Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (2/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/1)-(4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-2   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-3   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-4   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(2/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-5   WIN (2/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/7)-(2/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/7)-(2/6/3/7)-(2/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/7)-(2/3/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-6   WIN (2/3/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/9)-(2/3/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/9)-(2/3/5/9)-(2/3/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/9)-(1/7/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-7   WIN (1/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/4)-(6/9/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-8   WIN (6/9/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/1/4)-(6/9/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/1/4)-(6/9/1/4)-(6/9/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/1/4)-(3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-9   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(3/7/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-10   WIN (3/7/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/9/5)-(3/7/9/10/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/9/5)-(3/7/9/10/5)-(3/7/9/10/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   08/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVO D'ORO         (sweeze)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of CHAMPAGNE DIVA by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  FULL NELSON Jul28 Jul02       (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 1.80 40% 1.50    
  (by LORD NELSON out of PRETTY OWL by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  PAPALOTE         (de cerda)PEREZ EDGAR 118 8.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LA TIA by CITY PLACE)
4  JAKE'S AFFECTION         (gonzalez jav)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of HUGH ACHOO by MILWAUKEE BREW)
5  BRAWN         (sierra ruben)RIOS M 118 20.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of KANDHARA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  FREEDOM PRINCIPLE         (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 118 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DIAMONDETTE by MINESHAFT)
7  REMINDER Jul28         (d'angelo f)JARAMILLO E 118 2.50 21% 3.90    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MOM'S DEPUTY by WAR CHANT)
8  TITAN Jul22 Jun24 May26     (alvarado jua)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.50 19% 4.10    
  (by BRETHREN out of ROMIN ROBIN by PURE PRECISION)
 
GP-2   08/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEANU Jul02 Jun04 May04 Feb04 Dec21 (alvarado juan)REYES LEONEL 120 2.50 13% 6.60    
2  HOLIDAY FANTASY Jul30 Jul07 Apr21 Feb26 Jan19 (o'connell kathl)PEREZ EDGAR 120 6.00    
3  BADBADBOBBY Jun23 Apr28 Mar12 Feb16 Jan20 (walder r)RIOS M 125 6.00    
4  MAKE DECISIONS Jul15 Jun30       (pletcher a)JARAMILLO E 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
5  KINISON Jul28 Jul01 Jun03 May20 Apr16 (spatz b)PANICI LUCA 125 3.00 15% 5.80    
6  SUPER SPREADER Jul07 Feb09 Jan12 Dec03 Nov11 (hurtak danie)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00    
 
GP-3   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNCA MUNCA Jul30         (gonzalez javie)RIOS M 118 6.00    
2  BIG TOBY         (fawkes david)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.00 15% 5.50    
3  VITO'S BROTHER Jul22 Jul01       (spatz b)JARAMILLO E 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
4  CINZENTO         (palmer nichola)BORACO DAVID 118 20.00    
SCR  NO PROBLEM JOE Aug06 Jul16 Jun25     (mckath)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 3.00    
6  DIXIE PREACH         (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 118 6.00    
7  LIGHTING CLOUDS Jul30         (lutchman padara)PEREZ EDGAR 118 4.50 43% 1.30    
 
GP-4   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EARTH Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 May19 Apr29 (miller herber)MORALES ANGEL 117 2.00 58% 0.70    
2  LEE ANN'S WARRIOR Aug04 Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 May19 (catanese josep)RIOS M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  JOE DI BAGGIO Aug06 Jul22 Mar25 Mar03 Feb08 (jackson gary)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
4  SOVEREIGN OF SPEED Aug04 Jul02 Jun25 Jun17 May18 (minott leon)BORACO DAVID 122 8.00    
5  RUNAWAY TOM Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 May26 Apr22 (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 124 10.00    
6  NATURE BOY Aug04 Jul16 Jul07 Jun17 May18 (simms herold)PEREZ EDGAR 122 15.00    
7  SARAWAT Aug06 Jul29 Jun25 Jun03 May27 (cordero enie)MORELOS E 122 3.00 ★    
 
GP-5   08/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMMY M. Jul21 May27 Apr15 Apr02 Feb24 (hurtak danie)MENESES MARCOS 123 12.00    
2  WINNING FACTOR Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May27 May06 (minguet ramon)LEON SONNY 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
3  WATCH THE MUSIC Jul29 Jul08 May27 Apr02 Mar03 (dibona robert )REYES LEONEL 123 4.00 9% 9.80    
4  WAR CROSS Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May20 May05 (gatis )VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 8.00    
5  CUPID'S DUDE Jul16 Jun18 May19 Apr30 Apr02 (yanez reynal)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 6.00    
6  GOOCH GO BRAGH Jul29 Jun23 Apr16 Mar05 Feb11 (d'angelo jos)ZAYAS J 125 2.50 16% 5.40    
7  UNIFIED CONQUEST Jul08 Jun17 May27 May06 Apr22 (budhoo steve)THOMAS ANTHONY 123 8.00 6% 16.60    
8  MILLENNIUM CONDO Jul16 Jun24 May21 Oct14 Sep18 (minguet ramo)MORELOS E 125 10.00    
 
