Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - March 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/7/8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/7/8/1)-(3/4/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(1/4/5)-(3/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(3/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(3/2/5)-(6/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-3   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/1/4)-(3/2/5/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(6/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(6/4/1)-(3/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-4   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/2/3)-(6/4/1/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(3/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(3/4/6)-(2) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
SA-5   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/1/2)-(3/4/6/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(2)-(12/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SA-6   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (2)-(12/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2)-(12/1)-(9/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SA-7   WIN (12/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (12/1)-(12/1/14/10/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (12/1)-(12/1/14/10/4)-(12/1/14/10/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (12/1)-(9/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (12/1)-(9/3/5)-(5/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-8   WIN (9/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/5)-(9/3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/3/5)-(9/3/5/6)-(9/3/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/3/5)-(5/1/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/3/5)-(5/1/7/2)-(3/9/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-9   WIN (5/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2/4)-(5/1/7/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/7/2)-(3/9/6/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SA-10   WIN (3/9/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/6/2)-(3/9/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/6/2)-(3/9/6/2)-(3/9/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($24K) 45 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARPE BELLUM Mar18 Feb25 Jan09     (koriner bri)HERRERA A 124 5.00 ★    
2  COLLEGE BOY Jan06 Oct09 Aug06 May30   (powell leon)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 12.00    
3  LEMON DROP SHOT Feb18 Jan27 Dec16 Nov26 Jan17 (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 54% 0.80    
4  HULK Jul29 Jun05 Apr09 Mar18 Feb20 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
5  AGAPETOS Feb16         (han)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 8.00    
6  TUCKER'S TRIBUTE May08 Apr09 Mar18 Feb25 Jan01 (cassidy james)VALDIVIA JR 124 6.00    
7  HONEYMOON SUITE Feb18 Jan29 Nov05 Sep05 Jul24 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 4.00 ★    
8  RAVELLO         (howey quinn)FREY KYLE 124 12.00 ★    
 
SA-2   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA RENELLA Apr02 Feb11 Jan28 Jan07   (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 2.00 51% 1.00    
2  RAIN DIVA Jan06 Dec18 Sep23 Feb20 Jan14 (harris andrew)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  DRIZELLA Feb20 Dec11 Nov18 Nov04 Oct10 (alva)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  RIGHTEOUSLY Mar03 Jan06 Oct23 Sep05 Aug04 (mullins jeff)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 12% 7.50    
5  SAILING ALONG Dec16 Nov19 Oct22 Sep15 Sep03 (saldana reed)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 5.00 6% 16.20    
6  FLATTERWITHJEWELS Mar03 Feb10 Jan06 Dec09 Oct23 (pineda milto)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 6.00    
7  TROPICANA GIRL Jan16 Dec11 Dec02 Oct16 Aug18 (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 8.00    
 
SA-3   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOLONGERAHOBBY Jan20 Jan07 Dec18 Dec09 Nov11 (saldana reed)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00 ★    
2  LIL RICHARDS BELLO Nov11 Oct10 Sep11 Aug12 Jun19 (eurton)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.50 21% 3.90    
3  TALKLESSWORKMORE Feb04 Jan08 Jun05 May08 Mar25 (ruis shelbe)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 0.80 35% 1.90    
4  SO I'M TOLD Feb10 Jan27 Jan08 Dec17 Nov24 (ruiz lorenzo)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 ★    
5  BOTTLE OF SMOKE Mar03 Feb10 Feb04 Nov11 Oct09 (campuzano l)HERRERA A 124 12.00 16% 5.30    
 
SA-4   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP SKY Mar03 Feb10 Dec26 Nov25 Oct22 (saldana reed)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 8.00 9% 10.70    
2  BONITA LEONA Feb20 Jan06 Dec17 Nov06 Sep22 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.50 ★    
3  SPRING SPINNING Mar03 Dec09 Nov26 Nov06 Oct14 (sal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 5.00 ★    
4  CALIFORNIA GIGI Feb10 Dec29 Dec04 Nov12 Oct21 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 4.00 10% 9.10    
5  ROMAN EMPRESS Jan27 Jan13 Dec09 Nov13 Oct22 (saavedra an)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 4.00    
6  TROJAN WAY Feb17 Jan20 Dec17 Oct15 Sep02 (aguirre paul)DESORMEAUX J 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
SA-5   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 45 ALL PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESERVEDLY Mar26 Jan21       (glatt mark)DESORMEAUX J 124 6.00 ★    
2  CUPID'S CRUSADER Jan27 Dec18       (marquez a)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 5.00 ★    
3  PURIFIED Dec26 Nov18 Oct23 Sep22   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
4  FAMOUS STAR (GB) Jan13 Nov05 Aug05 Jun19 May30 (hanson ryan)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00 25% 3.10    
5  SILENT HEAT         (saavedra an)HERRERA A 124 12.00    
6  LUTHER PASS Jun19         (yakteen tim)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  MONEY BABY Mar13         (blacker dani)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 112 12.00    
8  WARRIOR ROAD Jan27 Dec18 Nov18 Jun19   (yaktee)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 10.00    
 
