GIRL Aug13 Jul02 Jun04 Apr22   (mathis andy)RISPOLI UMBERTO 119 6.00    
11  WISHTHEYALLCOULDBE Aug24 Jul28 Jun18 Feb06 Jan16 (glatt mark)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.