Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - February 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/7/6)-(1/2/3/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(2/6)-(2/6/4/8/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
SA-2   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/4/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/4/3/5)-(2/6/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6)-(2/6/4/8/1) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(2/6/4/8/1)-(6/3/2/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/6/4/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/8/1)-(2/6/4/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/8/1)-(2/6/4/8/1)-(2/6/4/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/4/8/1)-(6/3/2/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/8/1)-(6/3/2/1)-(5/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1/4)-(6/3/2/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/1)-(5/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/1)-(5/8/3)-(2/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-5   WIN (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/3)-(5/8/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3)-(5/8/6/2/3)-(5/8/6/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/8/3)-(2/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-6   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/6/7)-(2/1/3/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(2/4)-(4/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(4/7)-(7/5) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
SA-8   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/1/8/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/1/8/5)-(4/7/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7)-(7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
SA-9   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/8/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/8/1/6)-(7/5/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   02/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATOMIC DROP Dec03 Nov11 Oct16 Sep11 Jul24 (d'amato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
2  MOBOU Oct07 Sep03 Jul30 Jun18 Apr30 (shirreffs john)MALDONADO E 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
3  BOTTLE OF SMOKE Feb04 Nov11 Oct09 Sep11 Aug12 (campuzano lo)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 10.00 10% 8.60    
4  SHORTMAN Jan08 Dec17 Nov06 Oct09 Sep16 (naranjo sal)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 12.00    
5  CIBERTRUCK Jan07 May07 Apr14 Mar30 Mar07 (ste)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00    
6  TOM'S X S Jan20 Dec02       (cassidy james)SMITH E 122 3.50 ★    
7  MISCHIEVOUS PATH Jan08 Nov19 Oct10 Feb04   (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 ★    
 
SA-2   02/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($42K) 3 F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIRLY GIRLY Dec03 Oct22       (puype mike)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
2  FILTHY FAST Jan02         (mendez luis)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 116 2.50 68% 0.50    
3  LIBERAL LADY Jan02         (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00 ★    
4  TENNESSEE MOON Jan06 Nov24       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 123 2.00 ★    
5  LOANA Oct23 Sep24 Aug25     (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 123 5.00 ★    
6  ANYBODY'S CHOICE Jan02 Nov18       (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 123 3.00 8% 12.00    
 
SA-3   02/10/2023 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($62.5K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Jan08 Nov25 Oct22 Sep17 Aug11 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 118 5.00 7% 12.60    
2  HABEAS Jan02 Oct30       (sadler jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
3  PAT CAN'T COUNT Dec17         (guillen ricard)FRANCO CESAR 118 20.00    
4  WE NEED MARKETING         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 12.00 18% 4.60    
5  TRUSTY RUSTY Jan21 Jul30       (o'neill dou)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 5.00    
6  LASMUIGH (GB) Dec31         (d'amato phi)HERRERA A 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
7  BLUEGRASS LUTE Dec10 Nov13       (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 123 4.00    
8  VAGABOND SHOES         (quinonez roland)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 15% 5.90    
 
SA-4   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLATTERWITHJEWELS Jan06 Dec09 Oct23 Sep16 Jun25 (pineda milton)CURATOLO RYAN 120 8.00 8% 11.40    
2  CALIFORNIA GIGI Dec29 Dec04 Nov12 Oct21 Sep23 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 12% 7.40    
3  SACRED BEAUTY Jan15 Jan02 Dec10 Oct28 Sep10 (sal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 2.50 17% 5.00    
4  SANGRE AZUL Jan06 Dec10 Nov26 Jan23   (cerin vladim)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 5.00 ★    
5  SHVERE ARBETER Jan15 Jan06 Dec17 Oct23 Sep24 (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 4.00    
6  A BROKEN BREEZE Jan15 Dec16 Oct16 Sep05 Aug11 (harris andrew)MALDONADO E 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
 
