Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Pleasanton
Tuesday - July 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PLN-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(1/5)-(1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PLN-3   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(1/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(1/5/2)-(5/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PLN-4   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(5/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(5/4/3)-(5/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PLN-5   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(5/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(5/1/4)-(6/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PLN-6   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(6/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(6/1/3)-(7/2/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PLN-7   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(7/2/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PLN-8   WIN (7/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PLN-2   07/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOPERKLIMT Jun18 May29 May14 Apr16 Mar26 (mccanna tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
2  EL JOY Jun23 Jun11 May19 Apr08 Mar19 (bellasis tim)FLORES P 125 5.00    
SCR  CHAMPAGNE PEGASUS Jun11 Sep15 Sep04 Aug18 May13 (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 125 4.00    
4  DUPLICATION Jun10 May26 Apr23 Mar26 Jul31 (steiner jack)ALVARADO T 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  SIPPIN N KISSIN Jun04 May13 Apr30 Mar11 Feb18 (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 125 2.00    
 
PLN-3   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATCHLESS Jun10 Apr28 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 (rondan felix)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 3.00 50% 1.00    
2  DUST MAKER Jun02 May04 Mar24 Mar03 Feb19 (rondan fe)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 118 5.00    
SCR  BLACK ZABAT Jun10 Apr21 Apr07 Mar03 Feb11 (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 118 2.50    
SCR  HOW ABOUT A FRESCA Jun09 May19 Apr21 Mar26 Feb19 (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 118 1.80    
5  MADAME GAZELLE Jun09 May14 Dec02 Nov13 Oct23 (miranda ef)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 6.00 16% 5.30    
 
PLN-4   07/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON RAGLAN ROAD Jun03 May07 Apr21 Mar26 Mar09 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) May26 May07 Apr21 Mar26 Mar12 (truj)ANTONGEORGI JR 121 6.00 18% 4.60    
3  WILD WAGER Jun16 Apr15 Mar26 Mar05 Jan28 (bautista )MARTINEZ CATALINO 121 8.00    
SCR  WELLSWORT (IRE) Jun10 May07 Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 (hobson simo)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 3.50    
5  MASHHAD FLATS Jun17 Jun02 May12 Apr30 Sep03 (hobson simon)PENA BRYAN 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  WALKING BOSS Jun17 Jun02 May13 May07 Apr02 (greiner gary)RIVERA SANTOS 121 4.50    
 
PLN-5   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESPOND May29 May20 Apr08 Dec17 Aug21 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 122 3.00    
2  LESSONS OF AUTISM Jun11 May19 Jul31 Jul09 Jun17 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 10.00    
3  SHARONA'S WILD BOY Jun18 May20 Apr23 Apr02 Feb20 (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHARBONNEAU Jun02 Apr30 Mar24 Mar03 Jan07 (mathis andy)RIVERA SANTOS 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  SIR GREYSON Jun18 May27       (sherman steve)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 1.80 65% 0.50    
SCR  HOT CHICKS ONLY Jun03 May20 Apr28 Mar26   (thomas jamey)PENA BRYAN 122 4.50    
 
PLN-6   07/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNNY SPOT Jun24 May26 May07 Apr23 Apr02 (preciado )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 121 8.00 6% 15.20    
2  TWIRLING DERBY Jun17 May07 Apr22 Mar25 Feb25 (preciado gu)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 121 6.00    
3  SHOT OF A LIFETIME Jun04 Feb11 Jan22 Jan02 Nov26 (mcle)ANTONGEORGI JR 119 3.50    
4  TABLE FOR TEN Jun09 Feb11 Jan22 Jan02 Nov26 (mclean bil)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.50 6% 16.50    
5  HOUSE OF LORDS Jun11 May29 May06 Apr09 Feb26 (sherman steve )ROMAN A 121 3.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  TOP EXECUTIVE Jun16 May19 Apr23 Sep04 Aug14 (wright blaine)RIVERA SANTOS 121 2.50    
 
PLN-7   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REFI NOW May07 Mar26 Feb26 Feb05 Jan15 (navarre jacqui)ALVARADO T 125 5.00 28% 2.60    
2  BLAZING JAMIE Jun18 May20 Apr08 Mar12 Feb20 (delima cli)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.00    
3  GRAZEN SUN Jun04 May14 Apr26 Apr11 Mar19 (wright blaine)ROMAN A 125 4.00 6% 16.50    
4  UNION WAVE Sep10 Aug14 Jul22 Jun18 May28 (bellasis tim)HERRERA HUGO 125 10.00    
5  OUR BOLD PRINCE Jun04 Apr23 Nov20 Oct28 Sep23 (rich eduardo )AYUSO ARMANDO 125 4.50    
6  SAINT IVES Jun04 May13 Apr23 Mar19 Feb26 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
PLN-8   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANGS         (miller peter)RIVERA SANTOS 117 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WHISPER TO MAMA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  GODSEND (GB) Jan30         (o'neill doug)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 2.50 9% 9.70    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MISS DEL GALLO by HENNESSY)
3  RAYS REGAL Jun18 May27 May06 Jan08 Dec11 (torres arno)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOX SCORE out of PAULA TAL AND JAN by TEN MOST WANTED)
4  TOWN PERFORMER Jun11 May27       (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 122 6.00 9% 10.50    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of SING AND TELL by ALYMAGIC)
5  AMERICAN EMPIRE Sep11         (mathis andy)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LEADING ASTRAY by BELONG TO ME)
6  ALMOST SNOW         (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 122 15.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ROSEDALE by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
7  SLEW'S JOY May27 May06 Apr15 Sep04 Jul15 (moger j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of JOYFUL EMMA by TRIBAL RULE)
8  KERRY GOLD Jun04 May04 Apr08 Mar09 Feb19 (ramo)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.50    
  (by GIG HARBOR out of SMARTY CORN by SMARTY JONES)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.