Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - October 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   10/02/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOURTH STREET Sep11 Jul31       (callaghan simon)FREY KYLE 120 6.00    
LA PEER Sep09 Aug04       (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00 10% 9.30    
THREE STRANDS Aug20         (mandella ri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
DASH AWAY         (miller)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 8.00    
PRIDE OF THE NILE Sep10         (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
JENNIFER'S D'LIGHT Aug14         (mccarthy micha)CEDILLO ABEL 120 12.00    
BOLTS BABE Aug07         (ruis shelb)VAN DRAYDEN 120 20.00    
HARD BUT SMART         (metz jeffrey)PYFER JESSICA 120 20.00    
SAKURA FLAVOR (IRE)         (gallagher patric)ESPINOZA V 120 12.00    
 
SA-2   10/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIONEERING PAPA Sep10 Jun11 May21 May07 Mar26 (papaprodromou ge)MORGAN ASH 121 8.00    
KATTATH Aug25         (diodoro robertino)BRAVO J 124 5.00 15% 5.60    
TROUBADOUR Jul24 Jun12 May14 Apr16 Mar06 (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50    
NICE GUY CLAY Sep02 Aug12 Jun26     (korine)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
DUTCH BUS Aug25 Aug06 Jun05 May13 Apr09 (yakteen tim)CEDILLO ABEL 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
CONSTANT CONFLICT Sep01 Aug04 Jun17 May21   (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 124 8.00    
MICKY FROM WEXFORD Sep10 Aug25 May07 Apr13   (hanson ryan)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 112 4.00    
 
SA-3   10/02/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMI PLEASE Jul31         (o'neill doug)FREY KYLE 120 8.00    
THREAD COUNT         (gallagher patric)ESPINOZA V 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
ROSE ROSE ROSE         (mullins jeff)BAZE C 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
SPANISH DESTINY         (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
ANACARO Sep09 Jul31       (callag)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.00    
DIVINELY BOLT Sep11 Aug07       (ruis shelbe)CURATOLO RYAN 120 6.00    
HALF NELSON Aug14 Jun11 May21     (brinkerhoff v)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00 13% 6.60    
TEA N CONVERSATION Aug20 Jul31       (mccarthy w)BRAVO J 120 3.50    
 
SA-4   10/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPIRE HOUSE Sep18 Aug28 Jul23 Jun17 May28 (wong jonat)VAN DRAYDEN 122 15.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MAMA YAY by MINESHAFT)
MIDNIGHT MEMORIES Sep04 Jul28 Jun05 Apr30   (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 120 1.60 50% 1.00    
  (by MASTERY out of TIZ MIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SOOTHSAY (IRE) Aug06         (mandella richard )SMITH E 122 2.00 19% 4.30    
  (by MUJADIL out of SECOND OMEN (GB) by RAINBOW QUEST)
AWAKE AT MIDNYTE Sep04 May06 Apr08 Feb19 Jan08 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 5.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of MIDNIGHT UNION by UNION RAGS)
SAMURAI CHARM Sep05 Jul04 Jun04     (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of BACK SEAT CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
 
SA-5   10/02/2022 3300ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAS RAPIDO (GB) Sep11         (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 20.00    
STRAIGHTEN UP Sep09 Aug12 Jul01     (puype mike)SMITH E 120 6.00 7% 13.20    
AH JEEZ Sep11 Aug26 Aug05     (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00    
ARMAN Aug14 Jun23       (callaghan simon)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00 6% 15.80    
HELLADIC May20         (hanson ryan)BAZE C 120 5.00 8% 11.70    
FLAME RIDER Sep25 Sep01 May22     (mendez luis)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 30.00    
TALTARIATE Jun25 Jun03       (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 20.00    
WOUND UP Sep11 Aug11       (mccarthy mi)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 20.00    
SPEED BOAT BEACH Sep10         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 0.80 59% 0.70    
 
SA-6   10/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEDDY'S BARINO Sep05 Aug07 Jun05 May13 Apr03 (glatt mark)SMITH E 124 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by GRAZEN out of MISS REBOUND by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
UNDER THE STARS Sep04 Jun12 Apr09 Mar06 Jan08 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of UNTOUCHED TALENT by STORM CAT)
CE CE Aug28 Jul02 Apr23 Mar12 Feb05 (mccarthy michael)ESPINOZA V 126 0.60 54% 0.80    
  (by ELUSIVE QUALITY out of MISS HOUDINI by BELONG TO ME)
COVER VERSION Sep18 Aug28 Jul04 May14 Apr09 (saldana reed)VAZQUEZ A 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of VAGUELY FAMILIAR by A.P. INDY)
SCENIC MASTERPIECE Sep04 Aug06 Jun19 Apr09 Mar13 (wong jonat)VAN DRAYDEN 118 20.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of HEIDI MARIA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  MY DESTINY Sep24 Jul28 Jun26 Mar12 Feb12 (wilens)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 30.00    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of NORTHERN DESTINY by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
 
