Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Qh
Saturday - January 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LA-1   WIN (5/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/8)-(5/7/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/8)-(5/7/8/3/4)-(5/7/8/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LA-5   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/1/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/1/4/3)-(6/2/1/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LA-1   01/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AUNTIE BEV Nov13 Oct16 Oct07 Sep16 Aug28 (aquino angela )FRANCO CESAR 123 4.00    
THISONESFORBARRY Dec03 Nov12 Oct30 Oct01 Sep17 (aquino angel)OROZCO E 123 10.00    
WETHERLY Dec17 Dec03 Oct30 Oct15 Oct08 (aquino angela )ORTEGA CESAR 123 3.00    
AM YISRAEL CHAI Dec17 Dec03 Nov12 Oct15 Oct02 (ruiz loren)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 125 3.00    
MI AMARE Dec31 Dec17 Dec03 Sep17 Apr02 (vale)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 125 2.00 37% 1.70    
GODDESS APHRODITE Dec31 Dec03 Oct30 Oct01 Sep17 (mendoza j)ALEGRIA V 123 30.00    
MIGHTY BOISTEROUS Dec31 Dec17 Dec03 Oct15 Oct01 (mendoza)LOPEZ REYNOSO 123 8.00 23% 3.30    
MY BELLA CHICK Dec17 Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Aug20 (alvarez edw)MCDAID M 123 30.00 13% 6.80    
 
LA-5   01/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUGH RIDE Jan07 Dec17 Aug26 Aug13 Jul17 (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 123 2.50    
VERMEER Jan07 Dec18 Dec10 Nov27 Aug26 (baze)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 125 4.50 28% 2.60    
DIVINELY DIVERSE Dec11 Dec04 Jul28 Jul08 Jun19 (nunez jesu)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 123 6.00    
ELUSIVE VIRTUE Jan07 Dec18 Nov12 Oct08 Sep25 (naranjo salvad)ORTEGA CESAR 123 8.00    
COUNT TOLSTOY Jan07 Dec18 Dec10 Sep25   (mendoza j)ALEGRIA V 118 20.00    
RESTLESS RAMBLER Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 Oct01   (hedia oscar)SANCHEZ E 123 1.00 40% 1.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.