SA-6   03/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Irish O'Brien Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEELING GRAZEFUL Feb10 Jan13 Feb20 Jan14   (saavedra anthon)MALDONADO E 120 8.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of FEEL FREELY by BOLD WARRIOR)
2  ALICE MARBLE Feb19 Jan07 Nov26 May28 Apr09 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by GRAZEN out of UNSUNG HEROINE by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  BIG SUMMER Feb18 Jan07 Dec10 Nov12 Oct07 (gaines carla)BRAVO J 124 1.40 33% 2.10    
  (by MR. BIG out of ULTIMATE SUMMER by CEE'S TIZZY)
SCR  SHOCKING GREY Jan28 Jan13 Nov27 Nov04 Oct09 (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 ★    
  (by GRAZEN out of SEOUL UNBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  TAMING THE TIGRESS Feb19 Jan07 Nov13 Oct30 Sep04 (barocio lib)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 ★    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of JOEANDBETTY'SBABY by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  ROSE MADDOX Feb18 Jan28 Dec30 May28 May14 (miyadi)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 8.00 ★    
  (by GRAZEN out of HEAT THE ROCKS by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
SA-7   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3 ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGULATION DAZED Jan29 Jan07 Nov27 Oct16 Aug20 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00 10% 8.70    
2  SMUGGLER'S COVE         (howey quinn)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 20.00    
3  DANZ TILL TEN         (howey quinn)FREY KYLE 120 20.00    
4  BUCK OWENS Feb18 Jan28 Jan08 Nov27 Nov06 (miyadi)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 10.00 ★    
5  CHAOKOON Jan29 Nov06 Oct15 Sep16 Aug27 (stu)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 15.00    
6  LE VRON JAMES Feb03         (koriner bri)HERRERA A 122 20.00    
7  R HEART OF GOLD         (mulhall krist)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00    
8  LUCKY SAM         (powell leonard)VAZQUEZ A 120 12.00    
10  BIG DRINKER Jan29 Jan07 Nov04     (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 3.50 ★    
11  GLASS BEACH Nov25 Nov06       (mulhall kris)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 20.00    
12  SOUL OF MIDNIGHT Jan07         (pederson dean)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.00 67% 0.50    
13  ANOTHER STRIKE         (alvarez )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 20.00    
14  RHYTHEM ON STAGE Feb04 Jan06 Nov27 Nov06 Sep11 (gaines car)VAN DRAYDEN 122 4.00 ★    
15  WE NEED MARKETING Feb10         (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 20.00    
SCR  MAGIC ACCOUNT Mar05         ( )TBA null      
 
SA-8   03/17/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN CONQUEST Jan13 Dec02 Nov06     (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 20.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE BABE Jan28 Jan07 Nov25 Oct30 Oct07 (polanco marc)DESORMEAUX J 124 6.00    
3  ELEUTHERA Jan28 Dec26 Jun05 Apr09 Mar07 (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
5  ROSE HARBOR Feb03 Jan13 Feb18 Jan15   (hanson ryan)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 6% 15.10    
6  GHOSTEM Jun05 May27 May06 Apr10 Mar20 (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  TRUE PATRIOT Jan28 Dec26 Nov25 Oct28 Aug19 (gaines carla)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
8  PEPPERMINT FLIRT Feb19         (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 124 12.00    
9  TECUMSEH CAROLINE Feb03 Dec03 Oct28 Oct09 Aug11 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  BIG MAMA SUE Nov27 Oct02 Sep01 Jan16   ( )TBA null      
 
SA-9   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET RUCKUS Jan28 Dec03 Nov06 Oct09 Sep11 (cerin vladim)DESORMEAUX J 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  FINNEUS Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 Dec03 Nov26 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 6% 15.10    
3  BLETCHLEY PARK Dec26 Nov18 Apr16 Mar27 Jan22 (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00    
4  SHOW TIME Dec17 Nov06 Aug13 Jul04 May30 (mandella richard )SMITH E 122 10.00 ★    
5  PIROLI Feb18 Jan06 Nov25 Oct23 Sep02 (mccarthy )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
6  GOT THUNDER Feb11 Jan15 Jul09 May30 Apr17 (sadler john )CONTRERAS LUIS 122 12.00    
7  MOBOU Feb10 Oct07 Sep03 Jul30 Jun18 (shirreffs john)MALDONADO E 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
SA-10   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAKURA FLAVOR (IRE) Oct02         (gallagher )VAN DRAYDEN 123 20.00    
  (by KINGMAN out of MADLY TRULY by MALIBU MOON)
2  WINDOW SHOPPING Nov13         (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of DELIGHTFUL JOY by TAPIT)
3  TEA TREE BAY (GB) Dec30         (mulhall k)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 4.00 42% 1.40    
  (by TASLEET out of KURIOSA by RIP VAN WINKLE (IRE))
4  CARSON JEN Feb12 Dec30 Dec03 Oct08 Aug21 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 123 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MISS MAHALIA by UNCLE MO)
SCR  MARINAS TINA (IRE) Jan22         (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 6.00 ★    
  (by BELARDO out of PILE OU FACE by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
6  MAKE IT SNOW Feb12         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 123 4.00 8% 11.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SNOW KID by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  GALIMINE (FR)         (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00    
  (by GALIWAY out of ANOTHER LOVE by SOUL CITY)
8  BEST YEAR EVER Feb05         (barocio libr)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STRIKE RIGHT NOW by TIZNOW)
9  FOOLISH Feb12 Jan20       (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 123 6.00 25% 2.90    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of PEARL IN THE SAND by FOOTSTEPSINTHESAND)
10  IRISH PATSY Feb12 Jan22       (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 123 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of PATSY'S KIM by DIXIE UNION)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.