SA-5   02/10/2023 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($62.5K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONTTESTYOURLUCK Jan15 Dec31 Dec10     (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 8.00    
2  VORTEX (GB)         (desormeaux j )CURATOLO RYAN 118 10.00 ★    
3  MONGOLIAN SKY         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SIPPIN WHISKEY Nov05         (ovi)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 12.00    
5  SEISMIC SPIRIT (IRE) Oct28 May19       (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.20 59% 0.70    
6  EDDIE CROSSWIRE Dec16         (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 5.00 ★    
7  RAJI Oct09 Sep04       (o'neill dou)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 5.00    
8  TERRIER         (yakteen tim)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
SA-6   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIREMAN DAN Jan13 Dec10 Nov20 Oct30 Oct09 (amescua rene)DESORMEAUX J 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Dec31 Nov04 Oct21 Sep11 Aug14 (puype mike)MALDONADO E 124 2.00 30% 2.40    
3  MITICO Dec10 Nov11 Oct22 Sep09 Jun25 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
4  SEATTLE BREAKOUT Jan13 Nov11 Oct07 Aug12   (headley kare)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 5.00    
5  CRYPTO MUNNY Dec04 Nov04 Sep30 Sep01 Jul30 (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 124 4.00    
6  HOOP DREAM Dec30 Dec10 Nov20 Oct28 Sep24 (ber)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 15.00 ★    
7  QUICK INTRO Jan21 Dec17 Nov27 Oct09 Sep03 (capestro pa)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 10.00 ★    
 
SA-7   02/10/2023 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAGLEV (IRE) Jan02 Jan30 Jan02     (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 1.20 47% 1.10    
2  ZOFFARELLI (IRE) Jan02 Dec04 Nov05 Oct08 Sep01 (mullins jeff)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
3  CODE DUELLO Dec31 Dec11 Nov27 Jul22 Jun03 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 124 2.50 ★    
4  COUNT OF AMAZONIA (IRE) Jan08 Dec04 Nov05 Sep14 Aug13 (hess b)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
5  FAYATHAAN (IRE)         (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 124 8.00 ★    
 
SA-8   02/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLORIOUS SPRING Jan13 Dec17 Nov12 Sep17 Jul30 (blacker d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 4.00 ★    
2  SMILING MOLLY Dec26 Nov18 Oct07 Aug28 Aug06 (hanson ryan)DESORMEAUX J 124 15.00    
3  SHANGHAI SUNRISE Jan13 Dec17 Apr01 Feb20 Jan16 (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 122 12.00    
4  FEELING GRAZEFUL Jan13 Feb20 Jan14     (saavedra a)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
5  LA DEUXIEME ETOILE Feb03 Jan07 Dec26 Nov25 Oct30 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 3.00 ★    
6  STARSHIP SKY Dec26 Nov25 Oct22 Sep30 Aug25 (sal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00    
7  SHEZA GIRLY GIRL Jan07 Dec10 Nov06 Oct09 Sep09 (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
8  UNWRITTEN CODE Jan20 Jan06 Dec11 Nov18 Oct28 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.50 ★    
 
SA-9   02/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMBA COOL Sep03 Jun18 Apr30 Mar25   (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 5.00 ★    
2  BEAUDACIOUS Jan08 Dec02       (hanson ryan)DESORMEAUX J 124 10.00    
3  FOOTHILL Jan21 Jan02       (o'neill d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00    
4  SO I'M TOLD Jan27 Jan08 Dec17 Nov24 Oct30 (ruiz lorenz)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 8.00    
5  CLAYTON DELANEY Nov13 Sep24 Sep10 Jul22 Jul01 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  FORE FLAG Jan07 Nov19 Oct09 Aug18 Jul28 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 ★    
7  GIVE ME THE LUTE Jan13 Jan02 Nov27 Oct22 Sep16 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 73% 0.40    
8  MOOSE MITCHELL Jan07 Dec02 Nov06 Oct10 Sep10 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 122 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.