GP-6   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET CHAT         (rodriquez roder)JARAMILLO E 118 4.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of LA VIE ROSS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  ARROGANCY Aug05         (dibona robert )REYES LEONEL 118 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DI MARIA by DATA LINK)
3  JIGSAW Jul28 Jun17 May19     (alvarado juan)RIOS M 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by BRETHREN out of CONGA BELLA by CONGAREE)
SCR  BEAR HUNT         (laurin roger)MORALES ANGEL 113 15.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of BACKSTAGE by SLEW O' GOLD)
5  AWESOME TRAIN Jul22         (barboza vict)ZAYAS J 118 5.00 20% 4.10    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of SELECTIVE MEMORY by MALIBU MOON)
6  EXPLOSIVE RUNNER Aug05         (braddy dav)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 20.00    
  (by ROGUEISH out of BORN TO JAZZ by STUDENT COUNCIL)
7  CHEER COACH         (nicks e)PANICI LUCA 118 8.00    
  (by FREUD out of VIRGIN COCKTAIL by OLD FASHIONED)
8  GO BILLY GO         (fawkes)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of HAPPY HONEYMOON by HONOUR AND GLORY)
9  STRATEGY JAK         (sano antonio)MORELOS E 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of STRATEGIZE by AFLEET ALEX)
 
GP-7   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUST ME Jul22 Jun16 Aug06 Jun17 May19 (fawkes)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 1.60 41% 1.40    
2  STARSHIP AURORA Jul09 Jun10 May25 Apr15 Mar23 (dwoskin steven)REYES LEONEL 120 6.00 14% 6.30    
3  TO THYSELF B TRUE Aug04 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 May25 (duncan christop)JARAMILLO E 120 4.50    
4  MAMA MARIA Jul15 Jun16 Apr28 Mar17 Jan18 (d'angelo f)PEREZ EDGAR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  JELLICLE KATZ Jul22 Jun17 May11 Apr20 Mar23 (santiago joel)MORALES ANGEL 113 15.00    
6  ONE OF ONE Jun25 Apr22 Mar01 Feb02 Jan04 (braddy david)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
7  FLAG WOMAN Jul02 Jun16 May11 Apr20 Mar09 (d'angelo jos)ZAYAS J 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
GP-8   08/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARTANO Jul01 May14 Mar12 Feb11 Jan01 (barboza victor)REYES LEONEL 123 5.00 14% 6.20    
2  BAILADOR May27 May04 Mar22 Sep30 Aug05 (nicks e)JARAMILLO E 123 6.00    
3  VOLCANIC Jul23 Jun18 Jun03 Mar25 Mar08 (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 125 2.50    
4  CENTRODELANTERO Jul08 Jun04 May11     (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  WALL STREET TRADER Aug04 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 May11 (dakin diley )THOMAS ANTHONY 123 20.00    
6  CASHIER CHECK Jul02 Jun11 May14 Apr22 Mar26 (barboz)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  SPIRIT OF LIGHT (ARG) Jul29         (crichton roha)MORALES ANGEL 118 15.00    
SCR  ALASDAIR Jul01 Jul14 Jun08 Mar12 Jan07 (maker michae)MORELOS E 123 20.00    
9  WIND NINETY NINE Jul22 Jun24 Apr21 Feb24 Jan13 (plesa jr)LEON SONNY 123 4.50 24% 3.10    
 
GP-9   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Sheer Drama Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCIPIA Jul22 Jun25 Jun11 May27 Apr28 (dakin diley )THOMAS ANTHONY 117 30.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of CABINETTE by DISCREETLY MINE)
2  ROSIE'S HALO Apr30 Apr06 Feb26 Dec21 Oct02 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 121 4.00 ★    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of SHACKALOU by SHACKLEFORD)
3  R ADIOS JERSEY Jul01 May28 Mar11 Jan28 Dec10 (baxter georg)GONZALEZ EDWIN 125 1.60 68% 0.50    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of MARION THEATRE by MONTBROOK)
4  RACE DAY SPEED Jul15 Sep10 Aug14 Jul30 Jun17 (levy l)PANICI LUCA 121 12.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of TIZ WORLDLY by TIZNOW)
SCR  FLAKES Jul22 Jun17 May26 Apr01 Feb22 (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 121 4.00    
  (by FROSTED out of TELL A GREAT STORY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  CHARLIE'S WISH Jul22 Jun17 May05 Mar29 Feb11 (fawkes david)REYES LEONEL 121 3.50 9% 10.60    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of SUPERIOR SARAH by WERBLIN)
7  RESTOFTHESTORY May28 Mar11 Feb19 Dec31 Dec10 (plesa jr)LEON SONNY 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of HOLIDAY FLARE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  CHICK'S SHADOW Jul15 Jun11 Apr29 Mar17 Jan21 (rodriguez)CAMACHO JR 121 10.00    
  (by SEEK AGAIN out of DICK'S CHICK by SHUAILAAN)
 
GP-10   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACASSA Jul22 Jun24 Jun02 Apr08 Mar16 (ritvo p)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
2  SAMURAI'SDON'TCRY Aug05 Jul16 Jun30 Jun02 May26 (gonzalez jav)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
3  ACQUIRED TASTE Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 May26 Feb23 (guciardo kathy)JARAMILLO E 119 4.00 48% 1.10    
4  GHOST FORCE Jul23 Jun18 May21     (d'angelo jose )REYES LEONEL 124 6.00    
5  BREAKING BULLET Jul16 Jun24 May18 May07 Apr20 (mckanas j)RIOS M 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  CRYPTONAIRE Jun04 May07       (arias juan)BERRUGATE KENEDY 119 30.00    
7  ROMASHKA Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 May18 Apr29 (dobber arnoud)MORALES ANGEL 114 3.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  AMOR VICTORIOUS Jul30 Apr20 Jan06 Sep02   (catanese )CAMACHO JR 119 30.00    
9  AREUOKWITHTHIS Jul23 May28 Jul17     (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 119 4.50 9% 10.40    
10  MISS UNCONCERNED Jul14 Jun16       (proctor thom)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 5.00 ★    
11  MISS GOLDIE Aug05 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24   (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 119 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.