SA-7   10/02/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEMORANDUM Sep01         (hess b)CURATOLO RYAN 121 12.00    
ORTH Sep18 Aug18 May30 Apr30 Mar27 (krulja)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 5.00    
BILLBERNJOEJOHNICK         (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 121 8.00    
SYNNIN AND WINNIN Jan29         (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00    
BAG'S GOLD Jun19 May28 Apr09     (aguirre pa)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
SMILE FOR GLORY         (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 121 8.00    
EXCLAMATION Sep05 Feb20       (agarie ricky)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 20.00    
STREET HUMOR Aug18 Jan01       (ortiz sr)FREY KYLE 121 8.00    
QUEEN'S CODE Aug27 Jul28 Jun19 May30   (gaines carla)BRAVO J 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
SA-8   10/02/2022 7920ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZAMAGICIAN Sep03 Jul24       (mandella richard )SMITH E 126 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by TIZNOW out of MAGIC UNION by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  NEWGRANGE Sep03 Feb26 Jan29 Jan01   (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 8.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BELLA CHIANTI by EMPIRE MAKER)
HEYWOODS BEACH Sep03 Jul24 May30     (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 126 3.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of UNFOLD THE ROSE by CATIENUS)
EXTRA HOPE Sep03 Jul24 Jun11 Apr10   (mandella e)BAZE C 126 5.00 11% 8.10    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of LOTSANDLOTSOFHOPE by TIZNOW)
WIN THE DAY Sep02 Aug05 Jul09 May30 Apr09 (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 10.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SUNRISE BAY by JAZIL)
AVENUE Aug05 Jun19 May07 Apr03   (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MAGIC UNION by DIXIE UNION)
STORM THE COURT Aug21 Jul24 May07 Apr02   (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 126 6.00 12% 7.40    
  (by COURT VISION out of MY TEJANA STORM by TEJANO RUN)
GOVENOR'S PARTY Sep17 Sep05 Aug26 Jul24 Jul03 (franko daniel)FREY KYLE 122 20.00    
  (by GOVENOR CHARLIE out of SPRING MOON by ZENSATIONAL)
 
SA-9   10/02/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNARK Sep04 Aug04 May27 May07 Apr09 (kruljac j )VAN DRAYDEN 119 20.00    
LIAM'S DOVE Sep22 Jan16       (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 121 15.00    
GEM MINE Jul23 Jun12 May07 Mar26   (papaprodromou)VALDIVIA JR 119 8.00    
BLEU BALLON         (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
MA FRANCE (IRE) Sep04 Jul31 Jun17     (d'amato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 119 6.00    
SECRETS TOLD Jul30 Jun18 May15 Apr17   (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 122 6.00    
CARPE FORTUNA Jan23         (eurton)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SPEED LANE Jul31         (cerin vladimi)CURATOLO RYAN 122 12.00    
GILLIAN ELIZABETH Aug20 Jul23 Jun10 May06 Mar11 (gaines carla)BRAVO J 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
10  KLEEN KARMA Sep04 Jul29 Jun19 May29 Apr30 (lewis a)MALDONADO E 124 20.00    
11  SHES'A PERFECTLADY Aug27 Mar19       (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  TOM'S BEAUTY Aug27         (mullins jeff)PYFER JESSICA 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WOODBINE WAY Aug27 Aug04 May01 Apr02   (powell leon)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
SCR  LADY JAE Sep04 Aug06 Jul08 Jun03 May06 (barocio librado)ESPINOZA V 122 15.00    
 
SA-10   10/02/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLADDAGH CURE Aug21 Jul31 Jun03 Apr17   (gallagher )VAN DRAYDEN 120 8.00    
DRAMATIZER Sep01 Aug14 Jun19 May29 Apr30 (desormeaux keit)SMITH E 122 10.00    
AAS DE FAUST (GB) Sep04 Jul31 May29     (gallagher patric)ESPINOZA V 122 30.00    
BELLE CHERIE Sep04 Aug20 Jul22 Jun17 May27 (callag)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 5.00 7% 12.80    
BIG MAMA SUE Sep01 Jan16       (aguirre paul)MALDONADO E 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
SIXTEEN ARCHES (IRE) Aug20 Jul23 Jun12 May07 Apr09 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
EMERALD LAKE Aug27 Jul31 Apr15 Mar26 Feb11 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00 43% 1.30    
GET ON THE BUS Sep04 Aug27       (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 8.00    
DENDERA Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 Jan15   (sadler w)CURATOLO RYAN 120 5.00 7% 13.40    
10  ALMOST A FACTOR Aug19 Jul28 Jun19     (gaines carla)BAZE C 124 15.00    
11  BARRISTER'S RIDE Aug21 Jul24 Jun19 May20 Apr10 (gaines car)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 10.00    
SCR  LADY CLEMENTINE (GB) Aug20 Jul30       (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 118 3.00    
SCR  CAPSTONE GIRL Sep05 Aug14 Jun17 May06 Apr23 (wilensky herman)VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.