Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Pleasanton
Sunday - June 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PLN-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(5/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(5/2/3)-(5/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PLN-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(5/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(5/1/4)-(5/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PLN-3   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(5/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(5/2/4)-(4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PLN-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(4/2)-(4/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PLN-5   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(4/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(4/6/1)-(6/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PLN-6   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(6/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(6/1/4)-(1/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PLN-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(1/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PLN-8   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PLN-1   06/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY RAPPER May28         (mclean bi)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
APPLE WARRIOR May20 Apr22       (mathis andy)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
SILENT BULLET Jun10 May29 May21 Apr29 Apr08 (puentes j)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 5.00    
GRACEFUL MISCHIEF Jun11 Apr15       (ekstrom le)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 4.50 14% 6.20    
DO IT FOR DAVE Jun03 May14 Apr23 Apr02 Mar18 (eaton terri)ALVARADO T 122 3.50    
 
PLN-2   06/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DULCE EMMA May29 May13 Apr21 Dec02 Oct14 (ramos jesus)ALVARADO T 122 3.50    
LOTSA PEPPER May26 May07 Apr21 Mar05 Jan27 (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 118 2.50 13% 6.80    
HOT RAGEOUS May21 Apr21 Apr02 Mar05 Jan27 (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
SWIFT NONNI Oct15 Jul31 Jul04 Jan01   (stortz marcia)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 6.00    
MISS UNION Jun03 May13 Apr21 Dec02 Oct14 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 122 2.00 64% 0.60    
 
PLN-3   06/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORAL CAT Jun11 May28 May14     (franko dan)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by SURF CAT out of MADRE LUNA by RAHY)
REGAL REDWOOD         (moger jr)PENA BRYAN 120 4.50    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LUSCIOUS LONNA by BENCHMARK)
SIR GEORGE ARTHUR         (taylor faith)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 5.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of ROOT BEER RAG by UNION RAGS)
HAYWOOD         (moger jr)DURAN F 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of LETMETAKEASELFIE by MORE THAN READY)
BOOK EM TAMO         (steiner jack)ALVARADO T 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by TAMARANDO out of BOOK'EM BABE by JOHANNESBURG)
WILD JEWELS         (specht st)MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 5.00    
  (by TAMARANDO out of RIBBON OF JEWELS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
PLN-4   06/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER FLIRT Jun02 May20 Apr22     (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 8.00    
JACQUELINE COCHRAN Jun02 May21 May12 Apr21 Mar12 (trujillo marce)ALVARADO T 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
I'M GONNA SHINE Jun02 May20 Apr22 Apr09 Mar17 (taylor fait)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 4.50    
MOHAYHAYTHEBOLD Jun04 Sep21 Aug30     (jauregui o)ORANTES R 112 6.00 9% 10.00    
TIZ MY PRINCESS May20 Mar27 Feb12 Jan29 Jan13 (sherman st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
BEA MISCHIEF Jun10 May12 May04 Apr07 Feb10 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 125 3.50    
 
PLN-5   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STANDFORGRIT Jun02 May21 May04 Jan21 Jan06 (hansen ro)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 8.00    
GETAWAY CHARM May12 Feb25 Jan28 Jan13 Dec03 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  WINSOME ROSE Jun03 May13       (bauti)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 4.50    
SQUARE FUN Jun11 May28 May05 Apr07 Feb20 (o'neill doug)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 1.80 45% 1.20    
STAR SO FAR May20 Apr24 Apr10     (paldanius she)RIVERA SANTOS 120 6.00    
SCR  UNION HARBOR May26 May13       (thomas jam)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 3.00    
 
PLN-6   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIAM'S SECRET Jun03 May07 Apr14 Jun03 May15 (rich eduar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 10.00 13% 6.80    
PERFECTLY JULIE Dec09 Nov18 Oct29 Sep30 Aug26 (stortz marcia)ALVARADO T 125 5.00    
HAYDEN'S ANGEL Jun09 May14 Apr14 Jun04 May20 (meier r)HERRERA HUGO 125 8.00    
GET'EM TIGER Jun02 May07 Mar24 Mar05 Feb12 (steiner jack)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 1.80 35% 1.90    
NEVER SWAY Jun16 May19 May07 Apr09 Mar19 (france reid)ROMAN A 125 2.50    
MORNING ADDICTION Aug26 Jul04 Jun25 Apr15 Jan23 (howey quinn)RIVERA SANTOS 125 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
PLN-7   06/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR BEETS Jun03 May12 Apr22 Mar25 Feb19 (badi)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.00 25% 3.10    
DR PESCADO Jun04 May13 Apr23 Apr02 Dec26 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 125 5.00    
GORDY'S BOY Jun03 May07 Mar25 Mar04 Feb12 (preciado )MARTINEZ CATALINO 123 10.00    
ROARING TIGER May26 May04 Apr01 Mar09 Jan28 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 6.00 20% 4.10    
STORMIN GALILEO Jun03 May13 Apr28 Apr07 Feb25 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.50    
SPEED GRAZY Jun11 Jun03 May12 Apr22 Apr01 (steiner jack)ROMAN A 125 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
PLN-8   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY GREGORY May27 May04 Apr16 Apr01 Mar11 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 125 3.50 47% 1.10    
JAYS ANGEL Jun09 May27 May21 Apr23 Mar27 (franko dan)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHOUT IT OUT Jun02 May26 May07 Mar14 Oct15 (bainum kelly)ALVARADO T 125 4.50    
BOLD MISTRESS Sep04 Jul22       (moger jr)DURAN F 125 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  BIG STRIKE May27 Apr28 Apr07 Mar11   (mccanna tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 2.50    
SMILING SALSA May28 Aug07 Jul10 Jun11 May21 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 8.00    
TIZ A TIGER May28 May13 Apr16 Mar09 Feb04 (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.