Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Camarero Race Track (Pr)
Thursday - February 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CMR-1   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM14000 ($14K) Purse ($7.35K) 3 ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPITAN PIZARRO         (rios p)CRUZ ISMAEL null   16% 5.30    
SYRIA MARIE         (maldonado mar)RAMOS JOLINES null   16% 5.30    
ORGULLOSO         (texidor edwi)MARCANO Y null   16% 5.30    
CENTRALINO         (rojas christo)RAMIREZ ERICK null   16% 5.30    
SINDICATO         (texidor edwin)VELEZ I null   16% 5.30    
 
CMR-2   02/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW11000 ($0K) Purse ($11K) 3 ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONDON GHOST         (torres melvin)RAMIREZ ERICK null      
DAY BLUE         (gomez maxim)MONSERRATE ERIK null      
CLEMENS         (diazjr edwin)CASTRO E null      
GRACIAN         (velez d)DIAZ C null      
TOWN OF GUAYNABO         (morales raym)NAVARRO JOSHUA null      
MANDAVLEE WARRIOR         (ojeda a)ADORNO Y null      
PULPMASTER Jan27 Aug20       (velez d)VELEZ I null   77% 0.30    
 
CMR-3   02/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM8000 ($8K) Purse ($6.5K) 4UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR TRUEBADOUR         (moreno epifan)RAMIREZ ERICK null   21% 3.90    
RYBOLT Jun10 May20 Feb25 Jan22   (almedina jose)GARCIA JOMAR null   7% 14.10    
MY MAGICAL MAN Nov30 Nov08 Oct14 Sep22 Aug31 (vazquez kelv)FIGUEROA NICKY null   9% 9.50    
PROSPECT PROJECT Dec30 Dec07 Oct30 Oct15 Aug19 (calderon angel)CORREA JULIO null      
MURAT         (cruz gazuel )ROBLES G null      
MORAL STANDARD         (falcon eduardo)DIAZ C null      
VENEZUELA FIRST Oct21 Sep10 Aug21 Jul17 Jun18 (lisboa jason)CASTRO E null   38% 1.60    
RUN ON THE TRAIL May19 Apr24 Apr09 Apr02 Feb21 (encarnacion )MARCANO Y null      
SCR  FULL OF MISCHIEF Sep10 Aug21 Jul31 Jul10 Jun18 (calderon an)CONCEPCION AXEL null      
 
CMR-4   02/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM4000NW3Y ($4K) Purse ($6K) 4UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEQUENO ADRIAN Feb11 Jan06       (rodriguez g)MONSERRATE ERIK null      
GABY'S CROWN Dec22 Jan21       (cartagenajr je)GARCIA JOMAR null   37% 1.70    
CIENTIFICO E Jan07         (negron ricar)MARCANO Y null      
RAFITA Jan21         (maldonado ma)FIGUEROA JOVAN null      
CONDOTTIERO E Apr01         (nunez eliasib)CORREA JULIO null      
NEGRI Aug25         (colon ruben)RIVERA BRYAN null      
GALOPA PITO GALOPA Jul14         (cartagenajr)ROSARIO KEDDWIN null      
CABALLO DE TROYA Feb04 Jan06       (lancara roma)ROBLES G null   31% 2.20    
BELLO SONERO Aug11 Feb04       (figueroa samu)RIVERA F null      
 
CMR-5   02/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM4000NW2L ($4K) Purse ($6K) 4UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURONG         (sierra ernesto)DIAZ C null      
SINVERGUENZA         (rondon artur)BERRIOS HECTOR null      
PREDECIBLE         (torres melvin)GARCIA JOMAR null   42% 1.40    
HATCHET JACK         (ramirez luis )RIVERA F null      
GERARDITO'S BOY         (merced giovann)CORREA JULIO null      
LIBRE SOY         (almedina jose)ADORNO Y null      
GREAT JUNIOR Nov06 Sep25 Sep04 Jun30 May04 (lebron norbel)DIAZ JR null      
REY WILLIAM May20         (encarnacion )FIGUEROA NICKY null   36% 1.80    
POKER COCO         (rios jua)CARRASQUILLO EDWIN null      
10  CODIGO VEINTIUNO         (falcon edua)CONCEPCION AXEL null      
11  CHIEFICIA Jan16         (rojas christo)RAMIREZ ERICK null      
12  WRITER'S EXPRESS Feb04 Jan06       (blanco arnal)SANCHEZ JAYSON null      
13  EL FARINELLO         (pena steven)ROSARIO MANUEL null      
 
CMR-6   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM4000NW3Y ($4K) Purse ($6K) 4UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTY ISLAND         (ramirez a)CRUZ ISMAEL null   17% 5.00    
GOLD CERTIFICATE         (diaz lu)OSORIO JR null      
DATA LADY         (delgado jos)MONSERRATE ERIK null      
LIGHTS ON GIRL Feb04         (ramirez christi)DIAZ C null   34% 1.90    
DRILLZILLA Jun24 Feb23 Jan23     (cordero enie)FIGUEROA NICKY null      
OFRENDA Feb18         (ortiz alex)MELENDEZ Y null   6% 15.20    
PLAY THE MAX Aug19 May20       (alamo josue)VELEZ I null      
LUNA FORTUNA Sep30 Aug31 Aug10 Jul16 Jun17 (torres melvin)RAMIREZ ERICK null      
AMOR ELVIRA         (torres er)MONSERRATE STEVEN null   23% 3.40    
10  ECLIPTICALS TALKIN         (diazjr edwin)GARCIA JOMAR null      
 
CMR-7   02/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST MCL8000 ($8K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYGRANDSON JOSHUAN         (lisboa jason)ROBLES G null   16% 5.30    
SNEAKY DREAM Feb11         (llanos e)CARRASQUILLO EDWIN null      
HARRY EL GALLERO         (torres er)MONSERRATE STEVEN null      
FUTURISTIC Dec09 Oct01 Aug20 May12   (osorio o)RODRIGUEZ C null      
REFLEXIVO         (falcon eduardo)DIAZ C null   16% 5.30    
SUPER ASTRO         (carrillo emil)DIAZ JR null   16% 5.30    
K CLUB         (negron ricardo)CRUZ ISMAEL null   16% 5.30    
SIR DANTE         (encarnacion )MARCANO Y null   16% 5.30    
GIANT GOLD         (molinari ange)VELEZ I null      
10  STRONG PALACE Dec09 May20       (blanco arnal)ROSARIO MANUEL null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.